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Friday, 18 October 13
WOOD MACKENZIE FORECASTS CHINA WILL OUTWEIGH THE REST OF THE WORLD FOR BASE METALS DEMAND BY 2017
 China set to account for 52% of 117mt base metals market by 2017
China is on track to exceed rest of the World demand by 2017, becoming the single largest consumer of base metals. According to Wood Mackenzie’s latest base metals demand forecasts, China will account for 52% of base metals demand by 2017, compared with 46% of the 96 million tonnes (Mt) global base metals market in 2013. While China’s lower GDP targets are reflected in lower demand growth for base metals on a percentage basis over the next five years versus the last half decade, the research firm says that China will maintain its dominance and the outlook for Chinese base metals demand is slower not lower.
Helen Matthews, Head of Base Metals Markets research for Wood Mackenzie says; “Our forecasts for the next five years show that across all of the base metals – aluminium, copper, lead, nickel and zinc – growth in demand will come predominately from China. Demand growth has slowed from the double digits we saw from 2008 to 2013 to single digits - ranging from five to eight percent – however, it’s important to note that in absolute tonnage terms we still see significant numbers.”
Wood Mackenzie says that the global base metals market is set to grow from 96Mt in 2013 to 122 Mt in 2018, with a huge shift set to occur in 2017; “Today, the Rest of the World, excluding China, accounts for 54% of the global base metals market however, as we’re seeing with many other commodities, China’s rampant appetite will overtake the rest of the World, growing to 52% of demand in a 117Mt market.”
Wood Mackenzie’s economic analysis points to the drivers behind this growth as Jonathan Butcher, Senior Economist for Wood Mackenzie explains; “While there are a number of factors behind growth in demand for each base metal, a key theme for China is continued urbanisation and rising domestic wealth. Wood Mackenzie’s proprietary China Activity Index tracks a number of factors, and gives us confidence that economic growth will remain strong in the short term. Looking out to 2030, we see a bright future for Chinese commodity demand. Urbanisation rates will reach 70%, compared to just under half of the population in 2013. This will have a widespread impact on the economy over the next 20 years, with electricity consumption per capita forecast to reach the same level as Korea today.”
Matthews adds; “Our analysis shows that the outlook for key demand drivers is positive, with a firm emphasis on Asia.”
Editor’s notes:
Wood Mackenzie is the most comprehensive source of knowledge about the world’s energy and metals industries. We analyse and advise on every stage along the value chain - from discovery to delivery, and beyond - to provide clients with the commercial insight that makes them stronger. For more information visit: www.woodmac.com
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Tuesday, 19 November 13
SHIP OWNER POUR MORE MONEY INTO DRY BULK CARRIER ACQUISITIONS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The recent dry bulk market's rally, coupled with an expected fall in oversupply and robust cargo demand has boosted ship owners' optimism on the l ...
Monday, 18 November 13
SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAP LOST ON WEEK; MARGINALLY GAINED ON DAY
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB ) for average Q1’ 14 delivery gained $ 1.25 pmt month on month on Friday 15 Novemb ...
Sunday, 17 November 13
Q4' 14 API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED $ 3.43 PMT (4.34 %) HIGHER THAN Q1' 14 SWAP
COALspot.com : API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q1’ 14 delivery gained 0.05 percept d-d on Friday 15 November 2013. The CFR South ...
Saturday, 16 November 13
INDONESIA TO INDIA SUPRAMAX FREIGHT RATES FIRM DUE TO STRONG COAL ACTIVITIES
COALspot.com: The Cape and Panamax index was down this week and pulling down the BDI by about 5 pct. BDI was closed at 1507 points on Friday 1 ...
Friday, 15 November 13
DRY BULK MARKET STILL LINGERING ON, DESPITE PREDICTIONS OF NEW IMMINENT RALLY PRIOR TO THE YEAR'S END - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market hasn't yet managed to stage a new comeback after its retreat from the recent multiyear highs. Yesterday, the industry's benchm ...
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- GMR Energy Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
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