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Friday, 06 December 13
PANAMAXES HAVE BEEN THE ' WEAPON OF CHOICE' BY MOST DRY BULK SHIP OWNERS DURING 2013 - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS


Low ship prices, the direct consequence of subdued freight rates for the larger part of 2013 have been the main driving force behind this year's aggressive investment strategy adopted by many ship owners, especially traditional ones, who've been in the market for decades. Buying opportunities have rarely been overlooked by shipping investors and this year has been no exception to this rule, as many owners were waiting patiently for their chance to enter the market and acquire some great value assets.

According to the latest weekly report from shipbroker Intermodal, "it was mainly traditional ship owners who moved aggressively by acquiring vessels and by placing new orders especially in the dry sector.  The Panamax size segment has gained the most interest followed by Supramaxes, Handies and during the third quarter of the year from Capesizes as well, which gave us the signal of the forthcoming positive movement of Baltic Dry Index".

As per Mr. Konstantinos Kontomichis, SnP broker with Intermodal, "in the newbuilding  market, within the first half of the year, the majority of the bigger Chinese shipbuilders have booked all their available slots with deliveries up until Q4 of 2016. The lack of slots with prompt delivery in the Chinese shipbuilding industry during the 2nd half of 2013 was partly responsible for driving newbuilding prices up by so much".

"Indicative is the Ultramax's asking price, which is currently in the region of USD 28 mill with delivery at the end of 2016 and onwards, boosted almost 15% higher than the USD 24 mill price quoted in the 1st quarter of the year. The same was also witnessed in the second hand market where a 10 year old Japanese Panamax vessel would be sold in the region of USD 14 mill and reaching the 4th quarter of 2013 it can be sold in excess of USD 16 mill (an increase of approximately 15% as well)", Kontomichis said.

He also noted that "with the exception of the negative movement of the BDI during the last few weeks, the sentiment still appears to be very positive. The buyers' demand is continuously bullish. The M/V Carol (abt 75.000 dwt / 1999 blt Japan) has been sold at the very firm price of USD 14.3 – 14.2 mill. Most notable though is that this lady has been physically inspected by 17 parties".

This situation is not unique for the dry bulk market and is taking place across all sectors, as there is similar buying interest for all sizes and once a quality candidate appears, prospective buyers are quickly queuing to inspect. According to Intermodal, "during October/November, the Capesize “Su Oh” (about 171.000 dwt / 1997 blt Japan) and the Supramax vessel “Maple Creek” (about 53.000 dwt / 2005 blt Japan) were inspected by 15 and 10 prospective buyers respectively".

"Entering into the final month of the year, we cannot but accept that 2013 was more prosperous than most of us would have expected it to be. The hope that even better days are coming sooner rather than later, after all these years of anticipation further supports those who placed their bets on a market recovery by acquiring a ship within 2013, as they have already enjoyed the positive outcomes either in terms of better charter rates or increase in the value of their asset. Nothing is carved in stone yet but I believe that the following months should be very active month in terms of SnP activity", Kontomichis concluded.

Meanwhile, over the past week, in the newbuilding market, it continued to witness a high volume of orders and prices have kept firming month by month. Still, "it is slightly encouraging to see that some of the excessive building capacity will soon be removed from the market. Last week, the Jiangsu Provincial Government revealed plans to reduce 10 million dwt of shipbuilding capacity  in the region. The reduction will take place over the next two years and comes after careful consideration that the demand of the boom years, which resulted in the over-development of the building capacity in Jiangsu, is no longer there. As China has gone to great lengths to support its domestic shipbuilding industry, especially since the beginning of the financial crisis, it is a sign of a healthier market to also see measures that are bringing back some balance into the demand-supply equation. In terms of new orders, S. Korean owner, Sinokor, placed an order for four firm and four optional Capesize vessels (180,000dwt) at Daehan in S. Korea, for a price of $ 53.0m each and with delivery set in 2016", Intermodal concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News



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