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Tuesday, 04 September 12
SHIP OWNERS' COMPETITION LEADS TO TANKER FIXTURES BELOW OPERATING COSTS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Ship owners operating in the VLCC tanker markets are increasingly finding it difficult to obtain even breakeven rates for their vessels, as competition has intensified. In its latest weekly report, Braemar Seascope noted that the willingness of owners to continue the trend of fixing their vessels at below operating costs, means that they are in essence paying for the pleasure of transportation for their clients. "By offering this service they are also increasing their maintenance costs, and it seems that for one reason or another, the "layup" option seems to have been taken off the table. There are a few owners who have said they are unwilling to fix at these levels. However, unfortunately for the three or four who refuse to trade, there are five or six who are willing to accept the prevailing levels. Owners have been adjusting ballast speeds to super-slow and other money saving methods, but this seems to be perpetuating the trend" said the report.
It added that "this week has seen charterers fixing steadily, drip feeding the market. Most cargoes have attracted offers until a full complement of 8-10 has been received and rates of previously done or lower have been concluded. Even in the face of rising bunker prices, PG/West has remained at 280kt x ws23.0 via Cape and in some cases, ws22.0 via Suez. This highlights the fact that fixing via the Suez Canal is a huge saving on bunker costs.
West Africa has been mirroring the PG. Rates are very low and flat at 260kt x ws36.0-37.0 for W Africa/East. W Africa/West has not really been traded as a very depressed Suezmax market has been able to fulfil requirements. From Indian charterers ex-W Africa this week, IOC entered the market for W Africa/EC India off 27-28 September. Charterers took advantage of the continuing pressure being put on rates in this region by the eastern ballasters, and fixed the business at just a whisker under the US$3.0m mark. With the September programme ex-W Africa completed, the Indian charterers are now awaiting the laycans for their early October stems, which we expect to see firm by mid next week. We are assessing W Africa/WC India at US$2.75m and W Africa/WC India at US$3.0m.
The 30 day availability index shows 53 VLCCs arriving at Fujairah, of which five are over 15 years old, compared to last week’s total of 55. So far for September we have seen 59 VLCC fixtures reported from PG, compared with a total of 116 for August. Despite resistance from those owners unwilling to trade, those willing to continue to conclude business at present freight levels are more than sufficient to satisfy charterers’ requirements. It remains to be seen how sustainable present freight levels and daily earnings can be" Braemar concluded on the VLCC markets.
SUEZMAX
Meanwhile, in the Suezmax front this week, the report noted that "the West Africa market maintained reasonable levels of activity without inspiring a noticeable improvement in rates. Cargoes have been taken on by owners rapidly, and the lack of resistance has led to rates mirroring those from last week. West Africa / US Gulf still sits at ws55.0 with the standard 2.5pt mark-up to US Atlantic Coast & UKCont-Med. Whilst most of the early vessels have been accounted for, the 2nd decade of September is overloaded and will soak up any imminent demand. With cargoes entering 3rd decade dates, this does not provide much promise for those owners who have been sitting tight. Unfortunately, with the Mediterranean not offering much respite, it looks like many of those owners across the Atlantic who can make these dates will opt to ballast into the West Africa region and perpetuate or even undercut current rates.
In the Mediterranean, despite a few eastbound cargoes fixing, activity has been low. Voyages to the Far East have been achieving US$2.9m to US$3.0m, with a trip to India fetching US$2.2m. Cross-Med fixtures have been scarce with a short Arzew / Lavera 130kt x ws65.0, offering little perspective on the actual market. Worryingly a Mediterranean –US Gulf run was fixed at just ws47.5. In the Black Sea, a couple of charterers have been active, with a market rate of 140kt x ws55.0 meeting little resistance from either party, and toward the end of the week ws52.5 was fixed to the US Gulf. Whilst the odd fixture east should have lightened the load, the position list is so bloated that realistic owners will want to fix and get out of the market as soon as they can, so eastern runs should be attractive.
Towards the end of last week several cargoes were open in the PG, but these have been whittled down. After last week's enthusiastic climb to ws75.0 PG/West, the crippling effect of a fixture at ws55.0 has continued, with ws52.5 and ws50.0 fixed. There has been flat activity going east, but enough to back up last week's estimation that this market has some legs. 118kt x ws79.0 to East Coast India might not be a great indication of the market, but 130kt x ws77.0 to Vadinar was backed up by 126kt x ws87.0 to West Coast India and hopefully the reasonable levels of activity will relieve the position list and support the market for PG-West fixtures" said Braemar.
AFRAMAX
Finally, in the Aframax market, the company's report said that "with a short fixing week following the UK Bank holiday, general activity has been marginally better than the previous two weeks. However, rates in the Baltic remain unchanged with the market still over tonnaged and demand quieter as expected in the month of August. TD17 remains flat at 100kt x ws60.0 and we expect no change looking in to next week. Cargoes from the ports of Primorsk and Ust-Luga are currently fixing in the 10-15 September window. North Sea demand has been more or less non-existent with TD7 rates also flat at 80kt x ws85.0. In the Mediterranean and Black Sea, it has been a very quiet week again. Compared to the available tonnage, enquiry has been minimal. Owners are accepting in the region of 80kt x ws77.5 for cross Med voyages, and from the Black Sea 80kt x ws79.0, which we estimate is close to breaking even in terms of earnings.
Currently, there is a Black Sea market quote, and with plenty of prompt ships spot in the Black Sea meaning ballast is minimised, we expect a few more points to be shaved off. At present, there are no signs of any improvements in the eyes of the owners. Further west in the Caribbean, with both the Amuay Bay refinery fire and hurricane "Isaac" causing some uncertainty and delays, one would have expected freight rates to move upwards on the back of it. Rates did firm slightly since this time last week to currently 70kt x ws95.0, however the Amuay Bay failed to have much impact and hurricane "Isaac" is not expected to have a lengthy impact. This of course, does not help the market or owners, but many will be pleased that hurricane "Isaac" is not expected to cause the same devastation as hurricane "Katrina" did seven years ago. Looking in to next week, we would expect the market to remain at current levels. It has been an exciting week in the PG with lots of action seen compared to previous weeks. PG/East rates are moving upwards to ws115.0 due to an influx of cargoes in the market, causing the availability of tonnage to thin down. Consequently, owner sentiment has remained bullish.
Indonesia/North Asia rates have softened to ws87.5 due to the current typhoon situation, where charterers are carefully withholding their requirements to avoid vessels missing their dates. Not much change to TD14 this week, with rates firming at ws90.0, providing a TCE of around US$5,700/day. Fixing volume out of NW Shelf to North Asia has been fairly light. Sustainability in rates is highly unlikely as activity slows and the tonnage list lengthens" Braemar concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Tuesday, 04 September 12
ORPHEUS SECURES ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT KINTAP COAL PROJECT IN SOUTH KALIMANTAN
COALspot.com - Indonesian coal producer, Orpheus Energy (ASX:OEG) has announced that it has secured a 50% equity ownership in an additional tenement ...
Monday, 03 September 12
SHIPOWNERS TO WAIT FOR FURTHER PRICE REDUCTIONS IN THE SECOND HAND VESSEL MARKETS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
With September now upon us, shipbrokers are looking towards an interesting winter season, as ship owners are looking to capitalize on more second ha ...
Sunday, 02 September 12
ADAROS COAL ROYALTIES TO THE GOVERNMENT INCREASED BY 10.5 PERCENT Y-O-Y TO US$196.8 MILLION
COALspot.com - PT Adaro Energy Tbk (IDX: ADRO), the second largest power plant coal producer in Indonesia, announced its consolidated auditor-review ...
Saturday, 01 September 12
FALLING PRICES; BLEEDING MINERS
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for October 2012 delivery lost 4.070 percent and 0.422 percent respectively on W-o-W and D- ...
Saturday, 01 September 12
PANAMAX FREIGHT RATES UNDER PRESSURE FROM LOW DEMAND - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - This week the freight market was weak with mixed results.
The BDI was down by 1.95 pct closing at 703 points, however there was so ...
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- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- PTC India Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- The University of Queensland
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
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