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Friday, 18 October 13
WOOD MACKENZIE FORECASTS CHINA WILL OUTWEIGH THE REST OF THE WORLD FOR BASE METALS DEMAND BY 2017
 China set to account for 52% of 117mt base metals market by 2017
China is on track to exceed rest of the World demand by 2017, becoming the single largest consumer of base metals. According to Wood Mackenzie’s latest base metals demand forecasts, China will account for 52% of base metals demand by 2017, compared with 46% of the 96 million tonnes (Mt) global base metals market in 2013. While China’s lower GDP targets are reflected in lower demand growth for base metals on a percentage basis over the next five years versus the last half decade, the research firm says that China will maintain its dominance and the outlook for Chinese base metals demand is slower not lower.
Helen Matthews, Head of Base Metals Markets research for Wood Mackenzie says; “Our forecasts for the next five years show that across all of the base metals – aluminium, copper, lead, nickel and zinc – growth in demand will come predominately from China. Demand growth has slowed from the double digits we saw from 2008 to 2013 to single digits - ranging from five to eight percent – however, it’s important to note that in absolute tonnage terms we still see significant numbers.”
Wood Mackenzie says that the global base metals market is set to grow from 96Mt in 2013 to 122 Mt in 2018, with a huge shift set to occur in 2017; “Today, the Rest of the World, excluding China, accounts for 54% of the global base metals market however, as we’re seeing with many other commodities, China’s rampant appetite will overtake the rest of the World, growing to 52% of demand in a 117Mt market.”
Wood Mackenzie’s economic analysis points to the drivers behind this growth as Jonathan Butcher, Senior Economist for Wood Mackenzie explains; “While there are a number of factors behind growth in demand for each base metal, a key theme for China is continued urbanisation and rising domestic wealth. Wood Mackenzie’s proprietary China Activity Index tracks a number of factors, and gives us confidence that economic growth will remain strong in the short term. Looking out to 2030, we see a bright future for Chinese commodity demand. Urbanisation rates will reach 70%, compared to just under half of the population in 2013. This will have a widespread impact on the economy over the next 20 years, with electricity consumption per capita forecast to reach the same level as Korea today.”
Matthews adds; “Our analysis shows that the outlook for key demand drivers is positive, with a firm emphasis on Asia.”
Editor’s notes:
Wood Mackenzie is the most comprehensive source of knowledge about the world’s energy and metals industries. We analyse and advise on every stage along the value chain - from discovery to delivery, and beyond - to provide clients with the commercial insight that makes them stronger. For more information visit: www.woodmac.com
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Wednesday, 21 August 13
DRY BULK SHIPPING - POSITIVE WINDOW FOR CAPESIZE OWNERS - PETER SAND
By: Peter Sand, Chief Shipping Analyst, BIMCO
Demand:
“Expect the unexpected from the dry bulk market” was what we wrote last time ar ...
Wednesday, 21 August 13
RATES FOR CAPES MOVED DECISIVELY NORTH THIS WEEK - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com - Right when the BDI seemed ready for another dive below the 1000 points level, the Dry Bulk market made significant comeback this week ...
Tuesday, 20 August 13
AUSTRALIA NEWCASTLE COAL EXPORTS FALL 19.15 PERCENT ON WEEK
COALspot.com: Power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from Australia's Newcastle port fell 19.15 per cent week on week to 2.39 million mt f ...
Tuesday, 20 August 13
CAPESIZE RATES MORE SENSITIVE TO DEMAND - COMMODORE RESEARCH & CONSULTANCY
COALspot.com : Approximately 71.50 million tons of iron ore is now stockpiled at Chinese ports, 900,000 tons (-1%) less than a week ago, Commodore R ...
Sunday, 18 August 13
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP : ON POSITIVE DIRECTION ON DAY, WEEK AND MONTH
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average Q4 2013 delivery US$ 1.83 up month on month. The swap was moved positive ...
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- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- The University of Queensland
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Economic Council, Georgia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- White Energy Company Limited
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Minerals Council of Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
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