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Tuesday, 19 March 13
SHIP PRICES COULD BE CLOSING IN TO REACH THEIR BOTTOM - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
One of the latest developments in shipping asset prices has been the reluctance from shipyards to further reduce their price expectations to higher loss areas, due to the fact that they are faced with greater construction costs, as a result of the closing of the price gap between China and Japan. In its latest analysis, Intermodal, looks at the issue of inflation and its effect of ship prices around the world.
According to Mr. George Dermatis, "inflation is fast becoming our new friend... Up almost 9% for the year so far, the more than century-old blue-chip index, Dow Jones, posted last week its first finish above the record closing high of 14,164.53 set on Oct. 9th 2007, which is just ahead of the global financial meltdown.It is an undeniable fact that this new peak is reached primarily due to the extensive monetary stimuli that the Fed has provided over the past 4 years".
He added that "in Japan, the sun seems to be rising once again after decades of standing as a warning sign of what can go wrong when government debt reaches to extremely high levels. Yet enough though Japan's Nikkei 225 index stands at less than a third of its record high since 1989, the stock market has made big strides forward, climbing 35% since mid-November".
Meanwhile, in Europe, stocks rallied to their highest level in 4½ years, as investors cheered stronger-than-expected euro-zone retail sales and keyed off gains in U.S. equities. Dermatis noted that "Europe is standing at the opposite side of inflation argument, with austerity measures governing the southern countries and an almost deflationary outlook for the year ahead. Amidst heavy reforms on governance, fiscal policy and taxation amongst the country-members, the EU has managed to increase its competiveness; however pressures for monetary easing are expected to intensify as the voiced concerns in the Eurozone amplify. Let's not forget that it is the only major economy that has not resorted to this solution post-2008...Could this change soon?" he asks.
Finally, "China’s minimum wage has tripled since 2000, creating extra pressure via fast rising labour costs within China. This fact should however be looked at with greater scrunity, as the ageing population of China means a dropping supply of youth labour in the country. Environmental awareness pressures and restrictions on pollution from factories create another bottleneck in production and raise production costs across the board for Chinese manufacturing. Furthermore, the RMB is going from strength to strength and while nominal appreciation has been slower than critics in Brussels and Washington might like, real appreciation (adjusting for the country's relatively faster inflation rate) has been rapid. The Chinese currency has appreciated considerably in nominal terms as well, recording a median of about 22% against 13 Asian currencies over the past five years, as such negatively impacting the attractiveness of the country's exports. In order to combat this and drive the country's competitiveness, the only solution is through automation and higher sophistication in production, which in turn requires substantial support from the government in the form of financial aid, subsidies and access to finance (especially for the latter this column has been a regular and strong advocate of financial easing in all forms of production as an added incentive for local and/or foreign investors). These measures would mean increasing the money supply and in turn having to battle inflation once more, hopefully in a more effective way than last year's attempt to keep real estate prices and infrastructure spending under control", Intermodal's analyst noted.
So, as the factor of inflation seems to be fast-becoming ''a lesser of two devils'' for most major economies, what are the potential effects on shipping? "Secondhand prices and NB cost have seriously dropped over the past 4½ years. Current fleet profile, outstanding deliveries, market demand/supply factors all maintain their importance of course and have generated a dim outlook for the market ahead, but we cannot ignore the fact that all asset prices are subject to inflationery pressures as well. As the price gap between Japan and China is narrowing down, shipyards suffer greatly from rising construction costs and seem heavily reluctant to drop their price expectations to higher loss areas. Could this provide the necessary pillar for a reaction in prices? Could we finally be close to an artificial bottom?" the report concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Tuesday, 23 April 13
INDONESIAN STATE OWNED COAL MINER SHIPPED 4 PERCENT MORE COAL IN 1Q
COALspot.com - PT. Bukit Asam, the Indonesian state owned coal miner shipped more coal in first quarter of this year compared to the same period in ...
Tuesday, 23 April 13
REALM CONTINUES AS 51% OWNER AND MANAGER OF THE KATINGAN RIA THERMAL COAL PROJECT
COALspot.com - Realm Resources Ltd. (ASX: RRP) has announced today that, the commercial way forward for the development of its 51% held Indonesian t ...
Tuesday, 23 April 13
TIGERS REALM COAL HAS SOME OF THE WORLD'S BEST UNDEVELOPED COKING COAL ASSETS - EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN
COALspot.com - “ During 2012, your Company has made very significant progress towards meeting its stated objective of becoming a global player ...
Tuesday, 23 April 13
AUSTRALIA'S NEWCASTLE PORT COAL SHIPMENTS DROPPED BY 4.38 PERCENT W-O-W
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 2,434,336 tons of thermal and coking coal for week ended 0700 hours 22 April 2013, Newca ...
Sunday, 21 April 13
INDONESIA - INDIA COAL FREIGHT RATES ARE FIRMING UP - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com – The BDI was up by 1.40 pct closed at 888 points week ended 19 April 2013. The Cape index was down by 2.45 pct closing at 1234 p ...
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- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- The University of Queensland
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
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