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Friday, 18 October 13
WOOD MACKENZIE FORECASTS CHINA WILL OUTWEIGH THE REST OF THE WORLD FOR BASE METALS DEMAND BY 2017
 China set to account for 52% of 117mt base metals market by 2017
China is on track to exceed rest of the World demand by 2017, becoming the single largest consumer of base metals. According to Wood Mackenzie’s latest base metals demand forecasts, China will account for 52% of base metals demand by 2017, compared with 46% of the 96 million tonnes (Mt) global base metals market in 2013. While China’s lower GDP targets are reflected in lower demand growth for base metals on a percentage basis over the next five years versus the last half decade, the research firm says that China will maintain its dominance and the outlook for Chinese base metals demand is slower not lower.
Helen Matthews, Head of Base Metals Markets research for Wood Mackenzie says; “Our forecasts for the next five years show that across all of the base metals – aluminium, copper, lead, nickel and zinc – growth in demand will come predominately from China. Demand growth has slowed from the double digits we saw from 2008 to 2013 to single digits - ranging from five to eight percent – however, it’s important to note that in absolute tonnage terms we still see significant numbers.”
Wood Mackenzie says that the global base metals market is set to grow from 96Mt in 2013 to 122 Mt in 2018, with a huge shift set to occur in 2017; “Today, the Rest of the World, excluding China, accounts for 54% of the global base metals market however, as we’re seeing with many other commodities, China’s rampant appetite will overtake the rest of the World, growing to 52% of demand in a 117Mt market.”
Wood Mackenzie’s economic analysis points to the drivers behind this growth as Jonathan Butcher, Senior Economist for Wood Mackenzie explains; “While there are a number of factors behind growth in demand for each base metal, a key theme for China is continued urbanisation and rising domestic wealth. Wood Mackenzie’s proprietary China Activity Index tracks a number of factors, and gives us confidence that economic growth will remain strong in the short term. Looking out to 2030, we see a bright future for Chinese commodity demand. Urbanisation rates will reach 70%, compared to just under half of the population in 2013. This will have a widespread impact on the economy over the next 20 years, with electricity consumption per capita forecast to reach the same level as Korea today.”
Matthews adds; “Our analysis shows that the outlook for key demand drivers is positive, with a firm emphasis on Asia.”
Editor’s notes:
Wood Mackenzie is the most comprehensive source of knowledge about the world’s energy and metals industries. We analyse and advise on every stage along the value chain - from discovery to delivery, and beyond - to provide clients with the commercial insight that makes them stronger. For more information visit: www.woodmac.com
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Thursday, 03 October 13
INDONESIA AUGUST COAL EXPORTS FALL 12.90 % FROM JULY TO 30.71 MIL MT
COALspot.com: Indonesia, the 15th largest economy in world, 4th largest coal producer in world and world's largest multi grade coal exporter ...
Thursday, 03 October 13
TOP FOUR U.S. COAL COMPANIES SUPPLIED MORE THAN HALF OF U.S. COAL PRODUCTION IN 2011 - EIA
In the past two years, more than half of U.S. coal production was attributable to the top four coal producers, the result of changes in regional pro ...
Thursday, 03 October 13
HANDY: PERIOD MARKET STAND IN GOOD POSITION - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
Nickel ore and Bauxite was active last week but slowed down now due to Chinese holidays. Ships opened in North China fixed at US$ 11-13k leve ...
Wednesday, 02 October 13
DRY BULK MARKET IS STILL MAINTAINING ITS UPWARD DIRECTION
Chartering (Wet: Stable- / Dry: Firm+)
Despite the fact that rates for Capes didn't continue their crazy ride this past week, the Dry Bulk market ...
Wednesday, 02 October 13
HOW LONG WILL THIS LATEST CAPESIZE RALLY LAST? - TASOS PAPADOPOULOS
By Tasos Papadopoulos, SnP Broker, Intermodal
The surge in iron ore trade has translated into a massive boost in daily earnings for capes; with t ...
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- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Australian Coal Association
- Planning Commission, India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- The University of Queensland
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
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