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Thursday, 27 December 12
A LOOK AT WORLD TRADE PATTERNS DURING 2013 - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
 While China's leaders are likely to stick with the 2012 economic growth rate of 7.5% when they chart a course for 2013 - its weakest pace since 1999 - with Europe still in recession and U.S' demand sluggish, world trade faces considerable headwinds for 2013. According to Intermodal's Tasos Papadopoulos, "Southeast Asia has lately become an engine of global economic growth; since the Asian crisis of the mid 90’s the region "has been in the gym and working hard" and is showing much more resilience now".
The shipbroker's analyst noted that 'countries such as Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia, Vietnam, the Philippines, and Myanmar have come out of a prolonged economic slump and are now forecast for a sustained economic growth amid increasing number of middle-income earners. The Philippines, for example, which once earned the nickname the "sick man of Asia", announced earlier this month that its GDP rose by 7.1% in the July-September period which is pretty close to China's growth levels! In other words, the Chinese economy is slowing down, while SE Asian growth is still picking up.
Investors are shifting their money towards Southeast Asian markets where strong consumer spending is expected to boost domestic demand while the region’s deca-millionairs (those earning $10 million or more) already outnumber those in Europe and are expected to exceed those in the United States within the next decade. Over the past three months, stocks in the Philippines rose 8% and in Indonesia climbed 6%. According to Dai-chi Life Research Institute Inc., $1.5-2bn was invested in the stock exchanges of Indonesia, Thailand and the Philippines between late 2011 and October this year. Indonesia, which has a population of 240m - 4th most populated country in the world - offers the biggest domestic market in SE Asia and an increasing predictions that she will be ranked as the 4th largest economy by 2050" he said.
Papadopoulos added that "at this point, it is worth noting that Indonesians’ have been very active in the SnP market in 2012 acquiring modern tonnage, with notable mention going towards the ex “Nanos” (50,296dwt-blt 02) at low $ 14m, ex “Energy Angel” (77,697dwt-blt 98) at $ 12,6m or more recently the reported sale of “Pegasus Island” (77,830dwt-blt 02) at low $ 12m" he said.
According to the report, "China and Japan are also eyeing S. Eastern markets as a destination for their products and expect the region to develop further in the future. Chinese steelmakers, Baosteel Group Corp and Wuhan Iron and Steel (Group) Corp have separately invested into building steel plants in South China, while planning to export a total of 10m tons per year of steel products to the SE Asian region. JFE Steel Corp of Japan, together with Taiwanese company E-United Group, is also examining a plan to build a 3.5m ton integrated steel works in Vietnam. Formosa Plastics Group, Taiwan's top petrochemical company, is investing about $10bn to construct its first steel plant for domestic and overseas supply. The project includes the development of a deep water port able to accommodate a 300k dwt dry bulker".
Intermodal's report concluded by nothing that "we have to consider that the business environment in all these countries is of high risk. Political stability is not guaranteed and past experience should become a lesson; in Thailand, after the royal succession takes place, there is a high risk that social stability may not to be ensured, in Myanmar, the transition towards democracy - after almost 50 years of military rule - is not an easy task at all while in Indonesia a bureaucrat who spearheaded the export restrictions on natural resources might be the winner of the 2014 presidential elections...With all this in mind one might wonder what the future may have in stall".
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Monday, 24 December 12
CONSTITUTIONAL COURT DECISION MAY FURTHER DELAY THE ISSUANCE OF NEW MINING BUSINESS LICENCES - TJEN SHE SIUNG
COALspot.com - In November 2012 the Constitutional Court of Indonesia issued a decision on amendments to certain provisions under the Mining Law No. ...
Monday, 24 December 12
BUNKER PRICES TO CONTINUE RISING, ALBEIT IN A SLOWER MODE, DURING THE NEXT FEW YEARS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEW
In a recent report, US-based consulting firm Mcquilling Services attempted to forecast the course of bunker prices during the next few years, as thi ...
Sunday, 23 December 12
Q4' 2013 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP, US$ 3.40 HIGHER COMPARED TO Q1' 2013 PRICE
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average Q1’ 2013 delivery gained 1.94 percent M-M and WoW by 1.57percent but lost 0.35 ...
Saturday, 22 December 12
SECOND HAND VESSELS ENJOY HIGH DEMAND AS PRICES ARE ATTRACTIVE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Despite the fact that the year is closing to its end, activity in the second hand vessel market has been more than high. Ship owners are looking to ...
Saturday, 22 December 12
FALL IN CAPE AND PANAMAX RATES DRAG BDI INDEX - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The freight market further softened this week closing at 700 points (down by 10.71 pct). The cape index continued to fall and w ...
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- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- White Energy Company Limited
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Planning Commission, India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
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