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Wednesday, 10 April 13
US COAL CONSUMPTION TO INCREASE FROM 889 MMST IN 2012 TO 948 MMST IN 2013 AND 957 MMST IN 2014 - EIA


Based on estimates for the first quarter of 2013, American coal production has continued to decline.

Total production is down 9.9 million short tons (MMst) from the previous quarter and 22.7 MMst from the same period in 2012. The largest year-over-year decline was in the Western region, where production fell by 17.3 MMst (12 percent). Smaller declines were experienced in the Interior (2 percent) and Appalachian (6 percent) producing regions, EIA said in its latest report released on 9th April 2013.

U.S. Coal Consumption.
EIA projects total coal consumption will increase from 889 MMst in 2012 to 948 MMst in 2013 and 957 MMst in 2014. EIA expects consumption in the electric power sector to increase over the forecast period as a result of higher electricity demand and higher natural gas prices.

U.S. Coal Supply
According to EIA, US coal production is expected to increase by 0.5 percent in 2013 as primary and secondary inventory draws, combined with an increase in coal imports, meet most of the growth in consumption. Coal production is forecast to grow by 2.0 percent in 2014.

Coal exports totaled 126 MMst in 2012, surpassing the previous peak of 113 MMst exported in 1981. EIA expects the United States will export 107 MMst in 2013 and 109 MMst in 2014. Continuing economic weakness in Europe (the largest regional importer of U.S. coal), falling international coal prices, and increasing production in other coal-exporting countries are the primary reasons for the expected decline in U.S. coal exports.

U.S. Coal Prices
Delivered coal prices to the electric power industry increased steadily over an 11-year period through 2011, when the delivered coal price averaged $2.39 per MMBtu (a 5-percent increase from 2010).

The delivered coal price averaged $2.40 per MMBtu in 2012, and EIA forecasts average delivered coal prices of $2.41 per MMBtu in 2013 and $2.45 per MMBtu in 2014.
Source: EIA



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