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Tuesday, 04 September 12
SHIP OWNERS' COMPETITION LEADS TO TANKER FIXTURES BELOW OPERATING COSTS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Ship owners operating in the VLCC tanker markets are increasingly finding it difficult to obtain even breakeven rates for their vessels, as competition has intensified. In its latest weekly report, Braemar Seascope noted that the willingness of owners to continue the trend of fixing their vessels at below operating costs, means that they are in essence paying for the pleasure of transportation for their clients. "By offering this service they are also increasing their maintenance costs, and it seems that for one reason or another, the "layup" option seems to have been taken off the table. There are a few owners who have said they are unwilling to fix at these levels. However, unfortunately for the three or four who refuse to trade, there are five or six who are willing to accept the prevailing levels. Owners have been adjusting ballast speeds to super-slow and other money saving methods, but this seems to be perpetuating the trend" said the report.
It added that "this week has seen charterers fixing steadily, drip feeding the market. Most cargoes have attracted offers until a full complement of 8-10 has been received and rates of previously done or lower have been concluded. Even in the face of rising bunker prices, PG/West has remained at 280kt x ws23.0 via Cape and in some cases, ws22.0 via Suez. This highlights the fact that fixing via the Suez Canal is a huge saving on bunker costs.
West Africa has been mirroring the PG. Rates are very low and flat at 260kt x ws36.0-37.0 for W Africa/East. W Africa/West has not really been traded as a very depressed Suezmax market has been able to fulfil requirements. From Indian charterers ex-W Africa this week, IOC entered the market for W Africa/EC India off 27-28 September. Charterers took advantage of the continuing pressure being put on rates in this region by the eastern ballasters, and fixed the business at just a whisker under the US$3.0m mark. With the September programme ex-W Africa completed, the Indian charterers are now awaiting the laycans for their early October stems, which we expect to see firm by mid next week. We are assessing W Africa/WC India at US$2.75m and W Africa/WC India at US$3.0m.
The 30 day availability index shows 53 VLCCs arriving at Fujairah, of which five are over 15 years old, compared to last week’s total of 55. So far for September we have seen 59 VLCC fixtures reported from PG, compared with a total of 116 for August. Despite resistance from those owners unwilling to trade, those willing to continue to conclude business at present freight levels are more than sufficient to satisfy charterers’ requirements. It remains to be seen how sustainable present freight levels and daily earnings can be" Braemar concluded on the VLCC markets.
SUEZMAX
Meanwhile, in the Suezmax front this week, the report noted that "the West Africa market maintained reasonable levels of activity without inspiring a noticeable improvement in rates. Cargoes have been taken on by owners rapidly, and the lack of resistance has led to rates mirroring those from last week. West Africa / US Gulf still sits at ws55.0 with the standard 2.5pt mark-up to US Atlantic Coast & UKCont-Med. Whilst most of the early vessels have been accounted for, the 2nd decade of September is overloaded and will soak up any imminent demand. With cargoes entering 3rd decade dates, this does not provide much promise for those owners who have been sitting tight. Unfortunately, with the Mediterranean not offering much respite, it looks like many of those owners across the Atlantic who can make these dates will opt to ballast into the West Africa region and perpetuate or even undercut current rates.
In the Mediterranean, despite a few eastbound cargoes fixing, activity has been low. Voyages to the Far East have been achieving US$2.9m to US$3.0m, with a trip to India fetching US$2.2m. Cross-Med fixtures have been scarce with a short Arzew / Lavera 130kt x ws65.0, offering little perspective on the actual market. Worryingly a Mediterranean –US Gulf run was fixed at just ws47.5. In the Black Sea, a couple of charterers have been active, with a market rate of 140kt x ws55.0 meeting little resistance from either party, and toward the end of the week ws52.5 was fixed to the US Gulf. Whilst the odd fixture east should have lightened the load, the position list is so bloated that realistic owners will want to fix and get out of the market as soon as they can, so eastern runs should be attractive.
Towards the end of last week several cargoes were open in the PG, but these have been whittled down. After last week's enthusiastic climb to ws75.0 PG/West, the crippling effect of a fixture at ws55.0 has continued, with ws52.5 and ws50.0 fixed. There has been flat activity going east, but enough to back up last week's estimation that this market has some legs. 118kt x ws79.0 to East Coast India might not be a great indication of the market, but 130kt x ws77.0 to Vadinar was backed up by 126kt x ws87.0 to West Coast India and hopefully the reasonable levels of activity will relieve the position list and support the market for PG-West fixtures" said Braemar.
AFRAMAX
Finally, in the Aframax market, the company's report said that "with a short fixing week following the UK Bank holiday, general activity has been marginally better than the previous two weeks. However, rates in the Baltic remain unchanged with the market still over tonnaged and demand quieter as expected in the month of August. TD17 remains flat at 100kt x ws60.0 and we expect no change looking in to next week. Cargoes from the ports of Primorsk and Ust-Luga are currently fixing in the 10-15 September window. North Sea demand has been more or less non-existent with TD7 rates also flat at 80kt x ws85.0. In the Mediterranean and Black Sea, it has been a very quiet week again. Compared to the available tonnage, enquiry has been minimal. Owners are accepting in the region of 80kt x ws77.5 for cross Med voyages, and from the Black Sea 80kt x ws79.0, which we estimate is close to breaking even in terms of earnings.
Currently, there is a Black Sea market quote, and with plenty of prompt ships spot in the Black Sea meaning ballast is minimised, we expect a few more points to be shaved off. At present, there are no signs of any improvements in the eyes of the owners. Further west in the Caribbean, with both the Amuay Bay refinery fire and hurricane "Isaac" causing some uncertainty and delays, one would have expected freight rates to move upwards on the back of it. Rates did firm slightly since this time last week to currently 70kt x ws95.0, however the Amuay Bay failed to have much impact and hurricane "Isaac" is not expected to have a lengthy impact. This of course, does not help the market or owners, but many will be pleased that hurricane "Isaac" is not expected to cause the same devastation as hurricane "Katrina" did seven years ago. Looking in to next week, we would expect the market to remain at current levels. It has been an exciting week in the PG with lots of action seen compared to previous weeks. PG/East rates are moving upwards to ws115.0 due to an influx of cargoes in the market, causing the availability of tonnage to thin down. Consequently, owner sentiment has remained bullish.
Indonesia/North Asia rates have softened to ws87.5 due to the current typhoon situation, where charterers are carefully withholding their requirements to avoid vessels missing their dates. Not much change to TD14 this week, with rates firming at ws90.0, providing a TCE of around US$5,700/day. Fixing volume out of NW Shelf to North Asia has been fairly light. Sustainability in rates is highly unlikely as activity slows and the tonnage list lengthens" Braemar concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Tuesday, 04 September 12
ORPHEUS SECURES ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT KINTAP COAL PROJECT IN SOUTH KALIMANTAN
COALspot.com - Indonesian coal producer, Orpheus Energy (ASX:OEG) has announced that it has secured a 50% equity ownership in an additional tenement ...
Monday, 03 September 12
SHIPOWNERS TO WAIT FOR FURTHER PRICE REDUCTIONS IN THE SECOND HAND VESSEL MARKETS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
With September now upon us, shipbrokers are looking towards an interesting winter season, as ship owners are looking to capitalize on more second ha ...
Sunday, 02 September 12
ADAROS COAL ROYALTIES TO THE GOVERNMENT INCREASED BY 10.5 PERCENT Y-O-Y TO US$196.8 MILLION
COALspot.com - PT Adaro Energy Tbk (IDX: ADRO), the second largest power plant coal producer in Indonesia, announced its consolidated auditor-review ...
Saturday, 01 September 12
FALLING PRICES; BLEEDING MINERS
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for October 2012 delivery lost 4.070 percent and 0.422 percent respectively on W-o-W and D- ...
Saturday, 01 September 12
PANAMAX FREIGHT RATES UNDER PRESSURE FROM LOW DEMAND - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - This week the freight market was weak with mixed results.
The BDI was down by 1.95 pct closing at 703 points, however there was so ...
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- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- White Energy Company Limited
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PTC India Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
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