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Friday, 18 October 13
WOOD MACKENZIE FORECASTS CHINA WILL OUTWEIGH THE REST OF THE WORLD FOR BASE METALS DEMAND BY 2017
 China set to account for 52% of 117mt base metals market by 2017
China is on track to exceed rest of the World demand by 2017, becoming the single largest consumer of base metals. According to Wood Mackenzie’s latest base metals demand forecasts, China will account for 52% of base metals demand by 2017, compared with 46% of the 96 million tonnes (Mt) global base metals market in 2013. While China’s lower GDP targets are reflected in lower demand growth for base metals on a percentage basis over the next five years versus the last half decade, the research firm says that China will maintain its dominance and the outlook for Chinese base metals demand is slower not lower.
Helen Matthews, Head of Base Metals Markets research for Wood Mackenzie says; “Our forecasts for the next five years show that across all of the base metals – aluminium, copper, lead, nickel and zinc – growth in demand will come predominately from China. Demand growth has slowed from the double digits we saw from 2008 to 2013 to single digits - ranging from five to eight percent – however, it’s important to note that in absolute tonnage terms we still see significant numbers.”
Wood Mackenzie says that the global base metals market is set to grow from 96Mt in 2013 to 122 Mt in 2018, with a huge shift set to occur in 2017; “Today, the Rest of the World, excluding China, accounts for 54% of the global base metals market however, as we’re seeing with many other commodities, China’s rampant appetite will overtake the rest of the World, growing to 52% of demand in a 117Mt market.”
Wood Mackenzie’s economic analysis points to the drivers behind this growth as Jonathan Butcher, Senior Economist for Wood Mackenzie explains; “While there are a number of factors behind growth in demand for each base metal, a key theme for China is continued urbanisation and rising domestic wealth. Wood Mackenzie’s proprietary China Activity Index tracks a number of factors, and gives us confidence that economic growth will remain strong in the short term. Looking out to 2030, we see a bright future for Chinese commodity demand. Urbanisation rates will reach 70%, compared to just under half of the population in 2013. This will have a widespread impact on the economy over the next 20 years, with electricity consumption per capita forecast to reach the same level as Korea today.”
Matthews adds; “Our analysis shows that the outlook for key demand drivers is positive, with a firm emphasis on Asia.”
Editor’s notes:
Wood Mackenzie is the most comprehensive source of knowledge about the world’s energy and metals industries. We analyse and advise on every stage along the value chain - from discovery to delivery, and beyond - to provide clients with the commercial insight that makes them stronger. For more information visit: www.woodmac.com
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Friday, 20 September 13
US COAL PRODUCTION SLIGHTLY UP WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer produced totalled approximately 20.30 million short tons (mmst) of ...
Friday, 20 September 13
COLOMBIA SHIPPED 31.14 MILLION TONS OF THERMAL COAL IN H1
COALspot.com : Colombia’s coal exports fell by 20.59 percent in June 2013 compared to Colombia’s May's export of 7,633,579 MT.
Colom ...
Thursday, 19 September 13
CAPESIZE : AVERAGE DAILY EARNINGS HAVE GAINED ALMOST USD 6K WOW - FEARNLEYS
Handy
The rates in Feast are still firm this week even the activity calmed down a bit as chrtrs are not in a rush to cover even their end Sept carg ...
Wednesday, 18 September 13
IRON ORE AND ZINC ARE BEST PERFORMING MINING SECTORS IN CURRENT LOW PRICE, HIGH COST ENVIRONMENT - WOOD MACKENZIE
With the fall in commodity prices, cash margins in the mining industry have come under pressure. Accordingly, producers and investors are placing in ...
Wednesday, 18 September 13
DRY BULK MARKET CONTINUED TO ADVANCE - INTERMODAL
Chartering (Wet: Stable- / Dry: Firm+ )
The Dry Bulk market continued to advance at a very fast pace, with the BDI closing off the week north ...
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- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PTC India Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
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