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Tuesday, 25 June 13
CAPESIZE MARKET TO REMAIN BULLISH SAYS ANALYST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has been experiencing its long-awaited rally, with the Baltic Dry Index, the industry's benchmark rising to healthier levels for ship owners. Yesterday, the BDI rose by an additional 35 points to 1,062, with Capesizes once again stealing the show, as the Baltic Capesize Index rose by 90 points to reach 1,912 points. According to the latest weekly report from Commodore Research & Consultancy, global spot chartering activity remained firm last week, which allowed dry bulk freight rates to find greater support. In total, 110 vessels were chartered to haul dry bulk commodities in the spot market last week, the same amount as the previous week. In addition, 10 vessels were chartered for period deals, 5 more than the previous week.
According to the analyst, "Capesize rates have been able to find the largest amount of support, as we have been anticipating, as capesize fleet growth has remained low. We continue to believe that as the months progress, the impact of low Capesize growth will become more pronounced in the market. We remain cautious for the Panamax market, however, as more Panamax vessels are set to continue to be delivered this year than any other type of dry bulk vessel". According to Commodore Research & Consultancy, "in China, demand for imported thermal coal in the spot market has remained under pressure as we have predicted. 7 vessels were chartered to haul thermal coal to Chinese buyers last week, 2 less than the previous week and 6 less than the trailing four week average. Qinhuangdao coal port stockpiles have risen above the critical 7 million ton level, which has caused demand for imported coal cargoes to decrease.
In the iron ore market, 25 vessels were chartered to haul iron ore to Chinese buyers last week, 10 more than the previous week and 10 more than the trailing four week average. This is the largest amount of Chinese iron ore fixtures to have surfaced since the Week Ending February 8. Various other developments including Taiwan agreeing to allow wheat imports from the US North Pacific, Indian electricity production setting another new record, and global steel prices remaining relatively low will also affect the market and are discussed in greater detail in the remainder of this week’s report. Approximately 145 vessels are anchored outside major Australian coal and iron ore ports, 20 more than a week ago. Approximately 45 vessels are anchored outside major Brazilian iron ore ports, 5 more than a week ago. Of the 190 vessels congested at major Australian and Brazilian coal and iron ore ports, approximately 140 of them are capesize vessels. In comparison, approximately 120 capesize vessels were anchored outside major Australian and Brazilian coal and iron ore ports a week ago" the analyst mentioned.
Meanwhile, South American grain and Indonesian coal fixture volume fell last week, which has caused the pace of growth in panamax rates to slow. It remains likely that the recent surge in South American grain fixtures and congestion at grain ports has helped panamax rates find support even though panamax fleet growth remains high. As South American grain fixtures and congestion stabilize, panamax rates could come under renewed pressure. Also hindering the panamax market is the recent decline in Chinese thermal coal fixture volume, which has come as a result of further coal stockpiling at the port of Qinhuangdao". Commodore said.
OUTLOOK
"Going forward, we remain bullish for the capesize market especially for the second half of the year. The Capesize market continues to benefit from low fleet growth, and as the months progress, the impact of low growth will become even more pronounced. We continue to believe that as long as Chinese demand for iron ore is strong during the second half of this year, then Capesize rates will find sustained support. It is also important to recognize the surge in Capesize rates that occurred during late 2012. As we discussed last year, and have highlighted in several reports this year, Capesize rates were able to find sustained support during the fourth quarter of last year as the Capesize fleet grew by an average net addition of only 3 vessels during August through December. In comparison, the previous seven months saw the Capesize fleet grow by a much larger average net addition of 16 vessels during January through July. So far this year, the Capesize fleet has been growing by an average net addition of approximately 5 vessels", Commodore predicted.
It concluded its argument by noting that "after a few months of low Capesize fleet growth last year, Cape rates were finally able to rise above $9,000/day by early October and then stayed above $13,000/day for seven straight weeks. This was a tremendous achievement considering that Cape rates stayed at depressed levels throughout the first three quarters of last year. For this year, we believe the Capesize market is showing signs of recovery that first were glimpsed during October of last year. While there will surely be fluctuation at times, it is likely that Capesize rates will find a good deal of strength during the second half of the year -- as long as Chinese demand for imported iron ore is strong. While it has been troubling that Chinese steel output has exceeded demand during several months this year, it is encouraging that Chinese iron ore imports have remained firm as spot iron ore import prices have stayed low. Overall, we believe iron ore import prices will stay low due to ongoing increases in global iron ore production. Low iron ore prices, robust iron ore imports, and low Capesize fleet would help Capesize rates find even greater support".
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Tuesday, 04 June 13
WOOD MACKENZIE SAYS THE CHINA'S THERMAL COAL DEMAND WILL REACH NEARLY 7BTPA BY 2030
COALspot.com - The Illusion of Peak Coal' says that despite efforts to limit coal consumption and seek alternative fuel options, China's strong ap ...
Saturday, 01 June 13
COAL PRICES STRUGGLE TO FIRM UP
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average July 2013 delivery have gained 0.18 percent week on week and 0.03 percent ...
Saturday, 01 June 13
THE FREIGHT MARKET FOR S7 AND S8 SECTORS ARE EXPECTED TO BE SOFT - VISTAAR
COALspot.com – The freights are remains weak week ended 31 May 2013, as BDI fell 2.05 pct and closed at 809 points on 31 May 2013.
The Cape ...
Friday, 31 May 13
US PRODUCED 18.5 MILLION SHORT TONS OF COAL W/E 25 MAY 2013
COALspot.com – United states the world’s second largest coal producer produced totalled approximately 18.50 million short tons (mmst) of ...
Thursday, 30 May 13
HANDY: RBCT ROUND WAS AROUND USD 9K + 300 BB - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
THE Atlantic market remained flat. The USG-Feast was at USD 19k and Black Sea-Feast was at USD 12k. The Pacific market remained quiet with no ...
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- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Planning Commission, India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
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