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Thursday, 12 September 13
CAPESIZE MARKET WILL BECOME EVEN TIGHTER - JEFFREY LANDSBERG
COALspot.com : While it is no secret that current capesize availability has become tight and has caused capesize rates to surge, availability is set to become even tighter in the near future once Drummond coal cargoes return to the market (when the strike is resolved) and also due to the very large amount of Brazilian iron ore cargoes that have continued to surface. So far this week, 10 capesize vessels have been chartered to haul Brazilian iron ore cargoes. This is a very large amount, and already exceeds the robust 9 capesize vessels that were chartered to haul Brazilian iron ore cargoes during all of last week.
The last time that 10 or more capesize vessels were chartered to haul iron ore cargoes in a single week was the Week Ending November 16, 2012. Chinese demand for imported iron ore is currently very strong, which is helping capesize rates to surge. However, the capesize market will again benefit from the current level of activity as spot capesize availability will find itself even tighter in the near future. It is extremely encouraging for the capesize market that so many capesize vessels have recently been chartered for long-haul Brazil to China iron ore exports. In addition, Atlantic basin spot capesize availability will become even more tight whenever the Drummond coal strike officially comes to an end.
For the capesize market, near term prospects remain encouraging. There will be fluctuations whenever there are brief dips in Chinese demand, but overall we believe in the weeks and months to come there will be days when average daily capesize rates easily increase by over $3,000 in a single day. That’s the beauty of dry bulk shipping. Demand for vessels is quite inelastic and not very responsive to changes in prices. When a charterer needs a vessel, he (she) needs a vessel. And when spot vessel availability is tight, an environment is created where freight rates are prone to large increases. With some many capesize vessels recently being chartered to haul long-haul Brazilian iron ore cargoes -- and with an increase in Drummond coal cargoes being poised to re-emerge in the market at some point like in the near future -- the already tight capesize market will become even tighter.
By: Jeffrey Landsberg | Managing Director, Commodore Research & Consultancy
About Commodore Research & Consultancy
Commodore Research & Consultancy is an independent New York City-based consultancy that focuses on the global demand, supply, and seaborne trade of industrial and agricultural commodities, with a particular focus on China. Commodore Research & Consultancy's analysts handle a wide variety of consulting requests and custom reports. Commodore Research & Consultancy also offers two standard report subscriptions (Dry Bulk Report Subscription and China Report Subscription).
Views expressed herein are personal views of the author and not that of COALspot.com. We welcome article submissions from experts in the areas of coal, mining, shipping, etc. To submit your articles please click here
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Friday, 25 October 13
U.S. YEAR-TO-DATE COAL PRODUCTION REACHED TOTALLED 803.1 MMST
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer produced approximately 19.10 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Thursday, 24 October 13
PANAMAX: RATES SLIP ACROSS BOTH HEMISPHERES
Handy
We were back from holidays but still not much enquiries in the market. Overall future direction is uncertain. Currently, ships passing Singap ...
Thursday, 24 October 13
SHIP PRICES ARE INCREASING ON THE BACK OF IMPROVED MARKET SENTIMENT - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has kept on retreating from its recent highs, ending yesterday at 1,786 points, down 61 points on the day, with Capesizes leadin ...
Wednesday, 23 October 13
DRY BULK MARKET HAS SHOWN SIGNS OF STABILITY - INTERMODAL
Chartering (Wet: Stable+ / Dry: Stable-)
The Dry Bulk market has shown signs of stability this past week, with the sole exception of Capes, rates f ...
Wednesday, 23 October 13
MARKET SENTIMENT IN THE DRY BULK SECTOR REMAINS POSITIVE - YANNIS OLZIERSKY
Market sentiment in the dry bulk sector remains positive despite the latest correction in freight rates for the Capesize sector, which are sliding f ...
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- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
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- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
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- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Planning Commission, India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Australian Coal Association
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- The University of Queensland
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
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