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Thursday, 27 December 12
INDONESIA SHIPPED 33.578* MMT COAL IN NOVEMBER


COALspot.com:  Indonesia, the world largest multi grade coal exporter has shipped  33.578* million tons of coal in November 2012. this is a significant quantity during this hard time.

According to available information from coal exporters and various other sources, China is the largest importer of Indonesian coal in November (as usual) followed by India. China’s Indonesian coal imports have reached 11.024* million tons in November. However, China has imported 2.65 percent less coal in November from Indonesia compared to a month ago.

Meanwhile, India, an another world’s largest coal importer has imported  8.671* million tons of coal from Indonesia last month, which is 9.68 percent lesser than its October imports.

However Low calorific value power plant coal of Indonesian origin is still dominating Indian market.

According to a coal supplier from Sumatera Island, low coal prices as well low sea freights are encouraging Indian and Chinese buyers to keep eye on Indonesian coal for last few months. This trend is expecting to continue next year. According to our weekly polling, Indian coal buyers are still believe that, Indonesia will be an attractive destination for coal in 2013 for Indian coal buyers.

85.19* percent of total Indonesian coal exported quantity in November shipped to top five traditional Indonesian coal buyers such as China, India, South Korea, Japan and Taiwan.

Indonesian coal market was flat last few days due to Christmas and new holidays and less inquiries. There is no coal available for spot shipments from big scale coal producers but few small scale producers are still holding some cargo to release on spot deals.

Indonesia’s November coal export was 4.45* percent lower than October exported quantity. 58.65* percent of Indonesia’s total coal exports in November goes to China and India.

Indonesian coal exports to China and India have increased significantly  for last couple of year. Half of Indonesian coal exports always being shipped to China and India.

“We are not depends on India or China for our coal exports, but part of our export quantity is allocated for Indian and China to keep our share in those fast growing countries” said a coal producer from East Kalimantan. “ We managed our risk by diversifying our marketing strategy fairly between the coal consuming countries including and China and India,” he said.

According to mining law 4/2009 all coal miners in Indonesia to require to follow government declared coal prices ( HBA) when they conclude  a coal sales and purchase contract with their buyers.

The government declared minimum selling price for Indonesian coal for December delivery was slightly higher than November minimum price.

The reference price is to be used by coal producers for all spot and term contracts. This coal benchmark price is stated as using a formula based on the index average of ICI-1 (Indonesia Coal Index), Platts-5900, Newcastle Export Index, and global Coal Index. The assessment basis of the coal price reference was calculated considering coal with GCV 6,322kcal/kg (GAR), Total Moisture (AR) 8.00%, Total Sulphur 0.8% (AR), Ash Content 15% (AR) and delivery Free on Board (FOB) Vessel basis.

The government declared HBA for December has increased 0.38 percent M-O-M  but fell 27.44 percent Y-O-Y.

The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia sets the coal’s spot price benchmark for December 2012 at US$ 81.75 per ton (basis 6322 GAR coal), which is US cents 31higher than November  2012 Price but US$ 30.92 lower compared to the same period in 2011.

Coal industry had a hard time in 2012 and coal producers are expected to face a tough time during next year, at least until first half of 2013. According to U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts that the delivered US coal price will average $2.40 per MMBtu in 2012 and $2.44 per MMBtu in 2013 in US.  The forecasted price was not attractive for miners. EIA also forecasted, global coal demand will rise 2.6 percent annually in the next six years and challenge oil as the top energy source.

China was showing a positive on imported coal demand, as Reuters reported that, China's coal imports in the first 11 months of 2012 have jumped nearly 30 percent to 205.5 million tones and coal analysts forecasted that, the China's coal imports are expected to rise further in 2013 on the back of weak overseas demand and low international coal prices.

China, also has scrapped a regulation to cap spot thermal coal prices starting in 2013. According to media reports, National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC)  will not intervene in annual coal price negotiations between sellers and utilities starting in 2013.

*The coal export information within this article is provided by COALspot.com on an "as is" and "as available” basis. All details about, given in good faith and has been collected from various press reports, organization and individuals considered reliable but without guarantee.  While every care has been taken to ensure the accuracy of information furnished in this article. COALspot.com shall be obliged if errors / omissions are brought to its notice for carrying out corrections in this article.* Figures are subject to verification (cs)



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