We welcome article submissions from experts in the areas of coal, mining,
shipping, etc.
To Submit your article please click here.
|
|
|
Thursday, 13 September 12
FUEL EFFICIENT SHIPS MAY BE MORE EXPENSIVE, BUT THEY MAKE FINANCIAL SENSE SAYS ANALYSIS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
 The latest trend in shipbuilding is the so called "Eco" ship, i.e. ships which offer much better fuel consumption and are more cost-effective in that sense. On the plus side, they help ship owners who order meet the latest regulations on shipping emissions, which are becoming ever so demanding. But, these vessels come at a heftier price tag, as much as 25% premium over regular ones. So one has to wonder, if the ship owners will his money back?
According to a relative analysis by Bimco's chief shipping analyst Peter Sand, this premium is financially and commercially viable. According to Sand, "our calculations show that, should you choose to invest in an ECO MR2-tanker, you could pay up to 25% more for your vessel before settling for a non-ECO MR2-tanker”. BIMCO has been looking at the basic economics of this development and can conclude that a fairly large premium can be paid on newbuildings to operate ECO ships instead of traditional ships. The calculations that are based on our assumptions, disclose that a 15% savings on fuel, potentially enables the owner of the ECO ship to charge extra up to the amount that is saved in fuel – which is USD 2,197 more per day than what a regular vessel can ever get obtain. The extra income means that a ship-owner can pay up to USD 8.31 million more for an ECO ship, for the investment to be equally good or better off as compared to a standard tanker. That is a premium of 25% when the standard vessel is priced at USD 33 million" he said.
Peter Sand also mentioned that "in the same way and based on the same fuel consumption and fuel prices assumptions, a ship-owner can pay up to USD 5.5 million more for an ECO ship for every 10% of fuel savings – or 17% more when a standard vessel is priced at USD 33 million. An obtainable premium to the market-given time charter rate (USD per day), where the charterer pays the fuel, is implied to be equal to an obtainable cost deduction on a market-given voyage charter rate (USD per tons) where the owner pays for the fuel".
So, what happens when one factors in the effect of fuel prices? "If the bunker prices go up the fuel-savings premium increases, making investments in ECO ships more viable. For each increase of USD 100 per tons in bunker prices the premium goes up by USD 338 per day, improving the net present value (NVP) of the investment by USD 1.3 million. A change to the fuel price tends to affect time-charter rates directly, but we fix the rate at USD 12,750 per day in the following calculations, which is the latest 1-year time-charter rate for a 47-48k products tanker according to CRSL. If the bunker price stays on the current level of USD 651 per ton the fuel-savings premium will not be high enough to make investment in an ECO ship profitable for a ship-owner; even the psychological barrier of USD 1,000 per ton will not make the investment sustainable with a negative net present value of USD 0.7 million. The bunker price has to exceed USD 1,060 per tons to make a new ECO ship an investment, with a positive NPV, if the ECO ship is priced at USD 33 million. In other words, bunker prices would have to increase by two-thirds ceteris paribus to make the investment viable under the circumstance of a fixed time-charter rate and OPEX level going forward" said the report.
It continued by mentioning that "at the current 1 year time-charter rate of 12,750 USD/day, a standard vessel does not meet its cash-breakeven rate making the investment unprofitable with an NPV loss of USD 13.5 million – more than the initial equity outlay. Even if we were able to secure the ECO ship at a cost of USD 33 million the investment will still be unprofitable, despite being able to charge a fuel-savings premium of 2,197 USD on top of the time-charter rate, making an NPV loss of USD 5.2 million.
The cash-breakeven cost for a vessel priced at USD 33 million is USD 13,928 a day covering the daily operating and financial expenses, but not return to equity, which explains why the time-charter rate plus the fuel-savings premium is not enough to make the investment in an ECO ship profitable in the current environment.
The effect of new-building prices
As stated above the current time-charter rates at a fixed level for the next 20 years are not high enough to sustain investments in new vessels at present new-building prices.
Returning to the benchmark case of 15% fuel savings and time-charter rates of 12,750 USD/day for a standard vessel, an ECO ship must not cost more than USD 27.8 million to be a profitable investment for a ship-owner. Comparably a standard vessel must cost as little as USD 19.5 million to be profitable in today’s market. “The current newbuilding prices reflect some optimism in the shipping industry. Higher freight rates are expected to be part of not too distant future. From our calculations two results are striking; Firstly, newbuilding prices are not as closely related to the present market condition as they normally are – and secondly, ECO ships seem to be the best profitable choice for the future fleet” adds Peter Sand.
The effect of time-charter rates
"Instead of changing the new-building prices, we now examine how high the time-charter rates must go before the purchase becomes profitable. For a standard vessel priced at USD 33 million, time-charter rates must be as high as USD 16,328 per day for the purchase to be sustainable – but rates have not been this high since mid-2009. If the ECO ship costs USD 33 million, the ship also needs to make USD 16,328 per day before the purchase is profitable; but a portion of the rate reflects the fuel-savings premium. By deducting the premium of USD 2,197 per day, we can compare the rate to the historical values observed by a standard vessel. This means that the base rate needs to be USD 16,328-2,197=14,131 per day before an ECO ship becomes a profitable investment. By looking at historical freight rates, this is achievable. The 10-year average for 2003-2012 is USD 19,214 per day for a 1-year TC for a 47,000-48,000 DWT products tanker. It should be noted that we have assumed that the whole advantage of the investment would go to the ship owner" the report concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
If you believe an article violates your rights or the rights of others, please contact us.
|
|
Monday, 10 September 12
DRY BULK MARKET SLOWLY BUT SURELY REACHING CRITICAL STATUS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The radical consequences of the shifts in dry bulk demand and prices, especially for the most sought after commodity, concerning the industry, i.e. ...
Monday, 10 September 12
ORPHEUS ENERGY SECURES INDONESIAN COAL TRADING LICENSE
COALspot.com - Indonesian coal producer, Orpheus Energy (ASX:OEG) has announced today that the Indonesian Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources h ...
Monday, 10 September 12
A SNAPSHOT ON THE ECONOMIC AND SHIPPING ENVIRONMENT - GOLDEN DESTINY / HELLENIC SHIPPING
The European Central Bank left its interest rate unchanged at 0.75% focusing on pushing down borrowing costs in troubled economies, Spain and Italy. ...
Sunday, 09 September 12
H213 SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAPS ARE TRADING HIGHER
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for October 2012 delivery lost 0.14 percent W-O-W on 7 September 2012, Friday closing but gained ...
Saturday, 08 September 12
INDO INDIA ROUTE FREIGHT FOR SUPRAMAX REMAINS STRONG - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com - The freight market overall remained weak and except for cape index all other sectors were down. The biggest drop was in the Panamax s ...
|
|
|
Showing 4581 to 4585 news of total 6871 |
|
 |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
 |
|
|
| |
|
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- The University of Queensland
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Planning Commission, India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
|
| |
| |
|
