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Monday, 31 December 12
"DISTRESSED", "ECO" AND "FINANCE" ARE THE THREE WORDS WHICH CHARACTERIZED 2012 - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
2012 was yet another year of speculation, anticipation, pessimism and more speculation in the shipping markets. According to the latest weekly report from shipbroker Intermodal, "if 2011 was a year of aggression with the majority of the shipping world treating it as a short slow down before the next bonanza, 2012 was a major slap in the face and a party killer making most people (there is a reason that I say most) realize the rates are on a downhill with no breaks. 3 words in 2012 in my humble opinion were the most popular in the shipping world. “Distressed,” “ECO” and “Finance”, wrote Intermoda's analyst, Mr. Timos Papadimitriou.
He noted that "starting with “Distressed,” the market has been looking for the so called “fire sales” of modern assets since 2010 to no avail, at least not to the extent many would like. But why is that? Charterers have being defaulting, owners have being defaulting, and many yards are for sure to default. But the really low prices have yet to be witnessed. We have started to slowly but surely see assets being marketed cheap in the container sector, but these 90’s units are hardly of interest any more. Will dry bulkers and tankers provide similar opportunities for modern distressed assets? It’s doubtful. Units built after 2007 had been contracted at much higher levels compared to today’s NB prices and keep in mind that the finance that these vessels operate on, is unlikely to have been completely repaid yet. As such, the banks will be reluctant to sacrifice these vessels to the market just yet. It’s more likely that we will continue seeing the “inviting offers” dance followed by the “withdrawn from the market” maneuver and finishing strong with either a private sale or a second dance of an “inviting offers.” Time will tell" he stressed.
Intermodal's analyst went on to explain what 2012 meant in terms of the crowd favorite word of "Eco". He mentioned that "ECO tankers, ECO Bulkers, ECO containers and so on. There so many different opinions, predictions and questions. Will the new vessels render the older ones obsolete? Will the ECOs see the anticipated premiums? How will they perform under bad weather? Can the older vessels be cheaply retrofitted to run as efficiently? And what if oil prices drop? The last question cracks me up every time! In my very humble opinion it will come down to the owner/operator. Undeniably, what’s more important than the vessel itself, is to know how to manage/operate a vessel. It’s “back to basics,” and the charterers are well aware of that. Yes the ECO vessels will attract curiosity but their value might not only be in the FOC they boast but also in other features they will be fitted with that will allow them to comply with new regulations and laws. Again time will tell" he said.
Finally he stated that "last but not least we have reached our final point, “Finance.” These days finance resembles “Nessie” the Loch Ness Monster. There is something out there but what exactly is it? that we don’t know yet. European banks are silent or playing dead (emphasis on “playing”) making the credit thirsty parties look to China for Nessie but with no consistency in the sightings. Truth to be told, there is some finance from China as well as other sources like the recently reported Bumi deal which was backed up by Indian money. So finance might not be easily found or even acquired, but taking the right steps and most importantly having a healthy financial past will lead you to the end of the rainbow. Once again time will tell" Papadimitriou said.
He concluded his argument by noting that "the shipping market has always been a steady supplier of surprises and curve balls. When all things point to one direction, something has always happened that defied all odds and changed the market’s course. Yes there are still A LOT of bulk carriers to be delivered, yes the global economic environment does not favor end products that are shipped with containers and yes the tanker market is struggling to find its footing but maybe the New Year will lead to new opportunities emerging. Time will indeed tell".
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Thursday, 03 January 13
DRY BULK DEMAND TO KEEP RISING IN 2013, DRY BULK SHIP PRICES TO KEEP FALLING SAYS ANALYST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In a recent report on the future of the shipping markets, DVB bank said that dry bulk demand is expected to keep on growing in the coming years, mai ...
Wednesday, 02 January 13
NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 23.61 PERCENT MORE COAL W-W
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 3,533,183 MT of thermal and coking coal for week ended 0700 hours 31 December 2012, Newc ...
Wednesday, 02 January 13
DRY BULK MARKET TO STAY ELEVATED IN START OF 2013 BUT THE NEW YEAR WILL NOT BE WITHOUT TURBULENCE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In its regular update on the dry bulk market, BIMCO forecasted, that Capesize time-charter rates are expected to stay elevated in the following six ...
Monday, 31 December 12
KOSEP IS LOOKING FOR 280K MT OF 4600 NCV COAL FOR APRIL - JUNE 2013
COALspot.com : South Korean state-owned utility Korea South-East Power Co., Ltd. (KOSEP), has issued an new tender for prompt supply of 280,00 ...
Monday, 31 December 12
VALE CELEBRATES ARRIVAL OF "VALE SOHAR" BULK CARRIER TO SULTANATE WITH MEMBERS OF COMMUNITY
'Vale Sohar', one of the largest bulk carriers in the world, was welcomed to Oman by members of the North Al Batinah community headed by H.E. Shei ...
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- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Australian Coal Association
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- The University of Queensland
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- White Energy Company Limited
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
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