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Thursday, 28 February 13
SHIP OWNERS EXPECTED TO FACE A CHALLENGING YEAR, DESPITE THE FALL OF NEWBUILDING ORDERS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Tonnage oversupply and a lagging growth in world trade demand are expected to keep shipping in the "red", despite a series of measures adopted by most ship owners, in order to alleviate the current imbalance between supply and demand. According to the latest weekly report from shipbroker Intemodal, the overcapacity problem isn't a new one, as it was accurately predicted since the middle of 2008, when the world orderbook had already soared to unprecedented heights. As a result, these projections have turned into a stark reality nowadays, as the number of newbuilding deliveries continue to increase. The question is how much more of this increasing capacity can the industry sustain and at which point will be the tipping point at which we start to see modern well maintained vessel heading for lay-up or the beaches of the Indian Sub-Continent?
According to Intermodal's Panos Makrinos, "the main issue here is that shipbuilding capacity is still well beyond any reasonable expectation of what the industry could possible require in terms of replacement demand over the upcoming fears. The solution which has been proposed by many over the past years has been two fold. Firstly that shipbuilding capacity has to be reduced significantly through shipping of operations by some shipbuilders (i.e. a switch towards ship repairs) or even closing of inefficient shipyards and berths altogether. Secondly is that demolition activity will have to be sustained for a little while longer at its current levels in order to provide a chance for recovery in the freight market. Both of these steps were ignored by several owners during the 2009-2010 period, who instead of easing off their further new ordering, increased it, while at the same time keeping demolition volume to a minimal. The combination of the two and particularly the former has accounted for much of the dragging out of the current shipping crisis" he said.
Makrinos added that "all this changed in 2011 and 2012, as things started to get considerably worse in terms of freight earnings for most shipping sectors, pulling down the curtains on wrongfully placed optimism and bringing many of these owners back to their senses. Newbuilding activity dropped to a bare minimum for both the tanker and dry bulk sectors, helping the orderbook decrease considerably as the record number of vessels being delivered were not being replaced by further new orders. At the same time, we started to see cancelling of existing orders as well as rescheduling of delivery dates, helping further contain the rate of growth in the fleet" he noted.
Of course, demolition activity played a key role as well. Intermodal's analyst stated that "the fast paced increase in demand for cheaper sources of steel by India and China helped revitalize the market while keeping offered prices more buoyant than one would have expected to see during a downturn of the shipping cycle. These high prices for scrap steel coupled with the rapidly dropping values for further trading vessels helped make the choice “easy” for most owners of older tonnage. It's an industry first to be able to sell an overage unit for scrap and use the money generated as 30% equity on a modern 5 year old vessel. It is points like this which allowed for a strong increase in demo activity.
This is all well and good but is the market and better off than it was 12 months ago? Is there a turn to be seen in market conditions within 2013? Although both the newbuilding and demolition markets have started to play an active role in reversing the poor market conditions, they only affect one side of the supply-demand equation. The needed demand in global seaborne trade is still not there and what's worse is that we have a very modern fleet which makes for an inflexible market and could push things towards the “last resort” option of laying up vessels as was done back in the 80's. Let's just hope it doesn't come to that. All that can be said for now is that we expect 2013 to be equally if not more difficult than 2010 for shipowners. High demolition activity and limited new-building ordering are the best hope of seeing a light at the end of the tunnel" Makrinos concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Thursday, 24 January 13
DRY BULK MARKET FALLS ON TROPICAL CYCLONE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has been on the downside during the past couple of days, mainly as a result of the tropical storm which forced ports to close do ...
Tuesday, 22 January 13
PORT OF ANTWERP HANDLES 7.0 PERCENT MORE COAL IN 2012 Y-Y
COALspot.com - The port of Antwerp handled 184,134,516 tonnes of freight last year.
This represents a drop of 1.6% compared with 2011, when the v ...
Monday, 21 January 13
NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 10.21 PERCENT LESS COAL W/E 21 JANUARY 2013
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 2,804,152 MT of thermal and coking coal for week ended 0700 hours 21 January 2013, Newca ...
Monday, 21 January 13
PANAMAX DRY BULK CARRIERS AND AFRAMAX TANKERS PROVED TO BE THE "WEAPON OF CHOICE" FOR MOST SHIP OWNERS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
With ship financing getting ever so difficult to procure during the past year or so, ship owners had to get creative in order to persuade banks and ...
Sunday, 20 January 13
Q1 & Q4 SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAPS: FIRM
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) and CFR South China coal shipment for average Q1’ 2013 delivery have gained 0.81percent and ...
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- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Australian Coal Association
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- White Energy Company Limited
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
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