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Friday, 03 August 12
INDIA - LIGHTS OUT! - SALVA
The Indian power sector hit global headlines this week for all the wrong reasons. Firstly, on Monday, over 350 million people lost power across northern India, including Delhi. The following day, the lights went out again, but this time over 600 million people in 20 of India’s 28 states were affected, with the outages covering range of 3000 kilometers in the northern and eastern regions. The authorities’ response has ranged from blaming states for overdrawing from the grid, to appointing a committee to inquire into the causes of the blackout. However, these latest outages are merely symptomatic of much larger problems in India’s power sector, which has been short of power for years.
In Salva’s view, the problem does not lie within the generation sector – but with its upstream (coal supply and transportation) and downstream (transmission and distribution) counterparts. Since the generation sector was deregulated in FY03-04 to enable private participation, installed generation capacity has almost doubled, growing by 92GW or 85%, at a CAGR of 10.8%. The vast majority of this new capacity is coal-fired, which added another 18GW of new capacity in FY11-12 and a further 4.2GW in Q1’12.
However, this new power generation capacity is not being fully utilised, with plant load factors for coal declining from 79.2% in H1’11 to 75.8% in H1’12 and 72% most recently in June. Over 4.3TWh of coal-fired generation was lost in June alone due to low coal supply with a further 1.4TWh lost because of transmission constraints and unplanned outages. Given these figures, clearly thermal coal supply remains a problem. While domestic coal production has increased in 2012, it has languished in recent years, growing at around 1% (5Mt) between 2008-11, which pales in comparison against annual coal-fired power capacity growth of over 10%. Even when production is strong, which it has been in early 2012 (by Indian standards), transportation of coal remains highly problematic. Indian Railways has not been able to procure wagons in time to boost availability sufficiently. This has resulted in coal shortages at power plants and growth in coal mine stockpiles. Transport capacity remains severely constrained as capacity addition has languished at the altar of populism. Passenger traffic shares the same infrastructure as freight, causing freight such as coal to be given a lower priority.
The Electricity Act of 2003 freed up the generation sector, but the same reforms haven’t yet percolated to the transmission and distribution sectors, which are suffering from the same bottlenecks that existed prior to 2003. Transmission capacity is not being developed at the same pace as generation capacity, while distribution reforms remain a pipe dream. As domestic coal production has not kept pace with demand, power producers have used much costlier imported coal to generate electricity. However, India’s tariff framework is still lagging behind, so the State Electricity Boards require ever increasing financial support from state owned banks and financial institutions. Tariff reform is an immediate requirement. Only that will facilitate the sector’s much needed investment.
What are the implications if this is not done now?
Indian cities are accustomed to power cuts. However, increasing prosperity has increased electricity demand and, coupled with the weak monsoon this year, has caused power demand to spike. Agricultural states like Uttar Pradesh, Haryana and Punjab have increasingly overdrawn power from the grids to feed the agricultural sector (which ironically is not metered as power is free for farmers) and to meet residential demand. The agricultural sector is still dependent upon the monsoon as the irrigation network is not widespread, and the weak monsoon has resulted in farmers pumping groundwater onto their fields. Generally electricity demand is low during the monsoon months (June-September) as the rains reduce temperatures. However, the rains have been weak and hence residential power demand has remained strong. This has been further exacerbated with the additional demand from the agricultural sector. State power distribution companies have not planned in advance to buy additional electricity and have overdrawn power from the grid without additional generation being supplied. This has destabilised the grid and caused it to fail.
The impact of the electricity shortages have been felt by the public at large, with a few incidents of people protesting on the road. However, it hasn’t erupted into widespread unrest - thankfully.
The implications of not carrying out reforms in the transmission and distribution sector are now apparent. Lack of adequate investment in the transmission sector will hobble the impressive generation capacity that has been developed. Lack of commercial reforms in the power distribution sector will not provide the returns or even cover the basic cost of generation. The power sector is already sick and if reforms are not carried out with the seriousness required, India will suffer further setbacks.
Source: Salva
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Monday, 07 May 12
INDONESIAN HBA FALL AGAIN IN MAY 2012
COALspot.com - Indonesian HBA fall again to lowest level since January 2011 in May 2012. The monthly coal reference price for coal sales in Ma ...
Sunday, 06 May 12
INDONESIAN SUB-BITUMINOUS COAL & CFR SOUTH CHINA SWAPS SLIGHTLY DROP THIS WEEK
COALspot.com - Indonesian sub-bituminous coal swaps and CFR South China coal contracts for June deliveries slightly dropped this week.
According ...
Sunday, 06 May 12
S7 & S8 ROUTES LIKELY TO BE FIRM NEXT WEEK VISTAAR SINGAPORE
COALspot.com - The BDI remained flat this week and was up just by 1 point closing at 1,157 points.
The cape size index was up by 5.14 pct closing ...
Sunday, 06 May 12
EXPORT DUTY ON MINERAL FINALLY TO BECOME EFFECTIVE NEXT WEEK
COALspot.com - Mineral ore exporters of Indonesia ( only IUP holders) are required to obtain recommendation letter from the energy and mineral ...
Friday, 04 May 12
DEMOLITION KEY FOR DRY BULK MARKET RECOVERY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The overflow of newbuilding vessels which “spilled over” into 2012 from 2011 brought the dry bulk market to a near collapse level at the ...
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- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Planning Commission, India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
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