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Tuesday, 07 July 09
POWER - STATION COAL MAY RISE ON CHINA DEMAND, SUPPLIES, UBS SAYS


Power-station coal prices in Asia may increase in 2010 because of higher demand from China, the second-largest energy-consuming nation, and supply constraints, UBS AG said.

UBS has raised its 2010 forecast for the benchmark coal grade burned by Japanese utilities to $90 a metric ton from $80 a ton in 2010, analysts from the bank wrote in a report dated yesterday. Power-station coal prices at Australia’s Newcastle port, an Asian benchmark, climbed 6.5 percent to $73.13 a ton in the week ended July 3, according to the globalCOAL NEWC Index.

Bottlenecks at Australian ports, heavy rain in Indonesia and increased imports by China constrained supplies of the fuel to Asian customers in 2007 and drove up prices. Market conditions are expected to tighten starting in the fourth quarter of this year and peak in 2011, UBS said.

“We are once again experiencing an increasingly tighter coal market with a theme developing similar to 2007,” UBS analysts led by Jakarta-based Andreas Bokkenheuser said in the note. China, the biggest producer and consumer of coal, burns the fuel to generate about 80 percent of its electricity.

Power use is increasing in China, as light industries step up production, after heavy industrial growth recovered in June, the UBS analysts said. Australian and Indonesian supply growth remains low and mining shutdowns in China’s Shanxi province have added to regional supply constraints, UBS said.

Price estimates for 2011 to 2013 have been reduced to factor in a possible supply response as coal producers address shortages, the analysts said.
Source: Bloomberg
(
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601081&sid=aYezGDx3lDu4)



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Recent News

Thursday, 23 July 09
INDONESIA COAL-PRICES CLIMB TO $80, INDIAN DEMAND SLOWS
Reuters reported that,  prices of power-station coal in Australia, a benchmark for Asia, jumped to nearly $80 a tonne this week, while Indonesi ...


Thursday, 23 July 09
COAL IMPORTS SURGE; EXPORTS DOWN IN H1
China Trade Information reported that, China’s coal imports surged by 126.3 percent year-on-year in the first half of 2009, reaching 48.3 mill ...


Thursday, 23 July 09
SRI LANKA CALLS FOR COAL SUPPLY BIDS
Daily Mirro reported that, In a move to install the country’s first coal power plant, Sri Lanka has invited bids to supply 2.4 million metric ...


Thursday, 23 July 09
POWER INVESTORS TURN BACKS ON VIETNAMESE COAL IMPORTERS
VietNamNet Bridge reported that, Investors of power plants always seek foreign coal sources to import themselves, believing they can come by it chea ...


Wednesday, 22 July 09
BERAU COAL DRAWS LOCAL, CHINESE BIDS - SOURCES
* Indonesian coal firm draws local, Chinese bids-sources * Deal could value Berau at more than $1 billion-sources Reuters reported that, China' ...


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