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Wednesday, 26 February 14
SMALLER SIZE SEGMENTS HOLDING ON TO THEIR LEVELS; CAPES CORRECTING UPWARDS - INTERMODAL


Chartering (Wet: Stable-  / Dry: Stable+)
The Dry Bulk market continued to improve this past week, on the back of rates for the smaller size segments holding on to their levels and those for Capes correcting upwards, while the spill-overs of the improved sentiment have yet to affect the Panamax market. The BDI closed today (25/02/2014) at 1,197 points, up by 23 points compared to yesterday’s levels (24/02/2014) and an increase of 51 points compared to previous Tuesday’s closing (18/02/2014). Rates for VLs stalled a bit as charterers took their time with the March schedule, while the rest of the crude carriers market enjoyed improvements positionally. The BDTI Monday (24/02/2014), was at 753 points, a decrease of 49 points and the BCTI at 606, an increase of 10 points compared to the previous Monday (17/02/2014). 

Sale & Purchase (Wet: Stable+  / Dry: Stable+)
SnP activity has slowed down slightly this week, but at the same time second-hand prices remain on the rise while there is still plenty of buying interest to be found in the market. On the tankers side, we had the sale of the NICHIHIKO” (281,705dwt-blt 99, Japan), which was reported sold to Chinese buyer for a price of US$ 25.2m. On the dry bulker side, we had the sale of the “TRITON STORK” (56,024dwt-blt 04, Japan), which was also picked for a price of xs US$ 21.0m.

New building (Wet: Stable+  / Dry: Stable+)
Following a couple of weeks of stalling, newbuilding prices are on the rise again.  With the average prices for all segments in the dry bulker and tanker sectors standing well above the average of both 2013 and 2012, it is interesting to make a couple of comparisons to the last time prices had reached these levels. Looking at Capes, the last time a new building was quoted at $ 56.0m was in January of 2011 when the average freight rate for the segment stood at around $ 10,000/day, almost identical to where it stands today. The last time a VL new building required $ 98.5m was  around the end of 2011 when the average rate  was in the $ 35,000/day region, which also coincides to today's levels. In hindsight, prices back then proved overinflated to the performance of the market but hopefully fundamentals are stronger this time around as the direction of the market has been upwards and not downwards as it was back in 2011 and two years down the line we won’t be looking back in 2014 as another time of over-excitement. In terms of new orders, Awilco AS has placed an order for two VLCCs (320,000dwt) at Daewoo, in S. Korea, for a price of $ 97.0m each and delivery set in 2016.

Demolition (Wet: Stable-  / Dry: Stable-)
The demolition market is still reigned by Indian breakers, who currently appear to have ousted the rest of the competition from the race of securing demo candidates. As a matter of fact, with the exception of a couple of vessels, the rest of the deals reported this past week appear to have ended up in Indian hands. Breakers in the country have been enjoying the stability of the local currency, which posted its biggest winning streak against the US Dollar in the past couple of months after strengthening for three days in a row to this morning. At the time domestic steel mills have been preparing for another price hike, fact which offers further assertion to breakers operating in the country that their bids have been moving towards the right direction. While Bangladesh has managed to keep its prices stable, China and Pakistan appear to have no intention to compete at these high levels, with the former allowing for the gap  between themselves and India to climb to over 120 $/ldt. Average prices this week for wet tonnage were at around 340-470$/ldt and dry units received about 330-460$/ldt.

Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations |
research@intermodal.gr

Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis |
g.lazaridis@intermodal.gr
Ms. Eva Tzima |
e.tzima@intermodal.gr

Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.

Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.



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