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Saturday, 02 November 13
DRY BULK SHIPPERS AREN'T CELEBRATING, BUT THEIR SILENCE IS GOLDEN - MARKET REALIST
In October, performance for major dry bulk shipping companies was mixed. Companies like DryShips Inc. (DRYS) had pulled back more than Diana Shipping Inc. (DSX), while a few like Safe Bulkers Inc. (SB) and Navios Maritime Holdings Inc. (NM) were able to hold onto gains in August and September.
Recap of this week’s key indicators
Despite recent sell-offs, the medium-to-long-term outlook of the dry bulk shipping industry hasn’t changed. Rising ship orders continue to reflect managers’ optimism, and the construction level is slowing down, which means future capacity growth will be lower. Higher scrapping activity likely reflects short-term weakness. But if the long-term trend holds, we should see scrapping activity come down soon.
While early shipments of iron ore led to an earlier peak in shipping rates, and shipping rates (Capesize in particular) have fallen in October, the dry bulk trade should continue to grow into 2014. Falling iron ore prices will reflect new iron ore production rather than weaker demand, which will support iron ore trade.
Despite higher iron ore inventory in China, it remains significantly below the long-term trend line, suggesting room for further purchases of iron ore over the medium to long term. In the short term, we can face headwinds because the interest rate in China has risen and credit is tighter than before. Because holding iron ore at ports costs money, tighter credit and higher interest rate is a short-term headwind. It’s important to be cautious, but it’s also key not to get scared. With steel price in China near the long-term support, the government would likely step in to support the economy if it faltered.
Silence is golden
As dry bulk shipping rates have fallen, so has the mention of dry bulk shippers in the news. But silence is golden. It’s times like this, when nobody is saying anything, that investors are slowly building positions and advancing like silent troops in the night. As long as these trends remain positive, we should see dry bulk shipping companies deliver positive returns over the next few months and quarters.
For those who missed last week’s series that contained several indicators about China’s economic activity, see Weekly trends that affect dry bulk shipping companies’ future.
economic activity, see Weekly trends that affect dry bulk shipping companies’ future.
Source: Market Realist / Hellenic shipping news
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Monday, 09 December 13
SOUTH AFRICA'S RICHARDS BAY COAL EXPORTS IN NOVEMBER DECLINED 14.43% M-M
COALspot.com: South Africa's Richards Bay coal terminal exported 6.224 million tonnes of coal in November, declining by 1.05 million tons from the ...
Monday, 09 December 13
SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAP FOR Q3' 14 DELIVERY CLOSED $ 0.57 LESSER THAN Q1 CLOSING
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB ) for average Q1’ 14 delivery gained $ 1.49 pmt month on month on Friday 6 Decembe ...
Sunday, 08 December 13
SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS SHOW A DECLINE TREND IN Q2 & Q3' 14
COALspot.com : API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q1’ 14 delivery gained 6.76 percept month on month as on Friday 6 December 2013. T ...
Sunday, 08 December 13
RBCT SHIPPED 63.446 MMT OF COALS YTD
COALspot.com - Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT), the world's single largest coal terminal has shipped 63,446,232 mt of coals YTD, according to por ...
Saturday, 07 December 13
SUPRAMAX SHIPS FOR EC INDIA TO CHINA ROUTE BEING FIXED AT AROUND US$ 13K - SOLYM
COALspot.com: The freight market continued to be firm due to high Iron ore demand. The cape index was up by almost 25 pct this week. The grain seaso ...
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- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Australian Coal Association
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Planning Commission, India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
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