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Wednesday, 25 December 13
SHIPPING : AS FAR AS THIS CYCLE IS CONCERNED, 'WE HAVE SEEN THE WORST....!' - JOHN N. COTZIAS
In a week’s time the year comes to an end. Having been a speaker in two seminars over the past 5 days I was able to see the year ending trends and some very interesting points and findings that stood out which I would like to share with you. In the first half of 2013 the Dry Cargo freight markets, found Capes earning much less than all other dry bulk size segments. This was rectified after June and today the rates are currently more or less back in line with the respective carrying capacity and we hope that the momentum will feed through to 2014.
On the SnP front, activity was superb. We had more than 1,500 deals concluded so far in the year. The total USD outlay, from sales of which details are disclosed, is slightly more than $ 21bn. The respective figures for 2012 are 1,200 deals and $14bn outlay. Compared to 2012, S&P activity on average was up by 26-27% on just about every month. Dry Bulk vessels prices have increased significantly over the past 12 months. The most notable increase was noted in a 5 yr old Panamax that has shot up by more than 50%. Last year, you could buy a 5 yr old Panamax with $ 17-18m. Today with the same money you are just about purchasing a 10 yr old Panamax!!! Rising price didn’t deter investors from acquiring vessels. To the contrary we can say. The fact that conventional financing was practically scarce meant that a very important chunk of SnP deals was mostly financed by “own pockets” and/or alternative sources of finance.
Additionally, trust in the banking system was shaken this year. The fearful and sad scenario of thousands realizing that their bank deposits could suffer a tremendous haircut over-a-weekend, as it happened in Cyprus, made many shipowners and others turn into a what appeared as a much safer investment ; Shipping.
On the Newbuilding sector, we had many new orders, with more than 870 bulkers, 527 Tankers, 161 Gas Carriers and 243 Containers being contracted during this year so far. The majority of these contracts have gone to Chinese builders, whose share of orders this year amounts to more than Korea’s and Japan’s shares added up together. Non-availability of slots has taken off a lot of pressure from major shipbuilders to further reduce their prices and from a point onwards they actually started to charge a premium for earlier slots. However, if we still look back, current newbuilding prices are still on the low side.
Demolition stats show that more than 50m tons of DWT carrying capacity was taken from the world active fleet, compared to more than 60m tons in 2012. Nevertheless, last year was a record year and therefore difficult to match, therefore the fact that this year’s figure stands at these levels is still very significant. India appears to have been the leading demo country in both number of ships and dwt scrapped there, while China comes second in number of ships and 3rd in dwt. Demo prices hold firm, with the average since 2009 standing above $400 per ldt, always supported by the strong demand for steel. It goes without saying that the increased demolition activity we have seen over the past 4 years, tremendously helps alleviate the pressure of new tonnage entering the active fleet.
In general, we consider 2013 to be a year of momentum, with a lot of investment opportunities being “grabbed” by a number of players in the market. We are of the strong belief and share the opinion of many shipping professionals that, as far as this cycle is concerned, “we have seen the worst… !”
Happy New Year to All, full of health, joy, happiness and successful shipping deals!
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations | research@intermodal.gr
Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis | g.lazaridis@intermodal.gr
Ms. Eva Tzima | e.tzima@intermodal.gr
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Monday, 30 December 13
INDONESIAN COAL TO BE PART OF INDEX DETERMINING POWER TARIFFS - BUSINESS STANDARD
In a significant move, power sector regulator CERC has decided to provide 50 per cent weightage for Indonesian coal in the benchmark index that is u ...
Friday, 27 December 13
THE EXPORT OF UNPROCESSED MINERALS WOULD NOT BE ALLOWED AFTER 12 JAN 2014 - INDONESIAN ENERGY MINISTER
COALspot.com: The government of Indonesia will implement Law No. 4 of 2009 on Mineral and Coal in full and consistently by January 12, 2014, said, m ...
Friday, 27 December 13
INDONESIA SHIPPED 15.75 PERCENT MORE COAL IN NOVEMBER
COALspot.com: Indonesia, the world's 4th largest coal producer and the largest multi grade coal exporter shipped over $2* billion worth of co ...
Thursday, 26 December 13
COAL & OIL GROUP SECURES US$ 250 MILLION FUNDING FOR ITS 1200MW THERMAL POWER PLANT IN INDIA
COALspot.com: Dubai-based Coal & Oil (C&O) Group has announced that it has secured additional funding of approximately Dhs. 1 billion (appro ...
Wednesday, 25 December 13
DRY BULK INDEX LOST SOME GROUND THIS PAST WEEK - INTERMODAL
Chartering (Wet: Firm+ / Dry: Softer - )
The Dry Bulk Index lost some ground this past week, on the back of activity slowing down befor ...
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- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- The University of Queensland
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
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