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Thursday, 10 January 13
DRY BULK PANAMAX MARKET HEAVILY OVERSUPPLIED, UNLIKELY TO FIND SUPPORT IN 2013 - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Despite positive indication for a significant surge of dry bulk demand this year, the oversupply problems of the market, will continue to weigh heavily in terms of freight rates. Yesterday, the BDI was up by 9 points to 743, with Panamaxes posting an increase of 35 points to 717 (Baltic Panamax Index), which was enough to push the market higher, as all other subsectors were mostly unchanged. According to a recent note from analysts Commodore Research & Consultancy, "Chinese demand for imported thermal coal has started the week at an extremely robust level and is poised to stay strong during the remainder of this week. 8 vessels were chartered to haul thermal coal cargoes to China on Monday (including 7 panamax vessels). This was a huge amount for a single day's worth of chartering activity.
During times of moderate demand, an average of 3 vessels are normally chartered to haul thermal coal cargoes to China each day. Demand is poised to stay robust throughout this week and into next week due to low Chinese coal port stockpiles and intensifying winter electricity demand. Coal stockpiles at Qinhuangdao (China's largest coal port) have fallen to 6.1 million tons. This is well below the crucial 7mt level that officials strive to maintain at all Coal stockpiles at Qinhuangdao times (Qinhuangdao is of great importance to Chinese officials, as it is the loading have fallen to 6.1mt, which is port for approximately 40% of China's coastal coal shipments)" said the analyst.
Still, according to Commodore, panamax rates aren't expected to find significant support in the near term. "We continue to anticipate that newbuilding deliveries will be very high this month. Dry bulk fleet growth traditionally surges every January, as owners normally delay a large amount of December deliveries to be delivered one month later in January. Delaying December deliveries allows owners to receive vessels that will be viewed as being a year younger. A year ago, for example, saw 19 panamax vessels delivered in December 2011 and then 39 delivered in January 2012. Delaying delivery just one month allowed owners to obtain a 2012-built vessel, rather than a 2011-built vessel. We strongly believe this trend will continue this year, which makes it unlikely that panamax rates will find significant support in the near term (the panamax market is currently the most oversupplied dry bulk vessel class and we expect it will remain so during all of 2013). The surge in Chinese thermal coal demand, however, is a positive sign regarding the Chinese economy and the Asian thermal coal market" it concluded.
In a separate note yesterday, shipbroker Fearnleys noted on the Panamax market that "some glimmers of hope mid-week with more cargoes entering the market, especially in the Atlantic. Some owners with ships able to breach IWL are able to get a premium for prompt cargoes, but regular Tarvs are now being fixed at around USD 6500 while fhauls with Continent delivery will fetch around USD 13-14k. In the Pacific we see rates at around USD 3-4k for round trips, more cargoes however will the number of ships absorb these cargoes? The period market has been somewhat more active beginning 2013 with a 2-year deals being done at USD 6.5 for an older vessel and around USD 7500 achievable for LME´s" it said.
In the Capesize market, Fearnleys said that "the past week has seen gradual increases in rates across all fronts in the Cape sector, both on the physical and paper side. Strong volume has come out of West Australia, causing rates to climb from USD 7 to 7.20 pmt, with prompt tonnage booked closer to the USD 8 pmt mark. However, at the time of writing, caution is being exercised in light of the approaching cyclone off the West Australia coast, and it remains to be seen whether this will put downward pressure on rates or not. Whilst Vale remains quiet, sentiment has slightly improved on fhaul, with better rates achieved for Tubarao/China (around 17.5 USD pmt). Similarly, slightly firmer numbers are being discussed for period business, with USD 8500 being done for 5-8 months, and a healthier USD 10,750 rate achieved for 9-13 months" the shipbroker concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Wednesday, 12 December 12
69.23 PERCENT OF END-USERS ARE BELIEVE, COAL PRICES ARE IN UPWARD TREND
COALspot.com - The Indonesian government’s declared coal reference price for December’ 12 has gained US cents 31 per MT M-o- ...
Wednesday, 12 December 12
CAPESIZE FREIGHT RATES TO RANGE BETWEEN $9,000 - 16,000/DAY IN THE COMING WEEKS SAYS BIMCO - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In its regular update on the dry bulk market, BIMCO forecasted yesterday, that Capesize time-charter rates are expected to stay elevated in the foll ...
Tuesday, 11 December 12
NEWCASTLE PORT IN AUSTRALIA HAS LOADED 2,720,205 MT OF COAL W/E 10 DECEMBER 2012
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 2,720,205 MT of thermal and coking coal for week ended 0700 hours 10 December 2012, Newc ...
Sunday, 09 December 12
COAL SWAPS HAVE LOST DIRECTION DUE TO LACK OF ASIAN INTEREST
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average Q1’ 2013 delivery gained 2.43 percent M-M but lost WoW by 0.54 percent and 0.62 ...
Sunday, 09 December 12
LOW DEMAND PUSHES CHARTER RATES TOWARDS DOWN - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The freight market has softened and BDI, The Baltic Dry Index, a measure of shipping costs for dry bulk goods, plunged below 10 ...
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- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Planning Commission, India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
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