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Tuesday, 25 June 13
CAPESIZE MARKET TO REMAIN BULLISH SAYS ANALYST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has been experiencing its long-awaited rally, with the Baltic Dry Index, the industry's benchmark rising to healthier levels for ship owners. Yesterday, the BDI rose by an additional 35 points to 1,062, with Capesizes once again stealing the show, as the Baltic Capesize Index rose by 90 points to reach 1,912 points. According to the latest weekly report from Commodore Research & Consultancy, global spot chartering activity remained firm last week, which allowed dry bulk freight rates to find greater support. In total, 110 vessels were chartered to haul dry bulk commodities in the spot market last week, the same amount as the previous week. In addition, 10 vessels were chartered for period deals, 5 more than the previous week.
According to the analyst, "Capesize rates have been able to find the largest amount of support, as we have been anticipating, as capesize fleet growth has remained low. We continue to believe that as the months progress, the impact of low Capesize growth will become more pronounced in the market. We remain cautious for the Panamax market, however, as more Panamax vessels are set to continue to be delivered this year than any other type of dry bulk vessel". According to Commodore Research & Consultancy, "in China, demand for imported thermal coal in the spot market has remained under pressure as we have predicted. 7 vessels were chartered to haul thermal coal to Chinese buyers last week, 2 less than the previous week and 6 less than the trailing four week average. Qinhuangdao coal port stockpiles have risen above the critical 7 million ton level, which has caused demand for imported coal cargoes to decrease.
In the iron ore market, 25 vessels were chartered to haul iron ore to Chinese buyers last week, 10 more than the previous week and 10 more than the trailing four week average. This is the largest amount of Chinese iron ore fixtures to have surfaced since the Week Ending February 8. Various other developments including Taiwan agreeing to allow wheat imports from the US North Pacific, Indian electricity production setting another new record, and global steel prices remaining relatively low will also affect the market and are discussed in greater detail in the remainder of this week’s report. Approximately 145 vessels are anchored outside major Australian coal and iron ore ports, 20 more than a week ago. Approximately 45 vessels are anchored outside major Brazilian iron ore ports, 5 more than a week ago. Of the 190 vessels congested at major Australian and Brazilian coal and iron ore ports, approximately 140 of them are capesize vessels. In comparison, approximately 120 capesize vessels were anchored outside major Australian and Brazilian coal and iron ore ports a week ago" the analyst mentioned.
Meanwhile, South American grain and Indonesian coal fixture volume fell last week, which has caused the pace of growth in panamax rates to slow. It remains likely that the recent surge in South American grain fixtures and congestion at grain ports has helped panamax rates find support even though panamax fleet growth remains high. As South American grain fixtures and congestion stabilize, panamax rates could come under renewed pressure. Also hindering the panamax market is the recent decline in Chinese thermal coal fixture volume, which has come as a result of further coal stockpiling at the port of Qinhuangdao". Commodore said.
OUTLOOK
"Going forward, we remain bullish for the capesize market especially for the second half of the year. The Capesize market continues to benefit from low fleet growth, and as the months progress, the impact of low growth will become even more pronounced. We continue to believe that as long as Chinese demand for iron ore is strong during the second half of this year, then Capesize rates will find sustained support. It is also important to recognize the surge in Capesize rates that occurred during late 2012. As we discussed last year, and have highlighted in several reports this year, Capesize rates were able to find sustained support during the fourth quarter of last year as the Capesize fleet grew by an average net addition of only 3 vessels during August through December. In comparison, the previous seven months saw the Capesize fleet grow by a much larger average net addition of 16 vessels during January through July. So far this year, the Capesize fleet has been growing by an average net addition of approximately 5 vessels", Commodore predicted.
It concluded its argument by noting that "after a few months of low Capesize fleet growth last year, Cape rates were finally able to rise above $9,000/day by early October and then stayed above $13,000/day for seven straight weeks. This was a tremendous achievement considering that Cape rates stayed at depressed levels throughout the first three quarters of last year. For this year, we believe the Capesize market is showing signs of recovery that first were glimpsed during October of last year. While there will surely be fluctuation at times, it is likely that Capesize rates will find a good deal of strength during the second half of the year -- as long as Chinese demand for imported iron ore is strong. While it has been troubling that Chinese steel output has exceeded demand during several months this year, it is encouraging that Chinese iron ore imports have remained firm as spot iron ore import prices have stayed low. Overall, we believe iron ore import prices will stay low due to ongoing increases in global iron ore production. Low iron ore prices, robust iron ore imports, and low Capesize fleet would help Capesize rates find even greater support".
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Friday, 28 June 13
U.S. PRODUCED 1.52 PERCENT LESS COAL WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com – United states the world’s second largest coal producer produced totaled approximately 19.40 million short tons (mmst) of ...
Thursday, 27 June 13
US COAL EXPORTS BEATS CHINESE COAL IMPORTS AS THE MOST INFLUENTIAL COAL TRADE - BIMCO
The influence of American coal exports on seaborne transportation has grown significantly over the past decade. In 2002, the US exported 20.1 millio ...
Thursday, 27 June 13
HANDY : USD 12000 FOR SPOT COAL INDO/CHINA AND AROUND USD 13000 INDO/ECI - FEARNLEYS
Handy
Atlantic rates hold well. Continent to Far East is worth more than USD 14k daily whilst USG to Far East pay 23/24k a day. On the route from B ...
Thursday, 27 June 13
DRY BULK CARRIERS DOMINATE NEWBUILDING ORDERS AS SHIP OWNERS ARE ENCOURAGED BY LATEST FREIGHT RATE RALLY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Newbuilding orders for dry bulk carriers were already high, compared to last year, prior to the latest rally of the Baltic Dry Index (BDI), which ha ...
Tuesday, 25 June 13
NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED OUT MORE COAL W-O-W
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 3,101,378 tons of coal for the week ended 0700 hours 24 June 2013, Newcastle Port Corp. ...
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- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- The University of Queensland
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- White Energy Company Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
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