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Monday, 13 August 12
ACTIVE DRY BULK FLEET INCREASES BY 8% SO FAR IN 2012 IN TERMS OF TONNAGE CAPACITY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
It’s no wonder that the dry bulk market has been tethering since the start of the year. the overflow of tonnage has been so enormous, that even China in its best of years, wouldn’t be able to keep up with the current supply dynamics. In fact, analysts have mentioned that it would take for a couple of more “Chinas” nowadays, in order for demand to catch up with the current fleet of dry bulk carriers. As of the start of the year, the global outstanding orderbook for dry bulk vessels stood at 2,375 ships, with a potential carrying capacity of approximately 200 million dwt tons. According to the latest weekly report from shipbroker Intermodal, out of the alarmingly large total of these orders, 1,677 ships of 139 million dwt were scheduled to be delivered during 2012. Under this scenario approximately 70% of the bulker orderbook was scheduled to be delivered during 2012.
With 7 months already gone by and as of 1st of Aug 2012, it is interesting to see the progress. According to Intermodal’s John Cotzias, “the active bulker fleet stands at 8,477 ships and 645mil tons of carrying capacity. During 2012 the active bulker fleet has grown by 6% in ships and 8% in total dwt. VLOC’s in 2012 have grown by 17%, Capesize 4%, Post Panamax 14%, Panamax 6%, Supramax 12%, Handymax reduced by -5% while Handysize increased by only 2%.
At the same time, Newbuilding bulker deliveries are holding strong with around 4 new ships being delivered every day (809 ships of 70mil tons dwt)!! It is worth noting that slippage (expected deliveries less actual deliveries ) was calculated at abt. 15% for the 1st Half of 2012 while it is accelerating after June, giving us a present figure of around 17%. There were 1,677 ships deliveries originally scheduled for 2012, so we could assume that if the current trend continued, there would be 1,390 ships delivered in 2012. However as the slippage rate increases and traditionally as we move towards Nov-Dec more ships are belated to take advantage of a later year of built, so we may expect that the total dry bulker deliveries for 2012 will reach a record high number of around 1,250 ships and abt. 108mil tons of extra dwt carrying capacity. Slippage therefore is estimated to reach around 23-25% for the current year” he said.
According to Intermodal, “looking into deliveries of specific bulker size segments in 2012, we have recorded 49 VLOC’s, 91 Capes, 73 Post Panamax, 168 Panamax, 226 Supramax, 13 Handymax and 189 Handysize being delivered. In 2013 the world bulker fleet will have a capacity of about 750mil tons and this is a reality that we all have to face…!” the report stated.
According to Mr. Cotzias, “there is just too much supply of tonnage that will only push further the gap between available ships for trading and available cargoes. Fleet growth for 2012 is estimated at 20%, and this increase can never be matched by seaborne dry cargo growth which may run at a mere 4-6% given best world economic conditions.
Scrapping has aided the bulker sector tremendously, as more than 21mil tons of dwt, abt 340 ships have been removed from the active fleet, this gives us around 1.6 dry bulker ships scrapped per day! Average age of the ships scrapped is now coming down to 21 years. Offered scrap prices looked rather attractive during first half of 2012 and that further assisted most owners in deciding to send more vessels to the breakers rather than seek buyers for further trading. According to our estimates abt. 500 ships of 30-31mil tons of dwt will be taken for demo during 2012 and this is approximately 6% of the active fleet. Let’s keep this scrapping going!” he concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Saturday, 01 September 12
PANAMAX FREIGHT RATES UNDER PRESSURE FROM LOW DEMAND - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - This week the freight market was weak with mixed results.
The BDI was down by 1.95 pct closing at 703 points, however there was so ...
Friday, 31 August 12
ADVERSE SHIPPING MARKET CONDITIONS SHORTENS LIFE SPAN OF VESSELS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The adverse conditions which have been put in place in the world's freight markets, means that ship owners are forced to scrap vessels of a much yo ...
Thursday, 30 August 12
INDO-INDIA, LARGE ECO SUPRA NOW FIXED AT USD 7K FOR DELIVERY SINGAPORE - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
The Supra market continued its negative trend with little fresh business entering the market. Continent positions fixed around USD 4k for tri ...
Thursday, 30 August 12
DRY BULK MARKET STILL LOOKING OUT FOR BETTER DAYS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
With things in China moving slowly this week, as a result of holidays, it’s no surprise that the latest positive trend in the dry bulk market ...
Wednesday, 29 August 12
COLOMBIA'S MINING BOOM: PART TWO - JOSEPH KIRSCHKE
One of the most prominent casualties of Canada's entry into the Colombian mining sector has been a priest named Jose Reynal-Restrepo. Last Septembe ...
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- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Australian Coal Association
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- The University of Queensland
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
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