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Tuesday, 25 June 13
CAPESIZE MARKET TO REMAIN BULLISH SAYS ANALYST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has been experiencing its long-awaited rally, with the Baltic Dry Index, the industry's benchmark rising to healthier levels for ship owners. Yesterday, the BDI rose by an additional 35 points to 1,062, with Capesizes once again stealing the show, as the Baltic Capesize Index rose by 90 points to reach 1,912 points. According to the latest weekly report from Commodore Research & Consultancy, global spot chartering activity remained firm last week, which allowed dry bulk freight rates to find greater support. In total, 110 vessels were chartered to haul dry bulk commodities in the spot market last week, the same amount as the previous week. In addition, 10 vessels were chartered for period deals, 5 more than the previous week.
According to the analyst, "Capesize rates have been able to find the largest amount of support, as we have been anticipating, as capesize fleet growth has remained low. We continue to believe that as the months progress, the impact of low Capesize growth will become more pronounced in the market. We remain cautious for the Panamax market, however, as more Panamax vessels are set to continue to be delivered this year than any other type of dry bulk vessel". According to Commodore Research & Consultancy, "in China, demand for imported thermal coal in the spot market has remained under pressure as we have predicted. 7 vessels were chartered to haul thermal coal to Chinese buyers last week, 2 less than the previous week and 6 less than the trailing four week average. Qinhuangdao coal port stockpiles have risen above the critical 7 million ton level, which has caused demand for imported coal cargoes to decrease.
In the iron ore market, 25 vessels were chartered to haul iron ore to Chinese buyers last week, 10 more than the previous week and 10 more than the trailing four week average. This is the largest amount of Chinese iron ore fixtures to have surfaced since the Week Ending February 8. Various other developments including Taiwan agreeing to allow wheat imports from the US North Pacific, Indian electricity production setting another new record, and global steel prices remaining relatively low will also affect the market and are discussed in greater detail in the remainder of this week’s report. Approximately 145 vessels are anchored outside major Australian coal and iron ore ports, 20 more than a week ago. Approximately 45 vessels are anchored outside major Brazilian iron ore ports, 5 more than a week ago. Of the 190 vessels congested at major Australian and Brazilian coal and iron ore ports, approximately 140 of them are capesize vessels. In comparison, approximately 120 capesize vessels were anchored outside major Australian and Brazilian coal and iron ore ports a week ago" the analyst mentioned.
Meanwhile, South American grain and Indonesian coal fixture volume fell last week, which has caused the pace of growth in panamax rates to slow. It remains likely that the recent surge in South American grain fixtures and congestion at grain ports has helped panamax rates find support even though panamax fleet growth remains high. As South American grain fixtures and congestion stabilize, panamax rates could come under renewed pressure. Also hindering the panamax market is the recent decline in Chinese thermal coal fixture volume, which has come as a result of further coal stockpiling at the port of Qinhuangdao". Commodore said.
OUTLOOK
"Going forward, we remain bullish for the capesize market especially for the second half of the year. The Capesize market continues to benefit from low fleet growth, and as the months progress, the impact of low growth will become even more pronounced. We continue to believe that as long as Chinese demand for iron ore is strong during the second half of this year, then Capesize rates will find sustained support. It is also important to recognize the surge in Capesize rates that occurred during late 2012. As we discussed last year, and have highlighted in several reports this year, Capesize rates were able to find sustained support during the fourth quarter of last year as the Capesize fleet grew by an average net addition of only 3 vessels during August through December. In comparison, the previous seven months saw the Capesize fleet grow by a much larger average net addition of 16 vessels during January through July. So far this year, the Capesize fleet has been growing by an average net addition of approximately 5 vessels", Commodore predicted.
It concluded its argument by noting that "after a few months of low Capesize fleet growth last year, Cape rates were finally able to rise above $9,000/day by early October and then stayed above $13,000/day for seven straight weeks. This was a tremendous achievement considering that Cape rates stayed at depressed levels throughout the first three quarters of last year. For this year, we believe the Capesize market is showing signs of recovery that first were glimpsed during October of last year. While there will surely be fluctuation at times, it is likely that Capesize rates will find a good deal of strength during the second half of the year -- as long as Chinese demand for imported iron ore is strong. While it has been troubling that Chinese steel output has exceeded demand during several months this year, it is encouraging that Chinese iron ore imports have remained firm as spot iron ore import prices have stayed low. Overall, we believe iron ore import prices will stay low due to ongoing increases in global iron ore production. Low iron ore prices, robust iron ore imports, and low Capesize fleet would help Capesize rates find even greater support".
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Friday, 29 March 13
SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAPS: UP 0.55 % WOW; CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL CONTRACT: UP 0.23 % WOW
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average Q2’ 2013 delivery has gained 0.55 percent and CFR South China coal shipment&nbs ...
Thursday, 28 March 13
SHIP OWNERS KEEN ON ACQUIRING SECOND HAND TONNAGE, AS WELL AS NEW BUILDINGS IN CONVENTIONAL SEGMENTS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The recent rally of the Baltic Dry Index (BDI), coupled with renewed optimism, at least in some parts of the wet market, have prompted many ship own ...
Wednesday, 27 March 13
PTBA HAS CONCLUDED US$ 16.14 BILLION WORTH OF COAL SALES AND PURCHASE AGREEMENT WITH PLN
COALspot.com - PT. Bukit Asam, a 32 years old Indonesian state owned coal miner has signed a coal sales and purchase agreement with PT PLN, (a state ...
Wednesday, 27 March 13
SHIPPING CONFIDENCE REACHES HIGHEST LEVEL FOR TWO YEARS - MOORE STEPHENS
Overall confidence levels in the shipping industry recovered to their highest level for two years in the three months ended February 2013, according ...
Tuesday, 26 March 13
NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 2.39 MMT OF COAL W/E 25 MARCH 2013
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 2.396 million tons of thermal and coking coal for week ended 0700 hours 25 March 2013, N ...
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- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- The University of Queensland
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Planning Commission, India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
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