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Tuesday, 25 June 13
CAPESIZE MARKET TO REMAIN BULLISH SAYS ANALYST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has been experiencing its long-awaited rally, with the Baltic Dry Index, the industry's benchmark rising to healthier levels for ship owners. Yesterday, the BDI rose by an additional 35 points to 1,062, with Capesizes once again stealing the show, as the Baltic Capesize Index rose by 90 points to reach 1,912 points. According to the latest weekly report from Commodore Research & Consultancy, global spot chartering activity remained firm last week, which allowed dry bulk freight rates to find greater support. In total, 110 vessels were chartered to haul dry bulk commodities in the spot market last week, the same amount as the previous week. In addition, 10 vessels were chartered for period deals, 5 more than the previous week.
According to the analyst, "Capesize rates have been able to find the largest amount of support, as we have been anticipating, as capesize fleet growth has remained low. We continue to believe that as the months progress, the impact of low Capesize growth will become more pronounced in the market. We remain cautious for the Panamax market, however, as more Panamax vessels are set to continue to be delivered this year than any other type of dry bulk vessel". According to Commodore Research & Consultancy, "in China, demand for imported thermal coal in the spot market has remained under pressure as we have predicted. 7 vessels were chartered to haul thermal coal to Chinese buyers last week, 2 less than the previous week and 6 less than the trailing four week average. Qinhuangdao coal port stockpiles have risen above the critical 7 million ton level, which has caused demand for imported coal cargoes to decrease.
In the iron ore market, 25 vessels were chartered to haul iron ore to Chinese buyers last week, 10 more than the previous week and 10 more than the trailing four week average. This is the largest amount of Chinese iron ore fixtures to have surfaced since the Week Ending February 8. Various other developments including Taiwan agreeing to allow wheat imports from the US North Pacific, Indian electricity production setting another new record, and global steel prices remaining relatively low will also affect the market and are discussed in greater detail in the remainder of this week’s report. Approximately 145 vessels are anchored outside major Australian coal and iron ore ports, 20 more than a week ago. Approximately 45 vessels are anchored outside major Brazilian iron ore ports, 5 more than a week ago. Of the 190 vessels congested at major Australian and Brazilian coal and iron ore ports, approximately 140 of them are capesize vessels. In comparison, approximately 120 capesize vessels were anchored outside major Australian and Brazilian coal and iron ore ports a week ago" the analyst mentioned.
Meanwhile, South American grain and Indonesian coal fixture volume fell last week, which has caused the pace of growth in panamax rates to slow. It remains likely that the recent surge in South American grain fixtures and congestion at grain ports has helped panamax rates find support even though panamax fleet growth remains high. As South American grain fixtures and congestion stabilize, panamax rates could come under renewed pressure. Also hindering the panamax market is the recent decline in Chinese thermal coal fixture volume, which has come as a result of further coal stockpiling at the port of Qinhuangdao". Commodore said.
OUTLOOK
"Going forward, we remain bullish for the capesize market especially for the second half of the year. The Capesize market continues to benefit from low fleet growth, and as the months progress, the impact of low growth will become even more pronounced. We continue to believe that as long as Chinese demand for iron ore is strong during the second half of this year, then Capesize rates will find sustained support. It is also important to recognize the surge in Capesize rates that occurred during late 2012. As we discussed last year, and have highlighted in several reports this year, Capesize rates were able to find sustained support during the fourth quarter of last year as the Capesize fleet grew by an average net addition of only 3 vessels during August through December. In comparison, the previous seven months saw the Capesize fleet grow by a much larger average net addition of 16 vessels during January through July. So far this year, the Capesize fleet has been growing by an average net addition of approximately 5 vessels", Commodore predicted.
It concluded its argument by noting that "after a few months of low Capesize fleet growth last year, Cape rates were finally able to rise above $9,000/day by early October and then stayed above $13,000/day for seven straight weeks. This was a tremendous achievement considering that Cape rates stayed at depressed levels throughout the first three quarters of last year. For this year, we believe the Capesize market is showing signs of recovery that first were glimpsed during October of last year. While there will surely be fluctuation at times, it is likely that Capesize rates will find a good deal of strength during the second half of the year -- as long as Chinese demand for imported iron ore is strong. While it has been troubling that Chinese steel output has exceeded demand during several months this year, it is encouraging that Chinese iron ore imports have remained firm as spot iron ore import prices have stayed low. Overall, we believe iron ore import prices will stay low due to ongoing increases in global iron ore production. Low iron ore prices, robust iron ore imports, and low Capesize fleet would help Capesize rates find even greater support".
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Monday, 17 December 12
SHIP PRICES TO BOTTOM OUT IN 2013 SAYS GEORGE D. GOURDOMICHALIS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Ship values especially in older tonnage, or even modern vessels with poor quality are expected to fall further during 2013, with the market as a who ...
Monday, 17 December 12
SYNERGISING WITH PIONEERS TO DEVELOP TOMORROW'S LATIN AMERICAN RAILWAYS
Press Release: Brazil being one of the largest country in South America has one of the most dynamic rail markets in the world. Rail transport in Bra ...
Sunday, 16 December 12
FREIGHT TREND SOFTENED THIS WEEK - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The freight market further softened this week and closed at 784 points (down by 18.84 pct). The cape index had the biggest fall ...
Friday, 14 December 12
GMR GROUP OF INDIA TO IMPORT 100K MT OF 4800 GAR COAL
COALspot.com: GMR Group of India to invite bids for 100,000 Metric Tons of imported non coking coal to be delivered during January and February 2013 ...
Thursday, 13 December 12
HANDY : WCI-CHINA RATES AROUND $ 6000 AND ECI-CHINA AROUND $ 4000 - FEARNLEYS
Handy
Atlantic market remained unchanged. Rates from USG to Feast were around USD 18k and Black Sea to Feast about USD 10k. USG-Skaw-Passero rates ...
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- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- The University of Queensland
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- MS Steel International - UAE
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
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