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Wednesday, 28 August 13
THE BDI HAS MOVED TO LEVELS CONSIDERABLY STRONGER THAN THE BEGINNING OF THE YEAR - INTERMODAL
By George Bassakos
SnP Broker - Intermodal
We have already reached the end of August and whilst students are preparing themselves for another school year, the shipping community – at least the Cape folks for now - is looking back on the year to date facts with some renewed enthusiasm for the year to come.
The BDI has moved to levels considerably stronger than the beginning of the year lows of 698 points and currently stands at 1,165 points ( after peaking at 1,179 points on July 1st – the year's high so far), mainly boosted by strengthened Capesize rates, which have increased 3-fold since the beginning of 2013. It will be interesting to see if the market leading index will be able to break the strong-resistance level of 1,200 points or not. Gains in smaller sectors have been more modest, all segments though currently earn above their respective daily OPEX.
Cape rates have been mainly driven by renewed iron ore activity to China, whilst strikes in Colombia and port congestions, pushed spot rates in levels last seen in November 2012. It is interesting that this latest surge came earlier this year, in the traditional summer lull, and not during the always more active Q4.
FFAs are pointing to a sustained growth during Q4, with Capes currently climbing close to $ 22,000/day, Panamaxes at below $ 10,000/day, Supras at excess of $ 10,000/day and smaller Handies at around $ 8,000/day. The next calendar year does not currently signal an impressive recovery, even though many analysts forecasted a more steep market improvement than the one painted by Baltic figures. Panamaxes have replicated last year's performance up to this point, while Supras and Handies have been better performers, compared to their bigger counterpart, proving their flexibility to adjust to volatile market conditions in the seaborne world trade.
SnP wise, it has been an interesting year thus far, with Greeks having a strong presence in both the second hand and the new building market. Japanese owned second-hand tonnage has proven particularly attractive for Greek buyers, who appear to be willing to pay a premium on the “last done”, even though rates have not been supportive of such a buying rush at this stage yet... New building activity has already surpassed last year's levels in most segments - mainly driven by owners' appetite for eco ships, but also by lower quoted prices, which have only recently started moving north again. Scrapping on the other hand has underperformed massively.
So, what's ahead? In Greece, we tend to change our educational system so often that students sometimes are not familiar with the new academic year's syllabus. Are we in face with a similar situation here? Well, the sentiment is more positive as of late and it seems that we won’t be moving in uncharted waters this time. It remains to see if the good captain will lead us to a safer port, i.e. improved/healthy market activity, or back to Scylla and Charybdis, i.e. uncertainties surrounding the global economy, China's slowing growth, capital exit from emerging markets, anemic growth in Europe, tonnage overcapacity etc. etc.
Chartering
Things were a bit more bright for VL owners this past week and in today’s market this simply means that further declines were avoided. Despite the fact that WS levels remained unchanged, activity e-Meg did manage to pick up significantly compared to the week before but, as always, there is still enough tonnage available to meet current requirements and deny any significant rate increases.
Rates for Suezmaes continued to slide further this week and despite the fact that the list of ballasters in the MG region isn't that long, fixing interest has significantly dropped. Most of the pain was nevertheless felt on fixtures e-WA. After some weeks of strong performance, the rate for the WA/USG voyage fell down to WS 52.5, while the TEC returned to the level below $ 10,000/day.
Afra rates continue to ignore the overall sluggishness of the crude oil carriers market. The firm number of enquiries in the Black Sea/Med region towards the end of the week has pushed the TCE in the area more than 35% up, while the big star of the week was no other than the north Sea/Baltic region where limited tonnage helped rates surge.
Chartering (Wet: Stable+ / Dry: Firm+)
With a lot of help from Capes, the Dry Bulk market has firmed further this past week. The big bulkers have once more pushed the BDI higher and the market looks ready to test new highs for the year once more. The BDI closed today (27/08/2013) at 1169 points, up by 4 points compared to Friday’s levels (23/08/2013) and an increase of 24 points compared to previous Tuesday’s levels (20/08/2013). Rates for Afras continue to win further ground mainly due to North Sea activity, while the recent Suezmax rate surge already feels like a distant memory as rates for the segment plummeted this week. The BDTI Friday (23/08/2013), was at 658 points, an increase of 14 points and the BCTI at 591, an increase of 39 points compared to the previous Friday’s levels (16/08/2013).
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations | research@intermodal.gr
Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis | g.lazaridis@intermodal.gr
Ms. Eva Tzima | e.tzima@intermodal.gr
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Wednesday, 31 July 13
COAL GASIFICATION
IBC’s Coal Gasification conference explores the opportunities for coal gasification investment and development in Asia.
With depleting dome ...
Wednesday, 31 July 13
SUPRAMAX : THE PACIFIC BASIN WAS MOVING ON A POSITIVE PATH - EVA TZIMA
COALspot.com: Cape - Despite holding their ground fairly well early on in the week, Capes in the Atlantic basin gave in to the mounting pressure fro ...
Tuesday, 30 July 13
HARD COAL ON THE WAY TO BECOMING THE WORLD'S MOST IMPORTANT ENERGY SOURCE - VDKI
Press Release : Hard coal continued to be the world’s fastest-growing fossil primary energy source in 2012. It covered about 28% of the world ...
Tuesday, 30 July 13
WIJAYA TRI UTAMA PURCHASES MICROCOAL TECHNOLOGIES' CLEAN COAL UPGRADING FACILITY
- First MCI commercial scale application of proprietary microwave technology to upgrade coal thermal output and reduce pollutants
- MicroCoal to re ...
Tuesday, 30 July 13
KOMIPO INVITES BIDS FOR 520,000 MT OF 5,700 KCAL/KG COAL ON NAR BASIS FOR H1, 2014
COALspot.com : Korea Midland Power Co., Ltd. has invited bids for 520,000 Metric Tons (MT) of coal with calorific value 5,700 kcal/kg on NAR basis f ...
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- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- White Energy Company Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
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