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Thursday, 10 April 14
DRY BULK MARKET IS RISING CLAIMS BIMCO - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Despite the recent fall of the Baltic Dry Index (BDI), when one compares the first quarter of 2014, to similar quarters of the recent past, it is apparent that the market is rising, claimed BIMCO in its latest market analysis for the April/May period. For this period, BIMCO believes that the level of Capesize TC average rates will hover around USD 12,000-22,000 per day. Panamax TC average rates will still feel the supply pressure in the region of USD 5,000-10,000 per day. For the Supramax segment, BIMCO forecasts freight rates in the USD 10,000-14,000 per day interval supported by more Atlantic cargoes, whereas Handysize rates seen in the solid region of USD 8,000-10,000 per day.
DEMAND
According to BIMCO's report, "while freight rates for Capesize ships have fended off the talk of a slowdown in China in an impressive fashion, rates finally took a minor hit on the final trading days of March. As the strong sentiment eased, it caused a derivatives sell-off in its wake. When comparing the performance of freight rates in the first quarter of 2014 to previous years, it becomes clear that the market is rising. In the first quarter, average freight rates are significantly up from the multi-year low Q1 rates in 2013. Capesize rates went up by as much at 167% at USD 16,198 per day, whereas the other three dry bulk sub-segments all improved by 50% on last year’s first quarter TCE average earnings".
BIMCO added that "despite the year-on-year improvements, the complete lack of volatility outside the Capesize segment means that spot operators’ trading possibilities have been scarce. Time charter rates are steadily moving up, while spot rates are moving sideways. In the anticipation of an improving freight market going forward, owners and operator have increased their spot market exposure to take advantage of this. Following the weakness around the Chinese New Year, Capesize spot rates bounced back surprisingly strongly from the USD 8,000 per day level in early February to deliver a March average at USD 22,000 per day. That performance also lifted the period market to highs not seen since 2010. Rates for 6-12 months’ time charters hit USD 30,000 per day during the second half of March".
In terms of demand, the report noted that "the South American grain season is at its height in April, May and June, with Brazil confirming its position as the world’s leading exporter of soybeans, with 45 million tons of exports. On the imports side, China is on the move in a big way, expecting to import 68.5 million, up by 15% on last season. China accounts for 80% of the incremental volume growth expected for the coming season, providing a lot of tons-mile into the market. 2014 will be a year with full focus on the big mining companies, who are ramping up the production of iron ore by as much as 170 mill tons in 2014. This flooding of the market has already brought ore prices down from USD 130-140 during H2-2013".
BIMCO's Chief Shipping Analyst, Mr. Peter Sand, noted that "ordering activity went up by 258% in 2013 as compared to the year before. During the fourth quarter of 2013, more tonnage (31.7 million DWT) was ordered than in the full year of 2012 (24 million DWT). The stronger demand for new contracts also meant the newbuilding prices from all Far Eastern shipyards have gone up by 12-23% since the beginning of 2013. The larger the ship, the higher the increase has been. Recent resale deals indicate that prices continue to rise on the back of strengthened optimism. At the end of March, four South Korean to-be-built Capesize ships for delivery in 2015/16 had a price tag of USD 60.5 million. This is the same price tag for Japanese built ships of that size, whereas the Chinese newbuilding is set at USD 53.2 million".
The report concluded that "regardless of much optimism in the overall sector, sales indicate short-term pessimism in the Panamax sector. Ships with a capacity of 80,000 DWT, built in China and delivered in 2014, come with a price tag of USD 23-24 million. The newbuilding price for same ship size and build for delivery in 2016 is USD 30 million The still-hectic delivery pace, at 3.5 Panamax ships a week, is part of the explanation for the discount on soon-to-be-delivered Panamax tonnage. Following some frantic delivery years, the pulse of shipyard output is significantly down from the one-Capesize-ship-a-day of the peak years (2010-2012) to more normal levels, going forward at 2.5 ships per week in any given dry bulk sub-segment".
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News Worldwide
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Monday, 07 April 14
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS GAINED 2.09% M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q2 14 deliveries gained 2.09 percent month on month and closed at US$ 75.68 per ...
Sunday, 06 April 14
THE FREIGHT MARKET KEEPS SLIDING
COALspot.com: The freight market continued to drop this week. The BDI (Baltic Dry Index) is a widely followed metric that reflects the overall r ...
Friday, 04 April 14
UNITED STATES COAL OUTPUT UP 5.4% IN PAST WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world's second largest coal producer, produced approximately 19.9 million short tons (mmst) of coal i ...
Thursday, 03 April 14
PANAMAX SECTOR IS WATCHING A SEVERE DROP IN RATES - FEARNLEYS
Handy
A further weaker sentiment for the Supras as well in both hemispheres this week with oversupply of tonnage being the major headline. Tra ...
Wednesday, 02 April 14
CHINA: ARBITRATION CLAUSES IN BILLS OF LADING UNDER CHINESE LEGAL PRACTICE - SKULD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Successful incorporation of a charterparty arbitration clause into the bills of lading is not a straight forward matte ...
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- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
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