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Thursday, 26 September 13
PANAMAX MARKET CONTINUE WITH STRONG RATES IN BOTH BASINS - FEARNRESEARCH


Handy
Feast rates are still firm, some fresh stems entered the market. Vessels trading around $15k passing Singapore for coal to India, and a bit less for trips Indo/China. Nickel Ore still pays a premium a vessels open Philippines were fixed at around $17k for a trip to China. South Africa is same negative sentiment. But ore in PG to China fixed in $13-16k range. Short period seem strong. Ships in North China are fixed around $10-11k for 3/5 months.

Panamax
Panamax market continue with strong rates in both basins. Atlantic are extremely busy and rates increases every day. For Atlantic rounds owners asking 15-16 k and more from baltic. Fronthaul being fixed at 25-27 k levels, on iron ore from Brazil and grain from USG to feast reported in the high 50ies up from 42-43 only few weeks ago. Very strong pacific market as well and rounds been concluded at 16k for NOPAC and even 18-19 k for Aussie/Indo rounds. We are now soon ending the 3 rd week with strong increase. Although seemingly well supported by fresh cargoes and strength in other segments a relevant question is if will this continue or if we have we seen the peak for now. The iron ore out of Brazil together with much grain ex USG have been the main drivers supported by good coal volumes and cape splits in both hemispheres. Period business have kicked off as a result of the strong market, and 1 year coming close to 13 k, short period in the 16-17 range.

Capesize
Appearing more and more toppish as gains are primarily obtained for small volume routes, whilst levels for main trades such as Brazil/China and W Aust/China are under pressure. Average daily earning are up 20% w-o-w to come in at usd 42k, and a further strengthening/consolidation is very dependent on steady fresh coal and iron ore flows, key factor being Chinese steel mills´ need for further restocking or not. With primarily financial players now taking profit prior to quarter-end, FFA values struggle to provide support for ever-increasing period levels - last exemplified by a 180000 dwt built 2010 open prompt China for 12 months at a whopping usd 25k.
Source: Fearnleys AS



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