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Friday, 18 October 13
WOOD MACKENZIE FORECASTS CHINA WILL OUTWEIGH THE REST OF THE WORLD FOR BASE METALS DEMAND BY 2017
 China set to account for 52% of 117mt base metals market by 2017
China is on track to exceed rest of the World demand by 2017, becoming the single largest consumer of base metals. According to Wood Mackenzie’s latest base metals demand forecasts, China will account for 52% of base metals demand by 2017, compared with 46% of the 96 million tonnes (Mt) global base metals market in 2013. While China’s lower GDP targets are reflected in lower demand growth for base metals on a percentage basis over the next five years versus the last half decade, the research firm says that China will maintain its dominance and the outlook for Chinese base metals demand is slower not lower.
Helen Matthews, Head of Base Metals Markets research for Wood Mackenzie says; “Our forecasts for the next five years show that across all of the base metals – aluminium, copper, lead, nickel and zinc – growth in demand will come predominately from China. Demand growth has slowed from the double digits we saw from 2008 to 2013 to single digits - ranging from five to eight percent – however, it’s important to note that in absolute tonnage terms we still see significant numbers.”
Wood Mackenzie says that the global base metals market is set to grow from 96Mt in 2013 to 122 Mt in 2018, with a huge shift set to occur in 2017; “Today, the Rest of the World, excluding China, accounts for 54% of the global base metals market however, as we’re seeing with many other commodities, China’s rampant appetite will overtake the rest of the World, growing to 52% of demand in a 117Mt market.”
Wood Mackenzie’s economic analysis points to the drivers behind this growth as Jonathan Butcher, Senior Economist for Wood Mackenzie explains; “While there are a number of factors behind growth in demand for each base metal, a key theme for China is continued urbanisation and rising domestic wealth. Wood Mackenzie’s proprietary China Activity Index tracks a number of factors, and gives us confidence that economic growth will remain strong in the short term. Looking out to 2030, we see a bright future for Chinese commodity demand. Urbanisation rates will reach 70%, compared to just under half of the population in 2013. This will have a widespread impact on the economy over the next 20 years, with electricity consumption per capita forecast to reach the same level as Korea today.”
Matthews adds; “Our analysis shows that the outlook for key demand drivers is positive, with a firm emphasis on Asia.”
Editor’s notes:
Wood Mackenzie is the most comprehensive source of knowledge about the world’s energy and metals industries. We analyse and advise on every stage along the value chain - from discovery to delivery, and beyond - to provide clients with the commercial insight that makes them stronger. For more information visit: www.woodmac.com
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Friday, 18 October 13
DRY BULK MARKET ON "PAUSE" MODE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has been on "pause" mode over the past week, after China's return from the week long holidays. The industry's benchm ...
Friday, 18 October 13
US PRODUCED 6.7% MORE COAL W-W
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer produced approximately 18.9 million short tons (mmst) of coal in a ...
Thursday, 17 October 13
CAPESIZE: RATES ARE AGAIN MOVING UPWARDS - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
Activities were obviously slowed down in the Pacific basin. There were only few coal movements which fixed around USD 15-16k for ships in Sin ...
Thursday, 17 October 13
SGX TO LAUNCH "SGX THERMAL COAL FUTURES" NEXT MONDAY
COALspot.com: SGX is to launch two thermal coal futures contracts, SGX API 8 CFR China Coal Index Futures and SGX IHS McCloskey Indonesian Sub-bit F ...
Thursday, 17 October 13
CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS DOWN 9.4% TO 25.96 MMT IN AUGUST
COALspot.com: China's August Imported coal volumes down 9.4% m-m but up 27% y-y, BNP said in its latest China Coal & Power report released on 1 ...
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- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
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- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
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- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
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- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
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- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
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- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
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- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
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- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
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- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
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- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
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- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
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- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
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- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
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- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
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- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
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- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
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- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
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- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
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- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Planning Commission, India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
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- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
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- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
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- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
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- McConnell Dowell - Australia
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- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
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