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Wednesday, 30 October 13
DRY BULK MARKET HAS LOST FURTHER GROUND THIS PAST WEEK - INTERMODAL


Chartering (Wet: Firm+ / Dry: Stable-)
The Dry Bulk market has lost further ground this past week, as de-creased activity in both basins for both Capes and Panamaxes was only partly offset by the stable performance of Supras and Handies.

The BDI closed today (29/10/2013) at 1,551 points, down by 68 points compared to Monday’s levels (28/10/2013) and a decrease of 296 points com-pared to the previous Tuesday’s levels (22/10/2013). Weak activity in the North Sea pushed Afra rates down, while the rest of the crude carriers market moved up, with sentiment improving considerably. The BDTI Monday (28/10/2013), was at 599 points, a decrease of 22 points and the BCTI at 484, a decrease of 14 points compared to the previous Mon-day’s levels (21/10/2013).

Sale & Purchase (Wet: Stable+ / Dry: Stable+)
The SnP market has maintained the good volumes of activity that we have been seeing lately.

Irrespective of any volatility that might be witnessed by freight rates in the short term, we expect an active Q4 in terms of second hand sales as more owners appear ready to bet on a market recovery being noted over the next couple of years. On the tankers side, we had the sale of the “CHAMPION PEACE” (106,042dwt-blt 99, Japan), which was picked up by S. Korean buyer Sinokor for a price of US$ 11.0m. On the dry bulker side, we had the sale of the “HOUHENG 3” (179,895dwt-blt 12 Philippines) which was picked up by Greek buyers for a price of $ 52.0m.

New building (Wet: Stable+ / Dry: Stable+)
Despite firm interest for new orders continuing to hold for yet another week, shipyards are still holding a reserved optimism for the future prospects, while continuing to squeeze the most out of this most recent opportunity, rather than making grand plans for capacity expansion. We have already seen shipbuilders purposely contain the number of slots they have available focusing on efficiency, as such, leaving the market with almost no slots with delivery within the next 12-18 months. At the same time there has been a constant and significant rise in the prices being quoted, especially for the more popular dry bulk vessel designs. It is interesting to note that we have seen a considerable price increase of between 5-11% amongst dry bulk slots over the past four months alone, while tankers have only noted a 1-4% rise during the same period. In terms of new orders, Greek owner Golden Union, was reported exercising options for two Capesize vessels (180,000dwt) at Hanjin in Philip-pines, for a price of $ 54.5m each and with delivery towards the end of 2015.

Demolition (Wet: Stable+ / Dry: Stable-)
The demolition scene continues to face slow activity. The short list of deals that were reported this past week doesn’t include neither India nor Bangladesh, as breakers in both these countries seem to be sitting in the sidelines at the moment. In India it appears that cash buyers who managed to secure tonnage during the previous weeks are currently assessing whether this was a good move, as the sentiment is not as strong as it has been in the beginning of the month. Pakistan on the other hand has secured another VL, after the 95 built DELOS the week prior, proving that for the “right” tonnage local breakers are still pre-pared to pay the extra premium. In the East, Chinese breaking yards have lowered their bids even further this week, being less and less ap-pealing for owners of demo candidates that are ballasting in the region, as the trip towards the Indian sub-Continent is still very much worth the trouble. Average prices this week for wet tonnage were at around 350-425$/ldt and dry units received about 340-410$/ldt.

Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations |
research@intermodal.gr

Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis |
g.lazaridis@intermodal.gr
Ms. Eva Tzima |
e.tzima@intermodal.gr

Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.

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