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Thursday, 14 November 13
PANAMAX : MARKET SHOULD BE AROUND USD 11500 FOR 1 YEAR - FEARNLEYS AS


Handy
The Atlantic market has picked up this week with prompt ships able USG for November dates coming off and chrts need to pay up in order to cover their stems. Fhauls bss Cont-Med delivery are also seeing increased rates and we expect the Atlantic to continue its firming tendency into next week. After last week´s rate increase in the Feast we are now seeing the activity coming off. Owners with ships open in South China rating USD 13k for trips via Indonesia to India and charters are now looking to plan ahead and take in ships from North China in order to get the discounted rate. The better paying nickel ore rounds are being fixed in the mid-teens and the period market is picking up pace. Some owners would like to cover their positions over New Years and now starting to look for takers.

Panamax
This week started with a cold shower on the north Continent when suddenly ships fixed USD 12k for quick rounds down USD 3k from last Friday. We see quite a bit of fresh requirements, but a
long list of open ships makes sure that the market is still sliding down. For longer duration business in the Atlantic ships can still get around USD 14k. The fronthaul market is sliding together with
the rest of the market, but some players argue that the USG grain market will come back again before Christmas considering the record harvest season in the USA. Now ships fixed around USD
18+800k for trip via USG to China. The Pacific has kept on falling during this week. Now ships in north China get around 10k for round trips, with several fixtures already fixed at four digit numbers
as well. Not that many long period fixtures reported, but market should be around USD 11500 for 1 year.

Capesize
There are no signs of the rally which is still expected to happen before Christmas, however rates are rather keeping steady. Out of Brazil it appears Vale is picking ships quietly for Tubarao/Qingdao, where present level is mid 21s pmt. In the Pacific there have been a good number of West Australia fixtures however levels are still around USD 9.00 pmt. There is also a steady amount of East coast Australia cargoes, but not affecting rates in any positive direction. Demand for period ships is generally healthy, but with the mentioned expected rally owners are holding back.
Source: Fearnresearch



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