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Thursday, 03 April 14
PANAMAX SECTOR IS WATCHING A SEVERE DROP IN RATES - FEARNLEYS


Handy
A further weaker sentiment for the Supras as well in both hemispheres this week with oversupply of tonnage being the major headline. Transatlantic buiz scarce and sliding. Fronthaul paying around 17k from the Continent but ECSA runs now well under the 14 + 400 mark bss APS. In the Far East Indo rounds were paying low teens with redel SE Asia and S.China and mid teens for trips to N.China /Japan. Vessel opens in the MEG able to achieve closer to mid-teens for trips to India and low teens for Feast. Period activity low, with Owners talking high 13k for about 1 year and Chrtrs willing to pay high 12k.

Panamax
Players in the Panamax sector are watching a severe drop in rates all across the block without any imminent signs of support or market finding a floor. The Atlantic is overwhelmed by prompt tonnage facing close to zero return on voyage and 2-4k on T/C depending on trade and duration. Fresh requirements are few with Charterers able to select from a wide range of candidates. Some Owners are holding back to avoid fixing at current levels idling and waiting for a better tomorrow. Fronthaul has come down further, to 37 pmt or just above 14 + 400 bss APS ECSA to Far East. The Eastern Hemisphere has gradually followed the trend in the Western by a significant loss of activity. Perhaps a glimpse of light in the Indo/India coal trading with more stable levels and volumes. Average Pac rounds in the 9-10k range. The future, or the forward curve, is in steep decent leaving period takers sidelined for obvious reasons. Rates and levels for tonnage will head further South.

Capesize
Another negative week for the big ships, characterized by significant losses in Atlantic and stability in Pacific. T/A rates have seen some USD 12k, or 50%, wiped off their value since the beginning of last week, highlighting the lack of cargoes in the basin and also the relatively quiet fronthaul market. West Australia rates have stabilized, albeit not recovered, from last week´s big sell off. At the time of writing, the market rate is between $10.3 and $10.5 PMT. Fixing volume on this route has been high and could see the tonnage supply balance in the Pacific tipped in owners favour if the good volume continues. All in all, the 4TC index has ended down some $4,100 w-o-w to $17.7k, whilst paper has stayed relatively flat. Period activity has been noticeably quieter amidst a rather unpredictable near-term outlook.
Source:
Fearnresearch



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