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Thursday, 27 December 12
A LOOK AT WORLD TRADE PATTERNS DURING 2013 - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
 While China's leaders are likely to stick with the 2012 economic growth rate of 7.5% when they chart a course for 2013 - its weakest pace since 1999 - with Europe still in recession and U.S' demand sluggish, world trade faces considerable headwinds for 2013. According to Intermodal's Tasos Papadopoulos, "Southeast Asia has lately become an engine of global economic growth; since the Asian crisis of the mid 90’s the region "has been in the gym and working hard" and is showing much more resilience now".
The shipbroker's analyst noted that 'countries such as Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia, Vietnam, the Philippines, and Myanmar have come out of a prolonged economic slump and are now forecast for a sustained economic growth amid increasing number of middle-income earners. The Philippines, for example, which once earned the nickname the "sick man of Asia", announced earlier this month that its GDP rose by 7.1% in the July-September period which is pretty close to China's growth levels! In other words, the Chinese economy is slowing down, while SE Asian growth is still picking up.
Investors are shifting their money towards Southeast Asian markets where strong consumer spending is expected to boost domestic demand while the region’s deca-millionairs (those earning $10 million or more) already outnumber those in Europe and are expected to exceed those in the United States within the next decade. Over the past three months, stocks in the Philippines rose 8% and in Indonesia climbed 6%. According to Dai-chi Life Research Institute Inc., $1.5-2bn was invested in the stock exchanges of Indonesia, Thailand and the Philippines between late 2011 and October this year. Indonesia, which has a population of 240m - 4th most populated country in the world - offers the biggest domestic market in SE Asia and an increasing predictions that she will be ranked as the 4th largest economy by 2050" he said.
Papadopoulos added that "at this point, it is worth noting that Indonesians’ have been very active in the SnP market in 2012 acquiring modern tonnage, with notable mention going towards the ex “Nanos” (50,296dwt-blt 02) at low $ 14m, ex “Energy Angel” (77,697dwt-blt 98) at $ 12,6m or more recently the reported sale of “Pegasus Island” (77,830dwt-blt 02) at low $ 12m" he said.
According to the report, "China and Japan are also eyeing S. Eastern markets as a destination for their products and expect the region to develop further in the future. Chinese steelmakers, Baosteel Group Corp and Wuhan Iron and Steel (Group) Corp have separately invested into building steel plants in South China, while planning to export a total of 10m tons per year of steel products to the SE Asian region. JFE Steel Corp of Japan, together with Taiwanese company E-United Group, is also examining a plan to build a 3.5m ton integrated steel works in Vietnam. Formosa Plastics Group, Taiwan's top petrochemical company, is investing about $10bn to construct its first steel plant for domestic and overseas supply. The project includes the development of a deep water port able to accommodate a 300k dwt dry bulker".
Intermodal's report concluded by nothing that "we have to consider that the business environment in all these countries is of high risk. Political stability is not guaranteed and past experience should become a lesson; in Thailand, after the royal succession takes place, there is a high risk that social stability may not to be ensured, in Myanmar, the transition towards democracy - after almost 50 years of military rule - is not an easy task at all while in Indonesia a bureaucrat who spearheaded the export restrictions on natural resources might be the winner of the 2014 presidential elections...With all this in mind one might wonder what the future may have in stall".
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Monday, 24 December 12
CONSTITUTIONAL COURT DECISION MAY FURTHER DELAY THE ISSUANCE OF NEW MINING BUSINESS LICENCES - TJEN SHE SIUNG
COALspot.com - In November 2012 the Constitutional Court of Indonesia issued a decision on amendments to certain provisions under the Mining Law No. ...
Monday, 24 December 12
BUNKER PRICES TO CONTINUE RISING, ALBEIT IN A SLOWER MODE, DURING THE NEXT FEW YEARS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEW
In a recent report, US-based consulting firm Mcquilling Services attempted to forecast the course of bunker prices during the next few years, as thi ...
Sunday, 23 December 12
Q4' 2013 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP, US$ 3.40 HIGHER COMPARED TO Q1' 2013 PRICE
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average Q1’ 2013 delivery gained 1.94 percent M-M and WoW by 1.57percent but lost 0.35 ...
Saturday, 22 December 12
SECOND HAND VESSELS ENJOY HIGH DEMAND AS PRICES ARE ATTRACTIVE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Despite the fact that the year is closing to its end, activity in the second hand vessel market has been more than high. Ship owners are looking to ...
Saturday, 22 December 12
FALL IN CAPE AND PANAMAX RATES DRAG BDI INDEX - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The freight market further softened this week closing at 700 points (down by 10.71 pct). The cape index continued to fall and w ...
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- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- The University of Queensland
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- PTC India Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
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