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Friday, 03 May 13
SHIP OWNERS ARE INVESTING HEAVILY IN DRY BULK CARRIER NEWBUILDINGS ONCE MORE: IS THERE ANY RATIONALE? - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Despite the fact that the dry bulk market remains heavily oversupplied and just as the orderbook of newbuildings had began to shrink, it seems that ship owners have made a significant come back to shipyards, investing once more in new orders. This has been the case so far in 2013 and one could become perplexed as to why owerns are choosing this path, instead of doiong everything in their power to alleviate the tonnage supply pressures currently underway in the freight rate market?
Earlier in the year, shipbroker Intermodal had expressed the view that 2013 would be yet another challenging year, but it would also pose a good opportunity to make investments in shipping, as prices have become quite attractive. "Shortly thereafter, notwithstanding the depressed freight market, the swollen fleet, the remaining orderbook and most importantly the lack of finance, we have witnessed a rather remarkable mini-spree of new orders for dry bulk carriers", Intermodal said in its latest weekly report.
The shipbroker's newbuilding broker, Mr. Theodore Ntalakos wonders whether this new ordering is substantiated or reasonable? He answered by stating that "opponents of new ordering say that the market cannot support further new buildings and those shipowners are shooting themselves in the legs again. However, any rational individual would prefer to buy a new asset at the bottom of its market price. We always advocated that shipping is a non-cooperative game and each rational shipowner would be looking to maximize his pay-offs no matter what the others decide to do. It seems that those who have access to finance are now convinced that prices cannot and most importantly will not go further south; so they place themselves with new orders and purchases. The new ECO designs combined with the lack of modern tonnage from the second hand market are driving buyers to the shipbuilders' meeting rooms", Ntalakos said.
He added that "there were quite a few shipyards that were willing to take orders almost at cost just to safeguard the viability of their production for the next couple of years. In Japan they are also favored by the “Abenomics”, the economic policies advocated by the current Prime Minister Shinzo Abe that allows the Japanese shipbuilders to offer competitive prices and claim their market share from these new orders. All shipyards have seen the number of visitors and inquiries increasing daily, almost reminding them of the good old days. Still, there isn’t strong enough demand to push prices higher but we have noticed that shipbuilders are now bargaining harder than what they did six months or even a year ago".
According to Mr. Ntalakos, "coming back to the statistics, back in February, the Orderbook/Fleet ratio looked more favorable in the capes and Supramax sizes and this is where we have seen the majority of new orders placed. The Handies followed and then came the Panamax bulk carriers, which looked the least attractive and got the fewer orders. For the first four months of 2013 the fleet has grown, as expected, due to the vast orderbook from previous years at around 2.5% and despite the new contracts the orderbook has contracted by around 13.5%".
Intermodal's analyst finally noted that "the latest orders happened to sync with a small rally in the freight market which had almost pushed rates into profitable territories. Whether these orders were placed at the turn of the market or not only time will show but as all markets, shipping as well is strongly correlated with expectations. Things are not clear and there still is risk involved; however, to quote the American author John Shedd “a ship in harbor is safe, but that is not what ships are built for”, the newbuilding broker concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Wednesday, 12 June 13
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE SLIDES TO 2013 LOW
COALspot.com - Indonesian Coal Price Reference continues to take its lumps this month, dropping about 0.54 % and hitting a 2013 low. The Indonesian ...
Tuesday, 11 June 13
COAL: NO SIGN OF RECOVERY - GABRIELLA
COALspot.com: We attended the 19th Annual Coaltrans Asia Conference, where we found most of the speakers were not very optimistic on the outlook for ...
Tuesday, 11 June 13
NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED MORE COAL WEEK ENDED 11 JUNE 2013
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 3,104,509 tons of coal for the week ended 0700 hours 11 June 2013, Newcastle Port Corp. ...
Tuesday, 11 June 13
OUTLOOK FOR CAPESIZES LOOKS GRIM, DESPITE FALLING IRON ORE PRICES - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Things aren't looking all that rosy for the dry bulk market, despite a stronger volume of iron ore imports during the months of March and April, as ...
Sunday, 09 June 13
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP IS UNDER PRESSURE
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average July 2013 delivery have lost 0.03 percent week on week but gained 0.07 pe ...
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- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
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- Romanian Commodities Exchange
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- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
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- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
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- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
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- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
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- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
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- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
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- Central Electricity Authority - India
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- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
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- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Minerals Council of Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- White Energy Company Limited
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Planning Commission, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
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