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Thursday, 12 September 13
CAPESIZE MARKET WILL BECOME EVEN TIGHTER - JEFFREY LANDSBERG
COALspot.com : While it is no secret that current capesize availability has become tight and has caused capesize rates to surge, availability is set to become even tighter in the near future once Drummond coal cargoes return to the market (when the strike is resolved) and also due to the very large amount of Brazilian iron ore cargoes that have continued to surface. So far this week, 10 capesize vessels have been chartered to haul Brazilian iron ore cargoes. This is a very large amount, and already exceeds the robust 9 capesize vessels that were chartered to haul Brazilian iron ore cargoes during all of last week.
The last time that 10 or more capesize vessels were chartered to haul iron ore cargoes in a single week was the Week Ending November 16, 2012. Chinese demand for imported iron ore is currently very strong, which is helping capesize rates to surge. However, the capesize market will again benefit from the current level of activity as spot capesize availability will find itself even tighter in the near future. It is extremely encouraging for the capesize market that so many capesize vessels have recently been chartered for long-haul Brazil to China iron ore exports. In addition, Atlantic basin spot capesize availability will become even more tight whenever the Drummond coal strike officially comes to an end.
For the capesize market, near term prospects remain encouraging. There will be fluctuations whenever there are brief dips in Chinese demand, but overall we believe in the weeks and months to come there will be days when average daily capesize rates easily increase by over $3,000 in a single day. That’s the beauty of dry bulk shipping. Demand for vessels is quite inelastic and not very responsive to changes in prices. When a charterer needs a vessel, he (she) needs a vessel. And when spot vessel availability is tight, an environment is created where freight rates are prone to large increases. With some many capesize vessels recently being chartered to haul long-haul Brazilian iron ore cargoes -- and with an increase in Drummond coal cargoes being poised to re-emerge in the market at some point like in the near future -- the already tight capesize market will become even tighter.
By: Jeffrey Landsberg | Managing Director, Commodore Research & Consultancy
About Commodore Research & Consultancy
Commodore Research & Consultancy is an independent New York City-based consultancy that focuses on the global demand, supply, and seaborne trade of industrial and agricultural commodities, with a particular focus on China. Commodore Research & Consultancy's analysts handle a wide variety of consulting requests and custom reports. Commodore Research & Consultancy also offers two standard report subscriptions (Dry Bulk Report Subscription and China Report Subscription).
Views expressed herein are personal views of the author and not that of COALspot.com. We welcome article submissions from experts in the areas of coal, mining, shipping, etc. To submit your articles please click here
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Sunday, 18 August 13
INDO - INDIA FREIGHT EXPECTED TO BE FIRM NEXT WEEK - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The freight market was up this week with the BDI gaining more than 10 pct due to strong Cape Sector.
The BDI was closed at 1,102 p ...
Friday, 16 August 13
US COAL PRODUCTION SLIGHTLY UP ON WEEK
COALspot.com – United states the world’s second largest coal producer produced totaled approximately 20.10 million short tons (mmst) of ...
Thursday, 15 August 13
CAPESIZE : TRENDS SOMETIMES SHIFT WITH NO PRIOR WARNING - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
The influence of the summer holidays across Europe was felt in the Atlantic basin this week. Very little activity and a growing list of avail ...
Wednesday, 14 August 13
ANOTHER WEEK IN THE RED FOR DRY BULK CARRIERS - INTERMODAL
Chartering (Wet: Stable- / Dry: Stable- )
Another week in the red for Dry Bulk carriers with the market losing further steam as fewer an ...
Tuesday, 13 August 13
AUSTRALIA NEWCASTLE COAL EXPORTS JUMP 30.61 PERCENT ON WEEK
COALspot.com: Power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from Australia's Newcastle port up 30.61 per cent week on week to 2.95 million mt for ...
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- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
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