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Tuesday, 19 March 13
SHIP PRICES COULD BE CLOSING IN TO REACH THEIR BOTTOM - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
One of the latest developments in shipping asset prices has been the reluctance from shipyards to further reduce their price expectations to higher loss areas, due to the fact that they are faced with greater construction costs, as a result of the closing of the price gap between China and Japan. In its latest analysis, Intermodal, looks at the issue of inflation and its effect of ship prices around the world.
According to Mr. George Dermatis, "inflation is fast becoming our new friend... Up almost 9% for the year so far, the more than century-old blue-chip index, Dow Jones, posted last week its first finish above the record closing high of 14,164.53 set on Oct. 9th 2007, which is just ahead of the global financial meltdown.It is an undeniable fact that this new peak is reached primarily due to the extensive monetary stimuli that the Fed has provided over the past 4 years".
He added that "in Japan, the sun seems to be rising once again after decades of standing as a warning sign of what can go wrong when government debt reaches to extremely high levels. Yet enough though Japan's Nikkei 225 index stands at less than a third of its record high since 1989, the stock market has made big strides forward, climbing 35% since mid-November".
Meanwhile, in Europe, stocks rallied to their highest level in 4½ years, as investors cheered stronger-than-expected euro-zone retail sales and keyed off gains in U.S. equities. Dermatis noted that "Europe is standing at the opposite side of inflation argument, with austerity measures governing the southern countries and an almost deflationary outlook for the year ahead. Amidst heavy reforms on governance, fiscal policy and taxation amongst the country-members, the EU has managed to increase its competiveness; however pressures for monetary easing are expected to intensify as the voiced concerns in the Eurozone amplify. Let's not forget that it is the only major economy that has not resorted to this solution post-2008...Could this change soon?" he asks.
Finally, "China’s minimum wage has tripled since 2000, creating extra pressure via fast rising labour costs within China. This fact should however be looked at with greater scrunity, as the ageing population of China means a dropping supply of youth labour in the country. Environmental awareness pressures and restrictions on pollution from factories create another bottleneck in production and raise production costs across the board for Chinese manufacturing. Furthermore, the RMB is going from strength to strength and while nominal appreciation has been slower than critics in Brussels and Washington might like, real appreciation (adjusting for the country's relatively faster inflation rate) has been rapid. The Chinese currency has appreciated considerably in nominal terms as well, recording a median of about 22% against 13 Asian currencies over the past five years, as such negatively impacting the attractiveness of the country's exports. In order to combat this and drive the country's competitiveness, the only solution is through automation and higher sophistication in production, which in turn requires substantial support from the government in the form of financial aid, subsidies and access to finance (especially for the latter this column has been a regular and strong advocate of financial easing in all forms of production as an added incentive for local and/or foreign investors). These measures would mean increasing the money supply and in turn having to battle inflation once more, hopefully in a more effective way than last year's attempt to keep real estate prices and infrastructure spending under control", Intermodal's analyst noted.
So, as the factor of inflation seems to be fast-becoming ''a lesser of two devils'' for most major economies, what are the potential effects on shipping? "Secondhand prices and NB cost have seriously dropped over the past 4½ years. Current fleet profile, outstanding deliveries, market demand/supply factors all maintain their importance of course and have generated a dim outlook for the market ahead, but we cannot ignore the fact that all asset prices are subject to inflationery pressures as well. As the price gap between Japan and China is narrowing down, shipyards suffer greatly from rising construction costs and seem heavily reluctant to drop their price expectations to higher loss areas. Could this provide the necessary pillar for a reaction in prices? Could we finally be close to an artificial bottom?" the report concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Sunday, 10 March 13
INDIA - INDONESIA SUPRAMAX FREIGHT : FIRM TREND
COALspot.com – This week freight market was raised and remained firm in all segments.
The BDI was up by 6.70 pct closed at 843 points,  ...
Sunday, 10 March 13
INDONESIA'S FORESTRY DEPARTMENT IS TO INCREASE BORROW-TO-USE PERMITS (IJIN PINJAM PAKAI) FEE SOON
COALspot.com : Indonesia to increase borrows-to-use permit fees by 33.33 percent. The government of Indonesia is planning to increase the state&rsqu ...
Friday, 08 March 13
EKO SANTOSO BUDIANTO APPOINTED AS PRESDIENT DIRECTOR OF BERAU COAL ENERGY
COALspot.com - PT Berau Coal Energy has appointed Eko Santoso Budianto as new president director, replacing Rosan Roeslani. Berau’s extraordin ...
Friday, 08 March 13
INDONESIAN HBA UP FOR FIVE CONSECUTIVE MONTHS
COALspot.com - The Indonesian government has declared bench mark price for coal has moved upwards in March 2013.
The monthly coal reference ...
Friday, 08 March 13
DRY BULK MARKET ON A RISING TREND - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market has continued its rising pattern set after China opened up again for business, following the Asian New Year Holidays. As a resul ...
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- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- White Energy Company Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
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