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Saturday, 25 August 12
INDONESIAN COAL SWAP REMAINS STABLE AT LOW LEVEL


COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for October 2012 delivery gain 0.804 percent W-o-W on Friday (24 August 2012) closing but lost 0.031 percent on D-o-D, according to the data released by AsiaClear OTC coal swaps on 24th August 2012.

Sub-Bit FOB Indonesia coal swaps for October delivery opened on Monday (20 August  2012) at US$ 63.37 pmt and closed on Friday (24 August 2012) at $ 63.88 gained around $ 0.51 pmt. The Q1 delivery lost US$ 0.10 per MT but Cal 13 deliveries gained $ 0.06 for the same period. The Indonesian coal swaps for October deliveries performed mixed with flat and weak.

Cal 2013 deliveries for  Sub-Bit Indonesia coal was opened at $ 69.25 pmt on 20 August 2012 and closed $ 69.31 on 24th August 2012.

CFR South China coal shipments to China for October & Q1 2013 deliveries moved positively. On 20 August CFR South China coal shipments to China  (delivery October 2012) was opened at $ 83.22 and closed on 24 August at $ 83.50 gained $ 0.28 pmt. The swap lost 0.143 percent D-o-D and gained 0.336 percent W-o-W on Friday.

Sub-Bit FOB Indonesia coal contracts for October 2012 delivery closed at US$ 63.88 on Friday (24 August 2012) compared to US$ 63.37 Monday opening, gained US$ 0.51 per MT. In the meantime, CFR South China coal October delivery gained US$ 0.336 pmt W-o-W on Friday (24 August) closed at US$ 83.50 against US$ 83.22 Monday Opening.

CFR South China coal, Q1 13 delivery gained 0.0816 percent W-o-W and lost 0.174 percent D-o-D. Sub-Bit FOB Indonesia coal contracts for Q1 13 delivery lost 1.50 percent or US$ 0.10 pmt W-o-W and lost 0.344 percent D-o-D and closed at US$ 66.50.

CFR South China delivery (Q1 2013) has closed US$ at $ 85.75 on 24 August compared to US$ 85.68 opening on Monday (20 August 2012).

A commodity swap is a financial agreement whereby a floating, or spot, price is exchanged for a fixed rate over a specified contract period.

Sub-Bit FOB Indonesia coal contracts and CFR South China coal for Cal 2013 deliveries closed at $ 69.31 pmt $ 88.55 pmt respectively on Friday. Cal 2013 delivery prices for Sub-Bit FOB Indonesia coal and CFR South China coal are $ 5.43 and $ 5.05 higher compared to October deliveries.

According to moody's forecasts, the Newcastle thermal coal price, the benchmark seaborne coal price in Asia, to average around USD 90 to USD 95 per tonne in 2012 and that there won't be a meaningful rebound in 2013 unless the demand and supply balance improves."

According to Mr. Simon Wong VP and senior analysts at Moody "In the prevailing environment, we expect production costs to rise 5% to 15% in 2012, and this trend will further pressure operating margins. Operating margins are already sensitive to price declines resulting from elevated production cost levels and greater exposure to index-linked coal contracts and spot sales."



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