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Monday, 13 August 12
ACTIVE DRY BULK FLEET INCREASES BY 8% SO FAR IN 2012 IN TERMS OF TONNAGE CAPACITY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
It’s no wonder that the dry bulk market has been tethering since the start of the year. the overflow of tonnage has been so enormous, that even China in its best of years, wouldn’t be able to keep up with the current supply dynamics. In fact, analysts have mentioned that it would take for a couple of more “Chinas” nowadays, in order for demand to catch up with the current fleet of dry bulk carriers. As of the start of the year, the global outstanding orderbook for dry bulk vessels stood at 2,375 ships, with a potential carrying capacity of approximately 200 million dwt tons. According to the latest weekly report from shipbroker Intermodal, out of the alarmingly large total of these orders, 1,677 ships of 139 million dwt were scheduled to be delivered during 2012. Under this scenario approximately 70% of the bulker orderbook was scheduled to be delivered during 2012.
With 7 months already gone by and as of 1st of Aug 2012, it is interesting to see the progress. According to Intermodal’s John Cotzias, “the active bulker fleet stands at 8,477 ships and 645mil tons of carrying capacity. During 2012 the active bulker fleet has grown by 6% in ships and 8% in total dwt. VLOC’s in 2012 have grown by 17%, Capesize 4%, Post Panamax 14%, Panamax 6%, Supramax 12%, Handymax reduced by -5% while Handysize increased by only 2%.
At the same time, Newbuilding bulker deliveries are holding strong with around 4 new ships being delivered every day (809 ships of 70mil tons dwt)!! It is worth noting that slippage (expected deliveries less actual deliveries ) was calculated at abt. 15% for the 1st Half of 2012 while it is accelerating after June, giving us a present figure of around 17%. There were 1,677 ships deliveries originally scheduled for 2012, so we could assume that if the current trend continued, there would be 1,390 ships delivered in 2012. However as the slippage rate increases and traditionally as we move towards Nov-Dec more ships are belated to take advantage of a later year of built, so we may expect that the total dry bulker deliveries for 2012 will reach a record high number of around 1,250 ships and abt. 108mil tons of extra dwt carrying capacity. Slippage therefore is estimated to reach around 23-25% for the current year” he said.
According to Intermodal, “looking into deliveries of specific bulker size segments in 2012, we have recorded 49 VLOC’s, 91 Capes, 73 Post Panamax, 168 Panamax, 226 Supramax, 13 Handymax and 189 Handysize being delivered. In 2013 the world bulker fleet will have a capacity of about 750mil tons and this is a reality that we all have to face…!” the report stated.
According to Mr. Cotzias, “there is just too much supply of tonnage that will only push further the gap between available ships for trading and available cargoes. Fleet growth for 2012 is estimated at 20%, and this increase can never be matched by seaborne dry cargo growth which may run at a mere 4-6% given best world economic conditions.
Scrapping has aided the bulker sector tremendously, as more than 21mil tons of dwt, abt 340 ships have been removed from the active fleet, this gives us around 1.6 dry bulker ships scrapped per day! Average age of the ships scrapped is now coming down to 21 years. Offered scrap prices looked rather attractive during first half of 2012 and that further assisted most owners in deciding to send more vessels to the breakers rather than seek buyers for further trading. According to our estimates abt. 500 ships of 30-31mil tons of dwt will be taken for demo during 2012 and this is approximately 6% of the active fleet. Let’s keep this scrapping going!” he concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Saturday, 01 September 12
PANAMAX FREIGHT RATES UNDER PRESSURE FROM LOW DEMAND - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - This week the freight market was weak with mixed results.
The BDI was down by 1.95 pct closing at 703 points, however there was so ...
Friday, 31 August 12
ADVERSE SHIPPING MARKET CONDITIONS SHORTENS LIFE SPAN OF VESSELS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The adverse conditions which have been put in place in the world's freight markets, means that ship owners are forced to scrap vessels of a much yo ...
Thursday, 30 August 12
INDO-INDIA, LARGE ECO SUPRA NOW FIXED AT USD 7K FOR DELIVERY SINGAPORE - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
The Supra market continued its negative trend with little fresh business entering the market. Continent positions fixed around USD 4k for tri ...
Thursday, 30 August 12
DRY BULK MARKET STILL LOOKING OUT FOR BETTER DAYS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
With things in China moving slowly this week, as a result of holidays, it’s no surprise that the latest positive trend in the dry bulk market ...
Wednesday, 29 August 12
COLOMBIA'S MINING BOOM: PART TWO - JOSEPH KIRSCHKE
One of the most prominent casualties of Canada's entry into the Colombian mining sector has been a priest named Jose Reynal-Restrepo. Last Septembe ...
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- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PTC India Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Australian Coal Association
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
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