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Wednesday, 18 September 13
IRON ORE AND ZINC ARE BEST PERFORMING MINING SECTORS IN CURRENT LOW PRICE, HIGH COST ENVIRONMENT - WOOD MACKENZIE
With the fall in commodity prices, cash margins in the mining industry have come under pressure. Accordingly, producers and investors are placing intense focus on both operating and capital costs. Wood Mackenzie's report titled 'Who hurts most' analyses cash costs and margins across the bulk commodities as well as base and precious metals. The report reveals that the iron ore and zinc sectors will perform best on average; while copper, export metallurgical coal and gold will be most challenged. Based on this, companies may have to make important decisions to protect their overall margins.
Wood Mackenzie finds that amongst the bulk commodities, iron ore stands above the rest. Despite pulling back from 2012 levels with a 19% cash margin decline, iron ore still has a very strong average industry margin of US$49/tonne (52% of average price) in 2014, enabling continued large cash generation in this high volume business. This supports the on-going focus by the major producers like Rio Tinto, BHP Billiton and Vale, on pushing ahead with expansions at their low cost iron ore operations. It is also in stark contrast to coal and bauxite, both of which have average margins of less than 25% in 2013 - the outlook is particularly bleak for export thermal coal with an average margin of only 19% in 2014.
Mr Steve Hulton, Principal Mining Analyst for Wood Mackenzie, says, "The sectors that fare the worst, with biggest average falls in margins from 2012 to 2014 are copper, export metallurgical coal and gold. Nickel has the lowest average industry margin of only 13% of price in 2013. This rises slightly in 2014, but it is still the worst of all commodities studied. As such, the nickel industry is under severe pressure. In 2012, one-third of industry production generated negative margins after taking into account total cash and sustaining capex costs."
The zinc mining sector has a very high average margin as a percentage of the metal price due to the large contribution of by-product credits like copper, lead, silver and gold, which offset operating costs. While remaining relatively high, the average zinc margin is expected to decrease to 83% in 2014, even with a rising zinc price, due to the lower value of by-product revenue in this polymetallic sector.
For the copper and gold industries, lower prices will continue to put pressure on overall operational cash-flow. In Wood Mackenzie's analysis, average industry margins in 2014 fall to 39% for copper and 44% for gold, down from 49% and 50% respectively from 2012. In export met coal, margins in 2014 are only 25% of average price, down from 30% in 2012.
Mr Hulton explains the importance of this analysis to producers, "Operating costs in the mining industry have risen rapidly over recent years, but now that prices have dropped there is a renewed focus from mining companies on reducing costs and trying to protect margins."
"To compare overall operating margins, we examine total cash cost plus sustaining capital. For producers to accurately assess cash margins at the mine level, just examining the basic C1™ operating cost can be misleading. Total cash cost plus sustaining capital is a better full cash cost measure. This comprises the C1™ operating cash cost plus indirect cash costs such as royalties & levies, and the cash spend on capital required to sustain production." The industry standard C1™ cost is the direct cash cost of mining, processing and offsite realisation costs, including any by-product credits. It is primarily used to compare the relative underlying cost efficiency of production between mines.
Mr Hulton concludes, "Individual mining companies will be variously affected depending on their exposure to the different commodities, and where their particular mines sit on the respective industry cost/margin curves. As price takers, there are limited tunes the producers can play and one of them will be to slow down on capital spend, and prioritise the commodities that have the best returns."
*Note: The base and precious metals commodities covered in the analysis are copper, nickel, zinc and gold. The bulk commodities covered in the analysis are metallurgical export coal, thermal export coal, bauxite and iron ore.
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Monday, 16 September 13
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP: STABLE TO STEADY
COALspot.com : SGX has launched API 8 CFR South China Coal Swap on 29 April 2013 and SGX replaced the previous swap.
API 8 CFR South China Coal s ...
Monday, 16 September 13
INDONESIAN SUB-BIT COAL SWAP STRUGGLING TO FINDS THE RIGHT PATH
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB ) for average Q4 2013 delivery down 0.75 percept month on month on Friday 13 Septe ...
Sunday, 15 September 13
CAPE FREIGHT RATES RISE ON HIGH DEMAND AND TIGHT AVAILABILITY - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com : The BDI, Cape and Panamax indices are continued to rise and saw a steep surge with average index in these segments up around 25 pct w ...
Friday, 13 September 13
US COAL OUTPUT SLIPS 3.34% ON-WEEK
COALspot.com – United states the world’s second largest coal producer produced totaled approximately 20.20 million short tons (mmst) of ...
Friday, 13 September 13
DIRECTOR GENERAL OF MINERAL AND COAL OF INDONESIA REVISED UP COAL PRICE REFERENCE TO US$ 76.89
COALspot. com - The Indonesian government has revised up its owned coal bench mark price by US$ 0.19/ MT to US$ 76.89 for September 2013 deliveries ...
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- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PTC India Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- White Energy Company Limited
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Australian Coal Association
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
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