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Friday, 18 October 13
WOOD MACKENZIE FORECASTS CHINA WILL OUTWEIGH THE REST OF THE WORLD FOR BASE METALS DEMAND BY 2017
 China set to account for 52% of 117mt base metals market by 2017
China is on track to exceed rest of the World demand by 2017, becoming the single largest consumer of base metals. According to Wood Mackenzie’s latest base metals demand forecasts, China will account for 52% of base metals demand by 2017, compared with 46% of the 96 million tonnes (Mt) global base metals market in 2013. While China’s lower GDP targets are reflected in lower demand growth for base metals on a percentage basis over the next five years versus the last half decade, the research firm says that China will maintain its dominance and the outlook for Chinese base metals demand is slower not lower.
Helen Matthews, Head of Base Metals Markets research for Wood Mackenzie says; “Our forecasts for the next five years show that across all of the base metals – aluminium, copper, lead, nickel and zinc – growth in demand will come predominately from China. Demand growth has slowed from the double digits we saw from 2008 to 2013 to single digits - ranging from five to eight percent – however, it’s important to note that in absolute tonnage terms we still see significant numbers.”
Wood Mackenzie says that the global base metals market is set to grow from 96Mt in 2013 to 122 Mt in 2018, with a huge shift set to occur in 2017; “Today, the Rest of the World, excluding China, accounts for 54% of the global base metals market however, as we’re seeing with many other commodities, China’s rampant appetite will overtake the rest of the World, growing to 52% of demand in a 117Mt market.”
Wood Mackenzie’s economic analysis points to the drivers behind this growth as Jonathan Butcher, Senior Economist for Wood Mackenzie explains; “While there are a number of factors behind growth in demand for each base metal, a key theme for China is continued urbanisation and rising domestic wealth. Wood Mackenzie’s proprietary China Activity Index tracks a number of factors, and gives us confidence that economic growth will remain strong in the short term. Looking out to 2030, we see a bright future for Chinese commodity demand. Urbanisation rates will reach 70%, compared to just under half of the population in 2013. This will have a widespread impact on the economy over the next 20 years, with electricity consumption per capita forecast to reach the same level as Korea today.”
Matthews adds; “Our analysis shows that the outlook for key demand drivers is positive, with a firm emphasis on Asia.”
Editor’s notes:
Wood Mackenzie is the most comprehensive source of knowledge about the world’s energy and metals industries. We analyse and advise on every stage along the value chain - from discovery to delivery, and beyond - to provide clients with the commercial insight that makes them stronger. For more information visit: www.woodmac.com
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Tuesday, 29 October 13
NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 12.29 PER CENT MORE COAL W-W
COALspot.com: Power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from Australia's Newcastle port up 12.29 per cent week on week to 3.61 million mt for ...
Monday, 28 October 13
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL FOR Q3'14 DELIVERY LOST ON D-D,W-W & M-M
COALspot.com : API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q4 2013 delivery fell 0.22 percept M-M on Friday 25 October 2013. The CFR South China Co ...
Monday, 28 October 13
COAL SWAP FOR Q3' 2014 DELIVERY LOST ON D-D, W-W AND M-M
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB ) for average Q4 2013 delivery gained 0.46 percept month on month on Friday 25 October 2 ...
Saturday, 26 October 13
PANAMAX CHARTER RATES FROM INDONESIA TO INDIA STAY FIRM - SOLYM
COALspot.com: The freight market showed tendency of softness with Cape and Panamax futures and physical soft.
The BDI was down by 12 pct week end ...
Saturday, 26 October 13
DRY BULK MARKET KEEPS ON RETREATING, BUT NEW BUILDING ORDERS KEEP ON PILING - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market kept on retreating this week, with the industry's benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) falling to 1,708 points, down 78 on the ...
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- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The University of Queensland
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Parliament of New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
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