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Saturday, 12 January 13
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAPS: WEAK
 COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average Q1’ 2013 delivery has lost 0.32 percent WoW but CFR South China coal shipment for average Q1’ 2013 delivery price gained 0.34 per cent for the same period as of Friday, 11 January 2013, according to the data released by AsiaClear OTC coal swaps.
A commodity swap is a financial agreement whereby a floating, or spot, price is exchanged for a fixed rate over a specified contract period.
Indonesia Sub-Bit FOB Coal Swaps
Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average Q1’ 2013 delivery has gained 0.09 percent D-D on Friday, 11 January 2013, according to the data released by AsiaClear OTC coal swaps on Friday. Sub-Bit FOB Indonesia coal swaps for average Q1’ 2013 delivery was opened on 7 January 2013 at US$ 63.90 pmt but closed at US$ 63.69 on 11 January 2013. In the meantime, the average Q4’ 2013 delivery price has lost 0.34percent for the same period.
Average Q4’ 2013 deliveries for sub-bit Indonesia coal swap was opened at $ 67.08 pmt on 7 January 2013 and closed at $ 66.85 on 11 January 2013. Average Q4’ delivery price has down by US cents 23 PMT W-o-W but flat D-o-D.
Sub-bit Indonesia coal swaps for Cal 2014 delivery has gained W-o-W, but lost DoD.
AsiaClear OTC Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap for average calendar 2014 delivery closed US$ 4.58 higher compared to average calendar 2013 delivery price of US$ 65.22 on 11 January 2013. In the meantime, The Q4’ 2014 coal swap has closed US$ 6.11 higher than Q1 ‘ 2013 swap.
CFR South China Coal Swaps
CFR South China coal shipment for average Q1’ 2013 delivery price gained 0.34 per cent W-O-W but flat D-o-D.
In the meantime, average Q4’ 2013 delivery price has gained D-D and W-W. The contract for the average Q1’ 2013 prices gained US$ 0.29 W-o-W and closed at US$ 85.49 a ton on 11 January 2013. Average Q4 CFR South China coal shipment prices gained US cents 0.30 PMT D-o-D and US cents 0.52 W-o-W.
CFR South China coal shipments (average Q1’ 2013 delivery) was opened at $ 88.90 on 7 January 2013 and closed at $ 89.42 on 11 January 2013 up US$ 0.29 PMT in a week. In the meantime, the CFR South China coal swaps for Q4’ 2013 delivery gained 0.58 percent W-o-W and 0.33 percent on D-o-D.
CFR South China coal swap for average Q4’ 2013 delivery closed US$ 6.70 higher compared to average Q1’ 2013 delivery price. The calendar 2014 coal swap has closed US$ 4.78 higher than average calendar 2013 swap.
Indonesian government has sets its January HBA at US$ 87.55 for 6322 GAR coal. This month HBA, US$ 5.80 higher compared to December 2012 price. In the meantime, Energy and Mineral Resources Deputy Minister of Indonesia has forecasted that, the Indonesia coal reference price (HBA) will reach over US$100 per ton this year following potential economic recovery as showed by the recent US fiscal-cliff budget deal.
However, Bahana Securities, one of the leading securities in Indonesia, said in its latest coal outlook that, 1M price outperformance’s are mainly on seasonal effect which raised global coal prices by some 16% from its bottom in November 2012. Bahana maintains 2013 coal price assumption at USD82/ton (-15% y-y), given continued uncertainties in global outlook, temporary restocking condition, increasing coal output and US industrial users’ switch to shale gas.
Inquiries from India is still flooding in to Indonesian market. According to coal traders in Indonesia, Indian buyers are willing to offer little higher price than that they have bids last months. The coal market direction is seems to be struck in fog. Hope, the coming weeks, can give a clear direction for coal prices for the rest of the year.
According to available data, Indonesia, the world largest multi grade coal exporter has shipped 33.578* million tons of coal in November 2012 which is around 4.45* percent lower compared to October exports.
Most of the Indonesian coal had shipped to China and India in November 2012. Indonesian low GCV coal is still an attractive fuel for Indian consumers due to its cheap price as well as lower freight. Indian coal imports from Indonesia has increased significantly in 2012 and expected it will reach more than 75 million tons in 2012. According to available information, Indonesia also shipped 300.488* million tons of coal (all grades included) in first 10 months. As usual 53.18* percent of total exported coal goes to china and India.
According to our sources, 58.65* percent of Indonesia’s total coal exports in November has shipped to China and India.
Indonesia’s coal output is also expected to increase by 1.2 percent to 391 million tons from 386 million tons last year, as cited by local media, referring minister’s quote. As Indonesia is planning to produce more coal in 2013, and the market demand is also expected to be flat in 2013, we feel, the price recovery may face higher pressure in 2013.
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Friday, 15 February 13
2ND ANNUAL INDONESIA MINING 2013 CONFERENCE
Bringing Indonesia's Mining Stakeholders Together Towards Improving Mining Investment Climate & Operations
Following the success of th ...
Friday, 15 February 13
SCRAPPING TO RISE AS BULKER OWNERS SUFFER - DREWRY MARITIME RESEARCH
Drewry's latest Dry Bulk Forecaster report suggests that cash-strapped shipowners will scrap younger and younger ships this year as the dry bulk ma ...
Thursday, 14 February 13
HANDY: ATLANTIC "STABLE"; PACIFIC "QUIET" - FEARNLEYS
Handy
The Atlantic remain stable with rates for FH from USG around USD 18k. The Pacific remains quiet due to Chinese New Year holidays. Rates were ...
Thursday, 14 February 13
BIMCO FORECASTS MOSTLY HIGHER DRY BULK RATES FOR THE COMING WEEKS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Higher steel demand is expected to keep dry bulk rates elevated during the next six weeks, according to the latest BIMCO forecast. The Organization ...
Wednesday, 13 February 13
6TH ANNUAL CBM CONFERENCE
The 6th Annual CBM conference which will be held in Singapore on 18-21 June 201 offers comprehensive insights into leading CBM projects in the Asia- ...
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