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Thursday, 04 October 12
CAPESIZE : IN SPITE OF THE HOLIDAYS IN CHINA, RATES ARE CLIMBING UP - FEARNLEYS AS


Handy
Atlantic market remains quiet due to lack of cargoes and more supply of ships. Rates from Continent to east Med were around USD 13k and Black sea to F.East about USD 14k. USG-Skaw-Passero rates are around USD 11k and rates for USG-F.East about USD 18k. Pacific market remained weak due to on-going Golden Week holidays. For Indo-India, large eco Supra now fixed at USD 9k for delivery Singapore. Nopac also fixed bss APS at USD 8k + BB 325k. Indian iron ore market remains quiet with less activity on WCI&ECI. WCI-China rates around USD 5k and ECI-China around USD 4k. RBCT rv fixed at APS USD 8k + BB USD 200k. Red Sea fertilisers to India are fixed high teens. Not much activity seen on short period and rates around USD 9500 for large Supra.

Panamax
Finally we can see some evidence of change in sentiment. Atlantic seems to be bottoming out and coming up a small tick. There are still many available ships around, but owners are able to fetch close to USD 2k for a ship open on the Cont. The fronthaul market has also improved a little, as USG/China going around 13k+300k delivery aps. Pacific was never as low as Atlantic, but there are quite a bit of fresh cargoes coming into the market and the trend is positive. A nopac round with delivery north China pays close to USD 6k. Even though the spot market is somewhat better the period market is still coming down. Many players look for and book period tonnage, but rates are coming down. To fix periods the owners have to grant the charterer with good flexibilities and wide spreads on the period. It was reported a nice kamsarmax with delivery south China as fixed for about 4 to 8 months at 5750. This shows that the market does not have high hopes for the positive trend to continue.

Capesize
In spite of the holidays in China, rates are climbing up. The main driver is the front haul market, presently in the mid/high 22s - approaching USD the 23. West Australia/China was until yesterday below the 8 mark, but a couple been done today in the low 8s and owners increase their ideas to USD 9s. Period market is more active with rates slowly improving from last done last Friday of USD 11,000. The sentiment for the short term is bullish.
Source: Fearnleys AS



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