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Saturday, 02 November 13
DRY BULK SHIPPERS AREN'T CELEBRATING, BUT THEIR SILENCE IS GOLDEN - MARKET REALIST
In October, performance for major dry bulk shipping companies was mixed. Companies like DryShips Inc. (DRYS) had pulled back more than Diana Shipping Inc. (DSX), while a few like Safe Bulkers Inc. (SB) and Navios Maritime Holdings Inc. (NM) were able to hold onto gains in August and September.
Recap of this week’s key indicators
Despite recent sell-offs, the medium-to-long-term outlook of the dry bulk shipping industry hasn’t changed. Rising ship orders continue to reflect managers’ optimism, and the construction level is slowing down, which means future capacity growth will be lower. Higher scrapping activity likely reflects short-term weakness. But if the long-term trend holds, we should see scrapping activity come down soon.
While early shipments of iron ore led to an earlier peak in shipping rates, and shipping rates (Capesize in particular) have fallen in October, the dry bulk trade should continue to grow into 2014. Falling iron ore prices will reflect new iron ore production rather than weaker demand, which will support iron ore trade.
Despite higher iron ore inventory in China, it remains significantly below the long-term trend line, suggesting room for further purchases of iron ore over the medium to long term. In the short term, we can face headwinds because the interest rate in China has risen and credit is tighter than before. Because holding iron ore at ports costs money, tighter credit and higher interest rate is a short-term headwind. It’s important to be cautious, but it’s also key not to get scared. With steel price in China near the long-term support, the government would likely step in to support the economy if it faltered.
Silence is golden
As dry bulk shipping rates have fallen, so has the mention of dry bulk shippers in the news. But silence is golden. It’s times like this, when nobody is saying anything, that investors are slowly building positions and advancing like silent troops in the night. As long as these trends remain positive, we should see dry bulk shipping companies deliver positive returns over the next few months and quarters.
For those who missed last week’s series that contained several indicators about China’s economic activity, see Weekly trends that affect dry bulk shipping companies’ future.
economic activity, see Weekly trends that affect dry bulk shipping companies’ future.
Source: Market Realist / Hellenic shipping news
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Thursday, 31 October 13
HANDY: ACTIVE; PANAMAX: QUIET; CAPESIZE: NO LIGHT
Handy
The handy market had an active week however not directly translated into the rates we´ve seen in the Pacific. We see more coal and baux ...
Wednesday, 30 October 13
INDONESIAN STATE OWNED COAL MINER HAS EXPORTED 7.02 MILLION TONS OF COAL IN 9 MONTHS
COALspot.com : PT. Bukit Asam, Indonesian state owned coal miner has sold 13.24 million tons of coal for the period January - September 2013. Accord ...
Wednesday, 30 October 13
DRY BULK MARKET HAS LOST FURTHER GROUND THIS PAST WEEK - INTERMODAL
Chartering (Wet: Firm+ / Dry: Stable-)
The Dry Bulk market has lost further ground this past week, as de-creased activity in both basins for both C ...
Wednesday, 30 October 13
CAPESIZE: DOWNWARD; SUPRAS AND HANDIES: STABLE - INTERMODAL
The Dry Bulk market has resumed its downward movement, noting another dip for a third week in a row. The larger size segments were responsible for p ...
Tuesday, 29 October 13
NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 12.29 PER CENT MORE COAL W-W
COALspot.com: Power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from Australia's Newcastle port up 12.29 per cent week on week to 3.61 million mt for ...
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- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- The University of Queensland
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Minerals Council of Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Planning Commission, India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
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