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Thursday, 12 September 13
CAPESIZE MARKET WILL BECOME EVEN TIGHTER - JEFFREY LANDSBERG
COALspot.com : While it is no secret that current capesize availability has become tight and has caused capesize rates to surge, availability is set to become even tighter in the near future once Drummond coal cargoes return to the market (when the strike is resolved) and also due to the very large amount of Brazilian iron ore cargoes that have continued to surface. So far this week, 10 capesize vessels have been chartered to haul Brazilian iron ore cargoes. This is a very large amount, and already exceeds the robust 9 capesize vessels that were chartered to haul Brazilian iron ore cargoes during all of last week.
The last time that 10 or more capesize vessels were chartered to haul iron ore cargoes in a single week was the Week Ending November 16, 2012. Chinese demand for imported iron ore is currently very strong, which is helping capesize rates to surge. However, the capesize market will again benefit from the current level of activity as spot capesize availability will find itself even tighter in the near future. It is extremely encouraging for the capesize market that so many capesize vessels have recently been chartered for long-haul Brazil to China iron ore exports. In addition, Atlantic basin spot capesize availability will become even more tight whenever the Drummond coal strike officially comes to an end.
For the capesize market, near term prospects remain encouraging. There will be fluctuations whenever there are brief dips in Chinese demand, but overall we believe in the weeks and months to come there will be days when average daily capesize rates easily increase by over $3,000 in a single day. That’s the beauty of dry bulk shipping. Demand for vessels is quite inelastic and not very responsive to changes in prices. When a charterer needs a vessel, he (she) needs a vessel. And when spot vessel availability is tight, an environment is created where freight rates are prone to large increases. With some many capesize vessels recently being chartered to haul long-haul Brazilian iron ore cargoes -- and with an increase in Drummond coal cargoes being poised to re-emerge in the market at some point like in the near future -- the already tight capesize market will become even tighter.
By: Jeffrey Landsberg | Managing Director, Commodore Research & Consultancy
About Commodore Research & Consultancy
Commodore Research & Consultancy is an independent New York City-based consultancy that focuses on the global demand, supply, and seaborne trade of industrial and agricultural commodities, with a particular focus on China. Commodore Research & Consultancy's analysts handle a wide variety of consulting requests and custom reports. Commodore Research & Consultancy also offers two standard report subscriptions (Dry Bulk Report Subscription and China Report Subscription).
Views expressed herein are personal views of the author and not that of COALspot.com. We welcome article submissions from experts in the areas of coal, mining, shipping, etc. To submit your articles please click here
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Monday, 23 September 13
AUSTRALIA'S NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 3 PERCENT LESS COAL WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: Power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from Australia's Newcastle port fell 3 per cent week on week to 2.92 million mt for t ...
Sunday, 22 September 13
BDI STRENGTHENS FURTHER AS CAPESIZE FREIGHT RATES JUMP - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com: The freight market continued its upward trend and maintaining the moment with BDI and Cape index up by 16 pct week on week. The Capesi ...
Sunday, 22 September 13
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS ADVANCE
COALspot.com : SGX has launched API 8 CFR South China Coal Swap on 29 April 2013 and SGX replaced the previous swap.
API 8 CFR South China Coal s ...
Sunday, 22 September 13
SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAPS REMAIN UNDER PRESSURE
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB ) for average Q4 2013 delivery down 2.09 percept month on month on Friday 20 September 2 ...
Friday, 20 September 13
SHIP OWNERS INVEST MORE THAN $9.2 BILLION ON NEW BUILDING VESSELS DURING AUGUST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Despite the fact that August is traditionally a slow month in terms of ships investment activity, ship owners have grasped this year the opportunity ...
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- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
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- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
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- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
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- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Planning Commission, India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- VISA Power Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
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