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Friday, 18 October 13
WOOD MACKENZIE FORECASTS CHINA WILL OUTWEIGH THE REST OF THE WORLD FOR BASE METALS DEMAND BY 2017
China set to account for 52% of 117mt base metals market by 2017
China is on track to exceed rest of the World demand by 2017, becoming the single largest consumer of base metals. According to Wood Mackenzie’s latest base metals demand forecasts, China will account for 52% of base metals demand by 2017, compared with 46% of the 96 million tonnes (Mt) global base metals market in 2013. While China’s lower GDP targets are reflected in lower demand growth for base metals on a percentage basis over the next five years versus the last half decade, the research firm says that China will maintain its dominance and the outlook for Chinese base metals demand is slower not lower.
Helen Matthews, Head of Base Metals Markets research for Wood Mackenzie says; “Our forecasts for the next five years show that across all of the base metals – aluminium, copper, lead, nickel and zinc – growth in demand will come predominately from China. Demand growth has slowed from the double digits we saw from 2008 to 2013 to single digits - ranging from five to eight percent – however, it’s important to note that in absolute tonnage terms we still see significant numbers.”
Wood Mackenzie says that the global base metals market is set to grow from 96Mt in 2013 to 122 Mt in 2018, with a huge shift set to occur in 2017; “Today, the Rest of the World, excluding China, accounts for 54% of the global base metals market however, as we’re seeing with many other commodities, China’s rampant appetite will overtake the rest of the World, growing to 52% of demand in a 117Mt market.”
Wood Mackenzie’s economic analysis points to the drivers behind this growth as Jonathan Butcher, Senior Economist for Wood Mackenzie explains; “While there are a number of factors behind growth in demand for each base metal, a key theme for China is continued urbanisation and rising domestic wealth. Wood Mackenzie’s proprietary China Activity Index tracks a number of factors, and gives us confidence that economic growth will remain strong in the short term. Looking out to 2030, we see a bright future for Chinese commodity demand. Urbanisation rates will reach 70%, compared to just under half of the population in 2013. This will have a widespread impact on the economy over the next 20 years, with electricity consumption per capita forecast to reach the same level as Korea today.”
Matthews adds; “Our analysis shows that the outlook for key demand drivers is positive, with a firm emphasis on Asia.”
Editor’s notes:
Wood Mackenzie is the most comprehensive source of knowledge about the world’s energy and metals industries. We analyse and advise on every stage along the value chain - from discovery to delivery, and beyond - to provide clients with the commercial insight that makes them stronger. For more information visit: www.woodmac.com
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Thursday, 05 December 13
PANAMAX : THE FIRM TENDENCY CONTINUES - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
It has been an active week for the Supramax and Handysize segment. USG is almost boiling and charterers looking to cover their December stems ...
Wednesday, 04 December 13
INDONESIAN COAL EXPORTS VOLUME AND REVENUE IN OCTOBER MARCHED TOWARDS NORTH
COALspot.com: Indonesia, the world's 4th largest coal producer and the largest multi grade coal exporter shipped over $1.76* billion worth of ...
Wednesday, 04 December 13
WEST AUSTRALIA IRON ORE FIXTURES ALSO CONTINUING TO PROVIDE A STEADY FLOW OF BUSINESS FOR CAPES - INTERMODAL
The Dry Bulk market has reversed course this past week, bringing back some of the lost excitement of the past month, as all size segments climbed hi ...
Wednesday, 04 December 13
THE BUYERS' DEMAND IS CONTINUOUSLY BULLISH - KONSTANTINOS KONTOMICHIS
The very low rates that prevailed for the bigger part of 2013 seem to have prepared the ground for buying opportunities for shipping investors. The ...
Wednesday, 04 December 13
SGX AND CFA TO COLLABORATE TO DEVELOP DERIVATIVES MARKETS IN CHINA AND SINGAPORE
Singapore Exchange (SGX) and the China Futures Association (CFA) are cooperating in the development of derivatives markets in China and Singapore.
...
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- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Planning Commission, India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
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