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Saturday, 03 November 12
DEMOLITION IS THE KEY FOR DRY BULK SHIPPING'S RECOVERY SAYS SHIPBROKER - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
With the number of new building deliveries so far in 2012 already having surpassed the total of 2011, it's more than clear that the dry bulk sector needs more than record demolition activity in order to compensate for the additional tonnage. In other words, older vessels will have to exit the world's fleet in a faster rate, otherwise they will end up competing with their newer counterparts for the same cargoes. According to a recent report from shipbroker Intermodal, more than 1,000 dry bulk carriers have already been delivered since the start of 2012, with over 85 million tons of deadweight capacity and there's two more months until the end of 2012.
According to Intermodal's Theodore Ntalakos, "demolition remains the only alternative for vintage tonnage especially for the bigger vessels. More than 25m tons dwt of dry tonnage have seen the way to the scrapyards, making 2012 another record year in demolition. If we look at demolition versus new deliveries, almost 400 dry bulk carriers have been scrapped representing around 40% of new deliveries. In terms of deadweight, since the new ships are always bigger, demolition is about 30% of the new building deliveries. Although the numbers are more favorable compared to 2011, in 2012 we have seen economies slowing down or even contracting which no doubt has affected global seaborne trade" he said.
We added that "looking at the ratio (demolition/new deliveries) x100 in terms of dwt and in each sub-sector of the dry fleet we can explain and highlight some findings:
Vessels up to 20,000dwt – Demolition is almost 74% of the tonnage or 93% in terms of dwt indicating that this is a sector where the fleet has remained stable.
+ Handysize – the ratio is 55% hinting both the small orderbook as well as the overaged fleet.
+ Handymax/Supramax – the ratio is 22%, showing the limited scraping compared to the very large Supramax orderbook. This number is up from 11% in 2011, which shows that despite the high utilization of this segment, the fleet needs to grow at a slower pace.
+ Panamax – the ratio is 33%, up from 24% in 2011. The lousy rates sent more ships for demo this year, 6.3m tons went for demolition and 19m tons dwt were delivered.
+ Capesize – another poor year for Capesizes explains the fact that scrapings represent almost 40% of new deliveries" he mentioned.
Concluding his argument, Mr. Ntalakos noted that "it feels like demolition activity this year was more of a necessity, not only because the market has remained depressed, but mainly because the future of the older vessels does not look that bright. No doubt the pressure of the orderbook remains enormous and will continue to strangle the market and when world demand subsides, the demolition alone cannot bring the rates back up. As we reach towards the end of 2012, more vessels are coming and surely more demo activity is expected".
Meanwhile, in terms of dry bulk supply, BIMCO noted in a mid-October report that "while our projections for the fleet growth in percentage have remained somewhat steady most of the year, the flows in and out have been much stronger than foreseen at the start of the year. The hectic delivery pace has surpassed the astonishing level of 10 million DWT a month several times, whilst demolition activity has breached the 3 million DWT a month level numerous times too".
The report also examined what can be deduced from this? "Probably that many shipyards are suffering under an intense lack of cash-flow. Whereas the payment structure of the contracts previously were mostly equally distributed or front-heavy from signing to delivery, the contracts that have been made more recently are likely to be back-end loaded, releasing the biggest chunk of the money to the yards closer to the completion and delivery of the ship. This could be one of many explanations that may eventually cause widespread bankruptcies amongst smaller and privately-held yards in the main shipbuilding nations. The active fleet has grown by 8.8% since the turn of the year, as 964 new ships have now been delivered into a fleet that already stood at 8,901 dry bulk carriers at the start of the year. Fortunately, the pressure of 80 million DWT of brand new capacity being poured into the market has been eased to some extent by 375 over aged vessels being demolished.
Ship owners continuously apply the demolition tool generously in order to improve the bad market conditions by cutting down on the supply side. Demolition activity in India, Bangladesh and Pakistan in particular is strong, with lots of dry bulk tonnage sold for breaking. Following the drop in demolition prices from the top in April prices have now moved sideways at a new lower level that has stuck around for some months now. 25 million DWT has now been demolished during 2012 with more to come, assuming that ship owners continue to be tempted by the recycling price level" it concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Wednesday, 19 September 12
CHURCHILL STRENGTHENS LITIGATION TEAM WITH APPOINTMENT OF NICHOLAS SMITH AS MANAGING DIRECTOR
COALspot.com - Churchill Mining PLC (AIM: CHL) has announced that, Mr Nicholas Smith has joined the board of the Company and has been appointed as t ...
Wednesday, 19 September 12
DRY BULK TERMINALS SINGAPORE
Press Release - Dry bulk terminals are used all around the world to handle large quantities of bulk materials, like minerals, grains, etc. In today& ...
Tuesday, 18 September 12
JORC CODE REVISION - EXPOSURE DRAFT RELEASED FOR COMMENT
COALspot.com - The Australasian Joint Ore Reserves Committee (JORC) has today released for public comment the exposure draft of the JORC Code (2012) ...
Monday, 17 September 12
YEAR TO DATE, BUMA PRODUCED 231.1 MILLION BCM OF OVERBURDEN
COALspot.com - PT. Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk has removed 31.5 million bcm (+6.0 percent YoY) overburden in August 2012 totaled 31.5 million bcm ( ...
Sunday, 16 September 12
GLOBAL LOW DEMAND ; INDONESIA COAL AND CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS DIP
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for November 2012 delivery lost 1.345 percent W-O-W on Friday, 14 September 2012, closing but gai ...
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- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
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