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Thursday, 14 February 13
BIMCO FORECASTS MOSTLY HIGHER DRY BULK RATES FOR THE COMING WEEKS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Higher steel demand is expected to keep dry bulk rates elevated during the next six weeks, according to the latest BIMCO forecast. The Organization said in a report yesterday, that Capesize TC average rates are expected to stay elevated around USD 4,500-8,500 per day. Panamax is expected to be found in the USD 3,500-8,500 per day interval. For the Supramax segment, BIMCO forecasts freight rates to remain in the USD 6,000-9,500 per day interval, whereas Handysize rates are forecast to stay at the interval of USD 5,000-8,000 per day.
Justifying its predictions, BIMCO said that "following the scary dip in the strength of the Chinese steel market during third quarter 2012 – a dip that landed a huge blow to an already shaken shipping industry confidence – steel demand now appears to be back on track. Going forward, BIMCO expect Chinese iron ore demand to be amongst the strong demand drivers in 2013" it said.
The report added that "global steel production reached 1,548 million tons last year – the highest figure ever. Asia increased its production by 2.6% compared to 2011, where China and India in particular accounted for the expansion. North American steel production increased by 2.5%, but the sheer size of their output is only one-eighth of Asia’s. The EU, producing slightly more than North America, cut back on its production of steel by 4.5%. Going forward, BIMCO expects that a bettering of the European Economy will normalise crude steel production, bringing it up to a higher level and thus also leading to higher demand for iron ore from Europe. The demand for coal may be affected by the new Chinese fiveyear energy plan, which outlines a target of limiting the annual primary energy consumption to 4 billion tonnes of coal equivalent by 2015. The cap could turn out as a positive story for the dry bulk segment, as Chinese coal is of a lower quality than imported coal. If coal plants want to increase their power output for a capped amount of coal, their best option is to use the imported coal. Even though we are seeing a pretty picture of demand, overcapacity in the market prevents freight rates from flying high" it noted.
In terms of supply, 2013 marks a new start in terms of a downward sloping trend. This stands in very positive opposition to the case of the previous four years with escalating deliveries. According to BIMCO, "2013 is likely to see 66 million DWT delivered, representing a significantly lower level than in 2012. Deliveries in January of 8.1 million DWT represent a 7-month high, as the slow-down in deliveries during the second half of 2012 was significant. This is in line with our forecast of a “front-end loaded” year, where the strongest inflow is expected to take place during the first half year. Throughout the whole of 2012, just 278 new contracts for dry bulkers were signed. This was the slowest contracting year since 2001, representing a much needed and very positive development. Owner’s hesitations were especially pronounced in the last four months of 2012. January, however, marks a new beginning, with a 12-months high level at 2.3 million DWT of fresh newbuilding orders. The tally is much impacted by the 8 Capesize orders at Chinese yards due for delivery in 2014 and 2015. BIMCO expects demolition activity to remain strong in 2013 at 3.6% of total fleet. This is building on top of 2011 and 2012, which saw strong activity at 4.0% and 5.2% of the total dry bulk fleet being sold for demolition. The total dry bulk order book currently stands at 130.8 million DWT, a level not seen since May 2007. 52.6 million DWT (661 in numbers) represents Panamax tonnage (60,000-120,000 DWT), whereas 44.5 (207 in numbers) represent Capesize tonnage (+176,000 DWT). 45% of January deliveries landed in the Panamax segment whereas 32% entered the Capesize fleet" BIMCO said.
It added that "the combined sale and purchase activity (in numbers) in the three main shipping segments (dry bulk, tankers and containerships) were the highest on record since 2008 according to Vesselsvalue.com. But if you judge it by value, it was the lowest during the same period of time. Peaking in 2010 at USD 20 billion, the total sales value of 2012 was only USD 10 billion. The numbers are impacted by lower prices and a higher age of the traded assets. A total of 836 sales were concluded, out of which 452 were in the dry bulk segment, at a value of USD 5.2 billion. The Panamax and Capesize segments saw the largest increase of activity from 2011 to 2012 at 106% and 103% respectively".
In terms of demand, BIMCO expects that for 2013, the majority of the strong Chinese iron ore demand will benefit seaborne imports, as the preference for imported iron ore continues to be strong. In spite of a strong demand for this key commodity, earnings have been modest on the reference routes from Tubarão (Brazil) and Western Australia to Baoshan (China), reflecting an oversupply of Capesize vessels.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Tuesday, 05 February 13
CHALLENGER DEEP RESOURCES CORP HAS ENTERED INTO AN EXCLUSIVE MINING AND MARKETING AGREEMENT WITH KEM
COALspot.com - Challenger Deep Resources Corp., through its wholly owned subsidiary, PT Bestindo Energy, has entered into an Exclusivity Agreement r ...
Saturday, 02 February 13
ADARO TO INTRODUCE A NEW BRAND OF ENVIROCOAL, E4700, IN 2013
COALspot.com - Adaro Energy, an Indonesian and leading coal producer in country has achieved a record coal production during 4Q12 of 13.31 mil ...
Saturday, 02 February 13
FREIGHT MARKET MAY REBOUND AFTER CHINESE NEW YEAR - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The freight market was soft and all the indices were down by around 5-7 pct this week.
The BDI was down 6.01 pct closing at 750 po ...
Friday, 01 February 13
ORPHEUS SELLS B26 COAL PROJECTS FOR US$ 2 MILLION TO FOCUS ON SOUTH KALIMANTAN
COALspot.com - Orpheus Energy Limited (ASX: OEG) has announced that it has sold its 51 percent equity stake in the East Kalimantan coal projects, Bl ...
Friday, 01 February 13
HANDY - FLAT; PANAMAX - FLAT TO WEAK; CAPESIZE - WEAK
Handy
The Atlantic market remained stable with no significant movement in rates. Rates from USG to FEast were around USD 17k and Black sea to Feast ...
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- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Planning Commission, India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Australian Coal Association
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
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