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Thursday, 27 September 12
HANDY: THE PACIFIC MARKET IS GETTING WEAKER WITH UPCOMING GOLDEN WEEK HOLIDAYS - FEARNLEYS AS


Handy
Yet another week with rates softening in all trades. Especially owners with ships open Continent struggle to find employment paying decent money. For trip to USG they are fetching around USD 3k, while ships open in USG are being fixed in region of USD 12k. If you´re willing to send your ship to a less paying market in the Feast you can achieve about USD 15k for a front haul with Continent delivery. The Pacific market is getting weaker with upcoming Golden Week holidays. For Indo-India, large eco Supra now fixed at USD 9k for dely Singapore. Nopac also fixed bss APS at USD 8k + BB 375k. Indian iron ore market remains quiet with less activity on WCI & ECI. WCI-China rates around USD 5k and ECI-China around USD 4k. RBCT rv fixed at APS USD 8k + BB USD 250k. Red Sea fertilisers to India are fixed high teens. Not much activity seen on short period and rates around USD 9500 for large Supra.

Panamax
Yet another week of softening rates in the Atlantic. A Baltic round was reported fixed on TC at USD 5000 per day for a nice/modern vessel and voyage business in the Atlantic is regularly fixed at TC equivalents below zero. Front haul is also softening; USG struggles to absorb all the ballasters from the east, last done for USG/China is 12k+200k aps. On the positive side Vale have been busy covering several iron ore shipments from Tubarao to China, but not even this seems to be able to have a positive effect on the market. The Pacific is better than the Atlantic. In anticipation of holidays in China next week fresh cargoes makes sure that ships are able to fix nopac and Australia rounds around USD 5k per day. Period market is very silent. FFA forward curve slides a bit every day and it seems we are at a point where owners rather wait with their period fixtures.

Capesize
Owners are again turning nervous after a period of increased activity and consequent climbing rate levels. Despite an ongoing flow of particularly West Australian ore cargoes, levels again ease off as the tonnage surplus proves more than sufficient to cover positive spot volume fluctuations. With national holidays in China coming up next week, a w-o-w improvement in average daily earnings of USD 1400 (or 24%) to USD 7300 presently looks apt to stop and turn south again as both fundamental spot and paper sentiment is overall negative. Historical seasonal expectations have not convinced major players to any large extent, resulting in low period activity.
Source: FEARNLEYS AS



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