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Thursday, 22 August 13
PANAMAX : PERIOD MARKET IS STILL BEING LED BY STRONGER SENTIMENT IN THE FFA'S - FEARNRESEARCH


Handy
This week started slowly as expected. Indo biz now rate APS around 7k +60k to china and around 8k+80k to India. However, there are some ships spot Singapore that got low 9k to N. China. PG/WCI is not much active; they talked around 6k for trip to Feast, while s.period remains low 8k. S. Africa Aug date cargoes are covered, market was pushed down to 8k+low 200k. We have seen several ships in NOPAC pref backhaul and s.period, one 58k dwt delivery Japan 3-5 months redelivery WW fixed high 8k.

Panamax
A bit mixed opinions on the market this week as we see more cargoes entering the market but the list of available ships are still out numbering the cargoes. Some charterers are out looking to cover freight for their forward programme meaning they find today's freight level attractive. We see a good and steady flow of coal cargoes in the western hemisphere and with approaching grain season in the USG and Black Sea we do not expect a sharp fall in rates for the weeks to come. Atlantic rounds are being paid from US$ 6,500 to 9,000 and a good US$ 15,250 + US$ 550,000 were done USG/Feast. In the Pacific the rounds are now paying abt US$ 300 more than last week (i.e US$ 6,800) and this is much caused from Aussie rounds which seem to be Cape splits being done due to the much stronger Cape market. Period market is still being led by stronger sentiment in the FFA´s and short to medium period is being covered on LME´s at US$ 8,500 to 9,000 depending specs and delivery.

Capesize
The combination of healthy Chinese iron ore restocking and the onset of extra iron ore supply have pushed cape rates upward again this week. At the time of writing, the 4TC index at $16,342 is the highest of this calendar year and has gained $ 5330 w-o-w. The bullish sentiment has been reflected across the whole curve, and at the time of writing, Q4 and Cal 14 FFA contracts are up $1698 and $ 811 w-o-w respectively. Time charter trips from the Continent back to the Far East have pushed above $30k per day, whilst the C5 West Australia index and the C3 Brazil/China index have both witnessed healthy gains, and stand at $9.23 and $21.67 PMT respectively. The Atlantic market, perhaps surprisingly, continues to strengthen, with healthy iron ore and coal activity into the continent pushing rates up. As a result of the healthy medium term outlook, the major operators are all in the market for period tonnage, with owners revising their ideas upwards daily. A recent fixture has seen a 180k dwt vessel.
Source: Fearnleys AS



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