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Wednesday, 28 August 13
THE BDI HAS MOVED TO LEVELS CONSIDERABLY STRONGER THAN THE BEGINNING OF THE YEAR - INTERMODAL
By George Bassakos
SnP Broker - Intermodal
We have already reached the end of August and whilst students are preparing themselves for another school year, the shipping community – at least the Cape folks for now - is looking back on the year to date facts with some renewed enthusiasm for the year to come.
The BDI has moved to levels considerably stronger than the beginning of the year lows of 698 points and currently stands at 1,165 points ( after peaking at 1,179 points on July 1st – the year's high so far), mainly boosted by strengthened Capesize rates, which have increased 3-fold since the beginning of 2013. It will be interesting to see if the market leading index will be able to break the strong-resistance level of 1,200 points or not. Gains in smaller sectors have been more modest, all segments though currently earn above their respective daily OPEX.
Cape rates have been mainly driven by renewed iron ore activity to China, whilst strikes in Colombia and port congestions, pushed spot rates in levels last seen in November 2012. It is interesting that this latest surge came earlier this year, in the traditional summer lull, and not during the always more active Q4.
FFAs are pointing to a sustained growth during Q4, with Capes currently climbing close to $ 22,000/day, Panamaxes at below $ 10,000/day, Supras at excess of $ 10,000/day and smaller Handies at around $ 8,000/day. The next calendar year does not currently signal an impressive recovery, even though many analysts forecasted a more steep market improvement than the one painted by Baltic figures. Panamaxes have replicated last year's performance up to this point, while Supras and Handies have been better performers, compared to their bigger counterpart, proving their flexibility to adjust to volatile market conditions in the seaborne world trade.
SnP wise, it has been an interesting year thus far, with Greeks having a strong presence in both the second hand and the new building market. Japanese owned second-hand tonnage has proven particularly attractive for Greek buyers, who appear to be willing to pay a premium on the “last done”, even though rates have not been supportive of such a buying rush at this stage yet... New building activity has already surpassed last year's levels in most segments - mainly driven by owners' appetite for eco ships, but also by lower quoted prices, which have only recently started moving north again. Scrapping on the other hand has underperformed massively.
So, what's ahead? In Greece, we tend to change our educational system so often that students sometimes are not familiar with the new academic year's syllabus. Are we in face with a similar situation here? Well, the sentiment is more positive as of late and it seems that we won’t be moving in uncharted waters this time. It remains to see if the good captain will lead us to a safer port, i.e. improved/healthy market activity, or back to Scylla and Charybdis, i.e. uncertainties surrounding the global economy, China's slowing growth, capital exit from emerging markets, anemic growth in Europe, tonnage overcapacity etc. etc.
Chartering
Things were a bit more bright for VL owners this past week and in today’s market this simply means that further declines were avoided. Despite the fact that WS levels remained unchanged, activity e-Meg did manage to pick up significantly compared to the week before but, as always, there is still enough tonnage available to meet current requirements and deny any significant rate increases.
Rates for Suezmaes continued to slide further this week and despite the fact that the list of ballasters in the MG region isn't that long, fixing interest has significantly dropped. Most of the pain was nevertheless felt on fixtures e-WA. After some weeks of strong performance, the rate for the WA/USG voyage fell down to WS 52.5, while the TEC returned to the level below $ 10,000/day.
Afra rates continue to ignore the overall sluggishness of the crude oil carriers market. The firm number of enquiries in the Black Sea/Med region towards the end of the week has pushed the TCE in the area more than 35% up, while the big star of the week was no other than the north Sea/Baltic region where limited tonnage helped rates surge.
Chartering (Wet: Stable+ / Dry: Firm+)
With a lot of help from Capes, the Dry Bulk market has firmed further this past week. The big bulkers have once more pushed the BDI higher and the market looks ready to test new highs for the year once more. The BDI closed today (27/08/2013) at 1169 points, up by 4 points compared to Friday’s levels (23/08/2013) and an increase of 24 points compared to previous Tuesday’s levels (20/08/2013). Rates for Afras continue to win further ground mainly due to North Sea activity, while the recent Suezmax rate surge already feels like a distant memory as rates for the segment plummeted this week. The BDTI Friday (23/08/2013), was at 658 points, an increase of 14 points and the BCTI at 591, an increase of 39 points compared to the previous Friday’s levels (16/08/2013).
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations | research@intermodal.gr
Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis | g.lazaridis@intermodal.gr
Ms. Eva Tzima | e.tzima@intermodal.gr
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Sunday, 10 November 13
PANAMAX COAL FREIGHT RATES REMAIN UNDER PRESSURE; SUPRAMAX BIGGEST GAINER - REDDY
COALspot.com: The freight market was up this week with all indices increased except for Panamax index.
The BDI was up by 56 points closing at 158 ...
Friday, 08 November 13
DRY BULK MARKET BOUNCES BACK ON RENEWED DEMAND - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market staged a mild comeback this week, as the industry's benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) inched forward step by step and bit b ...
Friday, 08 November 13
US'S OCTOBER COAL PRODUCTION INCREASED BY 1.78% M-M - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer, produced approximately 19.3 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Thursday, 07 November 13
FORMOSA PLASTICS SEEKS 80K MT OF 5850 GAR COAL
COALspot.com: Taiwan's Formosa Plastics Group is inviting bids for 80,000 mt of bituminous coal for delivery in Nov - Dec'13 for its Chi ...
Thursday, 07 November 13
INDONESIAN COAL EXPORT VOLUME INCREASED; REVENUE DECREASED
COALspot.com: Indonesia, the 15th largest economy, 4th largest coal producer in the world and world's largest multi grade coal exporter shipp ...
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- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- The University of Queensland
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
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