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Friday, 13 December 13
DRY BULK SHIPPING TO WITNESS HEALTHY DEMAND MOVING FORWARD - ICS
The Institute of Chartered Shipbrokers Greek Branch organised its 9th Annual Forum at Eugenides Foundation, on Wednesday, 11th of December, with a remarkable success. The title was: « Underway to recovery or Underestimating the Fundamentals? ». The Forum has been well attended by over 400 shipping professionals – from the Greek and International shipping community - covering all spectrums of the industry.
The panel consisted of the following distinguished personalities: Mr. Nicolas A. Tsavliris, Chairman of ICS Greek Branch and Tsavliris Salvage Group, H.E. Mrs. Jenny Bloomfield, Ambassador of Australia in Greece, Mr. Michael Bodouroglou, Chairman & CEO at Paragon Shipping Inc., Mr. James Leak, Managing Director at Arrow Research Ltd., Mrs. Stavroula Betsakou, Head of Tanker Research at ICAP Shipping Ltd., Mr. Ted Petropoulos, Managing Director at Petrofin Research S.A., Mr. Anthony Argyropoulos, Managing Director at Seaborne Capital Advisors Ltd. Panel Moderator of the forum was Mr. Vasileios Chakos, FICS, V. Chakos Claims Adjusters Co.
Natalia Margioli - Komninou, Managing Director of the ICS Greek Branch and Hellenic Management Centre, after thanking the speakers and the audience, remarked that ICS, 100 years now, promotes the highest standards of professionalism and ethics, while the ICS Membership is a mark of competence for shipping professionals worldwide. She proudly mentioned that more and more companies trust HMC, which represents ICS in Greece, for the professional development of their human resource, under the statement that qualified individuals are better placed to make better decisions.
Mrs. Margioli - Komninou queried whether we are truly underway to recovery or we are just underestimating the fundamentals driving the supply and demand in shipping. On the one hand, she said, there are those who believe that the monumental changes occurring in the global economy will positively affect shipping. Facts supported by the mini-spike on new orders placed by owners, due to the significant improvement seen at freight markets and asset values over the last year. On the other hand, she mentioned that there are those who do not see a recovery in 2014 or even early 2015. She referred to the worse scenario, as predicted by Martin Stopford that the fleet and shipbuilding overcapacity and the orders put in place are driven by shortsighted and speculative motives rather than by a sustainable trade demand. Mrs. Margioli - Komninou concluded her reference to the topic with the statement that ‘’shipping accounts for 95% of the global trade and is here to stay’’.
The Chairman of the ICS Greek Branch, Nicolas Tsavliris referred to the current turbulent times that Greece faces, which unavoidably have affected the Greek Shipping Business. He expressed that international level shipping markets seem to have improved, though there are some that believe the opposite. Three factors are affecting the international shipping: the effect of regulatory pressure on lenders, the new sources of financing, i.e. private equities and hedge funds, the escalation of the bizarre phenomenon of insolvent banks lending money to insolvent shipowners to buy ships at inflated prices – or to build ships at insolvent shipyards. He concluded his speech by the words of President John F. Kennedy: “An error does not become a mistake until you refuse to correct it.”
H.E. Jenny Bloomfield, the Australian Ambassador in Greece, underlined Greece’s dominant role in international shipping and highlighted the synergies between Greece’s shipping industry and Australia’s export-driven economy. Mentioning the significant amount of Australia’s exports, particularly to emerging Asian markets that are transported by Greek-owned ships, Ambassador Bloomfield remarked on the considerable shared interest both countries have in maintaining an efficient, safe and environmentally responsible global shipping industry. Australia’s current chairmanship of the G20, which coincides with Greece’s EU presidency, gives both countries an opportunity to engage at high levels to secure an industry that is vital to the global economy.
Michael Bodouroglou stated that although cyclicality exists in all business sectors, when it comes to shipping its consequences are far more intense. The cycle is obviously driven by the prevailing supply-demand balance. Oversupply creates recession and this can be caused by either weak demand or too many orders. The recent recession has occurred despite healthy demand simply because of too many newbuilding orders. The Chairman of Paragon Shipping added that the current state of affairs of the industry is described by a reduced order book, somewhat improved chartering market, asset values at or very near historical lows and an expected healthy demand for the foreseeable future. Lastly he stated that despite increased private equity investments into the sector, funding in general remains problematic due to lack of liquidity and reduced Bank lending. This is probably comforting as it reduces the possibility of a new over ordering wave big enough to destroy the market.
Stavroula Betsakou discussed the crude and product tanker markets. Starting by identifying the factors that led the crude tanker market at the bottom the first 9 months of 2013 and to the VLCC rally in November, expressing that that neither the bottom nor the highs seen this year are sustainable for 2014. China and India will continue to drive demand growth with the marginal barrel of supply moving westward due to unconventional production in the Atlantic basin, increasing tonne-miles. Low fleet growth may allow for a solid recovery, however, competition with the Suezmaxes and fluctuations in the fleet speed will place ceiling on freight rates, possibly below the required rates of the fleet ordered from 2004 to 2008.
Expectations for the product sector are balancing between the heavy deliveries of eco-ships for a second year and the increasing trade and triangulation opportunities. Investment interest is strong as financing, sourced from financial markets and private equity. The effects of the rising markets will filter through and cause the market to reach its next peak at significant lower levels than 2008. Owners are encouraged to stay focused on quality and to exploit short-term asset cycles.
‘’We are on the brink of a dry bulk renaissance" is what James Leake, the new MD of Arrow Research, would have us believe. He argues that the era of punishing fleet growth is behind us, and now we have compelling trade growth stories in the key dry commodities representing a shift in the fundamentals. Some doubt that the current rally is anything more than the kind of seasonal uptick experienced over the last few years. In his presentation at this year's event, James will no doubt attempt to convince the doubters, with supporting evidence spanning all the major bulk commodities and likely fleet developments. The expansion of the iron ore trade is central to his view, with Capesize leading the way as the major beneficiary in this up cycle. With delivery dates for new orders now slipping into 2016, further newbuilding investment risks missing the boat.
According to the latest Petrofin Research, Ted Petropoulos stressed the fact that Greeks remain totally committed to shipping. Interest in acquiring more vessels is accelerating, as is shown by this year's second hand vessel purchases and newbuilding orders. As Greek banks, financing Greek shipping, have been in a merging and acquisition turmoil, ship finance has been affected downwards, stated Mr. Petropoulos. He added that the two international largest banks financing Greek shipping, the Royal Bank of Scotland and HSH Nordbank, have been addressing their own difficulties, and this has also affected Greek ship finance. Hence, the divergence between the rise in Global ship finance and the downward trend of Greek ship finance. He concluded with a reference to every other financial and private capital source that is being exploited with increasingly more reliance on own resources to acquire second hand vessels and newbuildings. However, the majority of newbuilding orders remain largely speculative in having no arranged finance in place.
Anthony Argyropoulos approached the topic by describing the relation of shipping and US Capital Markets. He stated that tighter lending by commercial banks has led to shipping companies to seek for alternative sources of financing in the public markets, while private investors are cautious when it comes to investing in shipping. He referred to the IPO activity which in 2013 increased compared to the previous years, as 5 shipping companies entered the US Capital Markets raising approximately $ 951.5 millions in gross proceeds. Lastly, on the basis of the title Mr. Argyropoulos stated that dry bulk shipping market experiences a small recovery- especially in Capesize- due to Australian and Brazilian iron ore exports, outpacing the dry bulk shipyard activity. But he queried, will it be sustainable? Though, a positive sign is that analysts predict a 4% fleet growth in 2014, compared to the 10% – 16% experiencing between 2010 – 2012.
This year’s proceedings closed on a celebrating note with the award commendation of the candidates that participated at the ICS Examinations in April 2013. The panel Moderator, Mr. Vasileios Chakos, mentioned that in 2013 more than 500 shipping executives attended the ICS Professional Training Courses, while the Greek Branch come secondly in terms of examination participation only to London.
The candidates distinguished internationally were: Ioannis Theodorou - Niovis Shipping, Loukia Tranou - Oceanwide Shipping, Christian Becker - Thenamaris Shipmanagement, Evi Platsidaki - Norton Rose, Sofia Zoidou, Nikolaos Vasilatos - Vita Management, Konstantinos Katranis, Helen Arabatzi - Aerio Shipmanagement and Panagiotis Kalogerakos - Marmaras Navigation.
Source: Institute of Chartered Shipbrokers Greek Branch / Hellenic Shippingnews
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Wednesday, 04 December 13
INDONESIAN COAL EXPORTS VOLUME AND REVENUE IN OCTOBER MARCHED TOWARDS NORTH
COALspot.com: Indonesia, the world's 4th largest coal producer and the largest multi grade coal exporter shipped over $1.76* billion worth of ...
Wednesday, 04 December 13
WEST AUSTRALIA IRON ORE FIXTURES ALSO CONTINUING TO PROVIDE A STEADY FLOW OF BUSINESS FOR CAPES - INTERMODAL
The Dry Bulk market has reversed course this past week, bringing back some of the lost excitement of the past month, as all size segments climbed hi ...
Wednesday, 04 December 13
THE BUYERS' DEMAND IS CONTINUOUSLY BULLISH - KONSTANTINOS KONTOMICHIS
The very low rates that prevailed for the bigger part of 2013 seem to have prepared the ground for buying opportunities for shipping investors. The ...
Wednesday, 04 December 13
SGX AND CFA TO COLLABORATE TO DEVELOP DERIVATIVES MARKETS IN CHINA AND SINGAPORE
Singapore Exchange (SGX) and the China Futures Association (CFA) are cooperating in the development of derivatives markets in China and Singapore.
...
Wednesday, 04 December 13
SGX'S MONTHLY VOLUMES REACHED A RECORD HIGH OF 705,000 MT IN NOVEMBER 2013
COALspot.com: SGX has announced that, it monthly volumes have reached a record high of 705 lots (705,000 mt) in November 2013 with month-end open in ...
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- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- The University of Queensland
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Australian Coal Association
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Minerals Council of Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Planning Commission, India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
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