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Tuesday, 28 January 14
GLOBAL COKING AND STEAM COAL PRODUCTION HAVE GROWN 2% TO 3% TO ABOUT 7.1 BILLION TONNES AS OF THE END OF 2013 - VDKI
COALspot.com (Press Release): Initial figures on the world hard coal market at the VDKi ((Association of Coal Importers - German) New Year’s Reception 2014 – VDKi regards hard coal as the guarantee, internationally and domestically, for secure and competitive power generation and as partner for the energy turnaround in Germany
During the New Year’s Reception in Hamburg attended by more than 170 guests, the Verein der Kohlenimporteure e.V. (VDKi) presented the initial figures on the world hard coal market and on the German import hard coal market for the whole of 2013 and stated its positions on current issues of energy policy.
Global growth in the production of hard coal (coking coal and steam coal) has slowed down in its pace and will have grown only slightly by 2% to 3% (at best) to about 7.1 billion tonnes as of the end of 2013. China in particular throttled the production of hard coal, while the levels of production of coking coal in Australia and of production of steam coal in Indonesia and Russia were substantially increased.
Seaborne world trade in coal in total exceeded the level of the previous year by 4% to 5% (260 million to 270 million tonnes) despite the slowdown in the steel industry in some areas. Provisional estimates indicate a rise of 3% to 850 million tonnes in the volume of steam coal. This increase is attributed above all to China, which increased its imports from Australia and Indonesia in 2013 because of the low world market prices.
The long winter period in Europe at the beginning of 2013 (and the simultaneous relatively low feed-in of solar and wind power) as well as the clean dark spread (difference between power price and costs for coal, freight and CO2 certificates), which has long been positive for coal-fired power generation in comparison with the negative clean spark spread (difference between power price and costs for gas, transport and CO2 certificates), favoured hard coal-fired power generation in Europe, according to the VDKi. Electricity is frequently exported to countries strongly dependent on gas such as the United Kingdom or the Netherlands. As a consequence, the German Federal Association of the Energy and Water Industry (BDEW) estimates the gross power generation in Germany in 2013 at 629 TWh despite declining power consumption so that it remained at the same level as 2012, i.e. 61.4% from conventional fuels coal, gas and oil (previous year 61.2%). In contrast, the BDEW notes that power exports increased by 6.8% to 71.8 TWh.
Nevertheless, the VDKi CEO, Dr Wolfgang Cieslik, does not see any reason for optimism here, “because,” says Cieslik, “even if it is said that the clean dark spread currently favours hard coal-fired power generation, this does not in any sense mean that coal-fired power plants are earning enough to cover their costs, much less operate profitably. In the interests of our members, we would be delighted if this were the case, but reality is completely different. The costs for a hard coal-fired power plant run about €50/MWh, depending on its degree of efficiency and the costs for purchasing coal. In contrast, the wholesale power prices and futures on the EEX in calendar year 2014 are moving in a range of between €35 and €45/MWh for base load and between €40 and €50/MWh forpeak load. This is obviously not a viable business model which can ensure the steady supply of power and heat in Germany.”
According to figures from the VDKi, the imports of hard coal developed in a positive direction because of the declining output of German hard coal mining and the cold spring in 2013. The increase in hard coal consumption of 60.7 million TCE (4.1%) determined by the Arbeitsgemeinschaft Energiebilanzen was covered by
-50.3 million TCE from imports, corresponding to growth of 12.5%, and
-7.7 million TCE from domestic production, corresponding to a decline of 31.3%
- and otherwise by inventories.
In general, the world market prices remained on a downward curve in 2013. Prices for steam coal reached their lowest point for the moment in the middle of the year, posting a price a little over US$73 per tonne CIF ARA. A slight recovery in prices has been noted since September. As of the end of November 2013, a tonne of hard coal CIF ARA cost about US$84, a figure which was still 6% below the comparable figure of the previous year (US$89.53). A stronger euro in comparison with the US dollar led to further price advantages in the euro zone.
Coking coal posted prices in excess of US$250 per tonne at times in 2012, but as the economy and demand have weakened, prices have fallen more or less continuously since the second half of 2012 and are now hovering around the point of US$150 per tonne (contract price HCC for Q4 2013).
Freight rates (with the exception of a very few limited-term contracts) moved in a range of US$7–US$12/tonne for the benchmark route Richards Bay–Rotterdam during 2013. It was not until September that freight rates were seen to stabilise, and they have settled around US$15 per tonne for the route Richards Bay – ARA since the end of last year. The market appears to have found the bottom here.
Referring to current energy policy, CEO Dr Cieslik states: “The true scope of the problems resulting from the energy turnaround which must be solved, the risks for our supply security, the dangers from price increases for the economy and jobs and the burdens which conventional power plants must bear because of the low wholesale power prices are still not being taken serious enough by politicians, who are too reluctant to implement the needed solutions. We urgently need fast and structured action on the part of the political establishment.”
The coalition agreement contains positive aspects such as the planned legal implementation of a corridor for the further expansion of renewable energies, which will provide a certain security for conventional power plants when planning for the future. “At least we now have it in writing from the German government that 45% to 50% of the electricity in Germany will still be generated by conventional coal- and gas-fired power plants even in 2035,” according to Cieslik.
“The VDKi believes it is absolutely essential that the subject of market design, capacity markets and capacity bonuses be placed at the top of the German government’s agenda immediately after the reform of the EEG [German Renewable Energies Act]. In view of the fact that power plants are operating in the red even today, it would be irresponsible to wait any longer. We can expect additional applications for the shut-down of plants to be submitted to the German Federal Network Agency in the coming months, and this could ultimately represent a serious threat to the security of our power supply. The problem cannot be taken care of in the long term on the basis of the German Reserve Power Plant Regulation,” stated the CEO. Moreover, the expansion of the grid system in Germany must be accelerated so that the demand all over Germany can be covered at all times with energy from renewable and reliable conventional energy sources according to market results.
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Friday, 20 December 13
US PRODUCED 2.71% MORE COAL WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer, produced approximately 18.9 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Friday, 20 December 13
DRY BULK MARKET SLUMPS AHEAD OF HOLIDAY SEASON - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
As has been the case in recent years, the dry bulk market has been on a downward trend ahead of the Holiday Season for a large part of the world. Th ...
Thursday, 19 December 13
SHIPPING CONFIDENCE HITS THREE-YEAR HIGH - MOORE STEPHENS
Overall confidence levels in the shipping industry rose to their highest level for more than three years over the three-month period to November 201 ...
Wednesday, 18 December 13
SNP ACTIVITY IN CHINA SEEMS TO BE SLOWING DOWN - CHRISTOS TRAGEAS
Approaching the end of the year, SnP activity in China seems to be slowing down in comparison to the first half of this quarter, as most Chinese Shi ...
Wednesday, 18 December 13
DEMOLITION ACTIVITY SCALED BACK AS FREIGHT RATES RISE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
It's always been the case that each time we witness a spike in freight rates, demolition activity is decreasing, as owners are looking for more car ...
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- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
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